The Billion Dollar War Behind U.S. Rum (Planet Money)
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Hello to all you Gastro fans out there.
We are still hard at work on the new season of Gastropod.
We'll have a brand new episode for you in just two weeks.
Which we're super excited about.
By the way, I'm Nicola Twilley, and you are indeed listening to Gastropod, the podcast that looks at food through the lens of science and history.
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But to tide you over, today we're sharing a couple of episodes of a show we love.
It's Planet Money.
First up, we have a story of a war between two U.S.
Caribbean territories using a little-known tax loophole to do with rum.
It's a rum war.
But before we get into all of that, we have something important to tell you about.
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And that's why we're doing our first ever Gastro Hang on Thursday, September 26th.
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Do it now.
Take a minute to support the show you love and score an invite to the hottest hangout in town.
And then pat yourself on the back, pour yourself a swizzle, punch, or equivalent, and stay tuned for the tale of some devilishly clever dealings by that swashbuckling pirate fellow with the impressive mustache and the big cape.
That's right, I'm talking about Captain Morgan, or really the multinational mega corporation that makes Captain Morgan rum.
After you've enjoyed your decorative, we have another short tale for you from the folks of Planet Money.
We'll be back to tell you more about it.
But first up, enjoy Planet Money's episode, The Billion Dollar War Behind U.S.
Rum, after this quick word from our sponsors.
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This is Planet Money from NPR.
This is St.
Croix
in the U.S.
Virgin Islands.
It's a Caribbean paradise.
Pink and cream-colored buildings, oosters are everywhere.
There's a harbor dotted with yachts and catamarans.
On boardwalk, people are having drinks and watching the seaplanes take off.
The economy here mainly runs on tourism.
But our trip took us away from the beach and the palm trees because we were here for something else.
Ooh, this street is bumpy.
You see, these days, there is only one major product that the Virgin Islands produces.
Rum.
And lots of it.
That is what we were here for.
The rum.
Oh my gosh.
Is that it?
Holy, that's huge.
In particular, producer James Sneed and I are here for one of the biggest rum distilleries in the world.
We could see it on the horizon, rising out of the lush countryside, looking huge and out of place.
Let's pull up next to the sign.
The sign says, got a little captain in you.
Question mark.
You know, captain as in Captain Morgan, the rum with the pirate and the red coat who's got his leg, you know, propped up on a barrel.
Ah, yes, the drink of my youth.
I know it well.
Sarah, you should have come with us.
My Captain Morgan days are long, long over, Jeff.
Now, the Captain Morgan people wouldn't let us into the distillery, but we did try to peek in through the barbed wire fence.
If I saw this, I would assume that they were like manufacturing something way more serious.
Yeah, like fertilizer or like oil or something.
Yeah, it looks like an oil refinery.
A quarter of the rum that Americans drink is Captain Morgan rum.
And all of it comes from this one mega distillery on St.
Croix.
Oh look, there's someone in a...
Yeah, hi.
They're in a hard hat and, oh, he gave us a thumbs up.
Nice.
We came to see this distillery because this was once the center of a vicious economic battle.
You see, Captain Morgan didn't always come from St.
Croix.
For many years, Captain Morgan rum was actually made in a different place, in another U.S.
territory, in Puerto Rico.
Yeah.
But in 2008, the government of the Virgin Islands made a secret plan to lure Captain Morgan away from Puerto Rico and bring it to the Virgin Islands.
Those were the rum wars.
No, the competition has changed.
This was the beginning of the rum wars.
Hello and welcome to Planet Money.
I'm Jeff Guo.
And I'm Sarah Gonzalez.
The rum wars between the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico go back to this peculiar thing that Congress came up with over 100 years ago, a scheme that was supposed to help these two U.S.
territories pay their bills.
Today on the show, how that scheme wound up giving big liquor companies hundreds of millions in U.S.
taxpayer dollars.
And how it turned these two territories into bitter rivals, competing to make as much rum as they can at almost any cost.
There are many things to love about St.
Croix.
The rum.
Our rum, from a quality standpoint, is the best in the world.
How small it is.
Everybody knows everybody.
You know what I'm saying?
The local music.
Quebe music, which is like scratch band.
This is Neville James.
His family has been here for generations.
generations we're we're a hard day's work for a hard day's pay that's the mentality and say croy right neville used to host a saturday morning radio talk show it was called give me the word give me the word and uh like how would you introduce yourself on the air it was a crazy week in paradise and we're gonna break it down for you you know what i'm saying it's amazing
Neville gave up his radio job to go into politics.
He was actually a local senator on the island at a very important time back in 2008 when the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico first got wrapped up in the rum wars.
I tell you, man,
this thing made enemies for us, man.
The thing the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico were fighting over has to do with this special funding arrangement that the two territories have.
Territories are part of the U.S.
People in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico are American citizens, but they don't have all the same rights.
And historically, Congress didn't want its territories to be too dependent on the federal government.
So it would look for ways to provide them with their own funding stream.
And for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, rum plays a big role.
Now, if you have ever bought a bottle of liquor anywhere in the 50 states, you probably paid a bunch of taxes on it.
Local tax, state tax, federal tax.
The federal tax on hard liquor usually comes out to like $2 for a normal-sized bottle.
And that money goes straight to the U.S.
Treasury, where the government spends it on, you know, government-y stuff.
Yeah, unless you are talking about one particular kind of liquor, rum.
When you buy a bottle of rum in the U.S., the federal taxes collected on that bottle do not all stay in the United States and in the Treasury.
Instead, most of the tax money gets sent to either the Virgin Islands or Puerto Rico, whoever made the rum in that bottle.
So if the rum was made in Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico gets the taxes.
If the rum was made in the Virgin Islands, the Virgin Islands gets the taxes.
And actually,
this part blew my mind.
Even if the rum was made in another country, like in Barbados, which is another big producer of rum, the taxes still go to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.
They split it.
That's the way Congress set it up.
What a deal.
Only two islands got this sweetheart deal: Puerto Rico and the U.S.
Virgin Islands.
Yeah, the more rum they make, the more tax dollars they get.
And it's a decent amount of money.
Recently, the federal government paid the two territories more than $700 million
in rum money.
Now, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, they're like next door neighbors.
In the summertime, when it gets real clear, you can see Puerto Rico from the farthest point on St.
Croix.
They are separated by just 40 miles of teal blue Caribbean ocean, but they're pretty different places.
The Virgin Islands is tiny.
It's got like 90,000 people.
Puerto Rico's got 3 million people, and it's just like a much bigger economy.
And Puerto Rico's rum industry, also much bigger.
They're one of the biggest rum makers in the world.
So they get a way bigger share of that federal rum tax money.
Historically, they got like five times what the Virgin Islands would get.
Yeah.
But in 2008, Neville says the Virgin Islands made a big play for Puerto Rico's big pot of rum money.
The governor told us
he got a big deal coming.
And we were like, oh, really?
Because we were looking for any kind of deal.
Neville had been serving in the Virgin Islands legislature for a few years at this point, and the Virgin Islands was having a hard time.
They were in an energy crisis.
There weren't enough jobs because most big companies didn't want to take a chance on this territory of tiny islands.
But in June of 2008, the governor announced that Captain Morgan, the second biggest rum brand in Puerto Rico, was considering leaving Puerto Rico behind and coming next door to the Virgin Islands.
The plan was to build this big $165 million distillery right in the middle of St.
Croix.
Neville is hearing this and he's like, whoa, this could totally turn things around for us.
We were going to be a player.
You know, that
was big.
The governor calls a special session of the Virgin Islands legislature, so they can all vote on the deal he's negotiated with the liquor company.
As a senator, Neville is going to have to decide yes or no.
So he's like, okay, I'm going to analyze this thing inside and out.
Everybody has their niche, right?
So mine was history and numbers, breaking down the numbers.
I'm not saying I'm the best at it, but I enjoy doing it.
So I got labeled as the numbers cruncher.
When the proposal lands on Neville, the number cruncher's desk a few days later, it's long, 40 pages.
And in these pages, Neville starts to see things that kind of make him go like, hold on here.
It looks like there are these giveaways to Captain Morgan.
Like if this deal goes through, the Virgin Islands would subsidize molasses, the main ingredient in rum.
It would help pay for Captain Morgan's marketing budget.
It would give them these production incentive bonus things.
Altogether, the government would be handing over almost $80 million a year to Captain Morgan once everything was up and running.
Yeah, and you know, that brand new distillery that Captain Morgan was going to put in the middle of St.
Croix,
Neville sees that Captain Morgan wouldn't actually be the one paying for that.
The Virgin Islands would actually be the ones picking up the entire $165 million bill.
And the only way the deal made any financial sense at all for the Virgin Islands was because of that federal rum tax program.
The federal taxes we pay when we all buy a bottle of rum.
Right, because of the way that program works, every gallon of rum that the new Captain Morgan distillery would produce would mean more of that rum tax money for the Virgin Islands government.
Yeah, and under the proposal, the Virgin Islands was going to funnel a lot of that rum tax money straight to Captain Morgan, like 40% of the money.
The Virgin Islands would get the rest, and they would actually still come out ahead by like $100 million a year.
So Neville's wrapping his head around those numbers, and then he notices this other thing.
This whole deal with Captain Morgan.
It's not actually with Captain Morgan.
I thought Captain Morgan was Captain Morgan.
I didn't know Captain Morgan was a
brand that was owned by Diageo.
Yeah, Diageo is one of the biggest liquor companies in the world, headquartered in London.
And they don't just own Captain Morgan, they also own Smirnoff, Johnny Walker, Jose Cuerbo.
Also, Guinness, Dom Perinon.
How do you even say that?
Real highbrow, highbrow, lowbrow going on here.
Okay.
That's when I started doing my research about Diageo and who they're about and all that stuff.
Neville finds out that Diageo had been making Captain Morgan rum in Puerto Rico for years, but their contract with the distillery was ending, so they started to look around to see what their options were.
That's how this whole deal started in the first place.
The Diageo folk realized that they could play the Virgin Islands against Puerto Rico and against each other.
You know what I'm saying?
Yeah, Neville is not so sure about this deal anymore.
He's starting to see it as just a way for this giant $50 billion company to muscle in and take a cut of that federal rum tax money money that only the virgin islands and puerto rico have access to our economy is a four to five billion dollar economy why are we making all these amenities available for somebody who's 10 times financially more valuable than we are as a jurisdiction there's something's wrong with that that's too much money man that's giving away public money man a couple weeks after the governor's big 2008 announcement about this possible deal the legislature has a special two-day session to vote on it That was one of the highest profile sessions in the history of Rosen Islands.
There are crowds of people outside, TV cameras rolling.
All these bigwigs from Diageo have flown in from London to testify, to persuade Neville and the other senators to approve the deal.
White guys in soups.
They look like
Madison Avenue.
These guys are sharks, man.
They're trying to make money.
Yeah, and Neville and some of the other senators, they want to show these guys that they can hold their own.
Everybody's trying to sound Harvard, Yale-like.
You know what I'm saying?
You know, we're speaking that Yankee Twang.
You know,
we're letting them know, you know, we may be small, but we are loaded with quality.
One by one, the senators get their turn to speak and ask questions.
Most of the senators, they are for this deal.
They know Diageo is driving a hard bargain, but they're saying, look, The Virgin Islands is a tiny, struggling economy.
We got to take what we can get.
There are a few senators on Neville's side.
They don't love the idea of giving so much money away to a big liquor company, but they're also worried about how Puerto Rico will react to all of this, you know, because stealing Captain Morgan isn't just going to cost Puerto Rico jobs.
It's also taking a whole lot of that federal rum tax money out of Puerto Rico's pocket.
And Neville is kind of like, I don't know.
I think this is going to start something.
Poaching
is a very dangerous practice because who's to say that Puerto Rico wouldn't do that to us?
We don't want to get in a competition with him.
Neville's like, Puerto Rico can play this game too.
And if they start giving away a lot of money to rum companies, where is this all going to end?
Neville is worried that this could be the beginning of a classic race to the bottom.
So when it's Neville's turn to talk, he pulls out three pages of a handwritten speech.
He unfolds it.
and starts to read.
He says, I know the Virgin Islands is in a tough spot.
I know we need this money.
But giving away so much, that could really hurt us in the long run.
The thought of giving away the people's money to a foreign company replete with cash.
I repeat, a foreign company replete with cash and equity is mind-boggling.
And then Neville challenges his fellow senators.
He says, say no to this deal.
Force the governor and Diageo to go back to the table and come up with something better for the people of the Virgin Islands.
And this speech, it does not go over that well.
Everyone on the island is following these hearings, right?
And before the vote, Neville is like flooded with calls from neighbors, cousins, his friends, his dad's friends.
And most of them are saying things like, whose side are you on, Neville?
Oh, you sided with Puerto Rico against the Virgin Islands.
My counter-argument is that, no, I want your mother and your sister and your wife to keep that money.
Instead of that money going back to people who already got money.
In the end, 10 out of the 15 senators vote to approve the Captain-Morgan deal.
And Neville's like, all right, buckle up for some drama.
Now the competition has changed, right?
Both of you had your lane, so to speak.
Now it's no more lane.
We're crossing over.
We're enemies now.
For years and years, Puerto Rico was producing their rum, the Virgin Islands was producing theirs, and they were both getting their cut of the federal rum tax money.
Neville's thinking, from here on out, it is not going to be that easy.
And it wasn't because when people in Puerto Rico learned that the Virgin Islands had successfully stolen one of their major rum companies, they were not happy.
When that happened, it was a complete
shockwave from the island because
losing that industry will be catastrophic.
After the break, Puerto Rico makes a plan to get even.
When Puerto Rico found out about the deal the U.S.
Virgin Islands made with Captain Morgan, there was a sense of danger, like they were suddenly at the edge of a precipice.
Because rum is a big part of Puerto Rico's economy and its culture.
Puerto Rico is the rum capital of the world.
Jennifer Gonzalez-Colón is Puerto Rico's representative in Congress.
You talk about Tennessee, you would think about whiskey.
You talk about California, you will think about wine.
You think about Puerto Rico, it's going to be rum.
Jennifer used to serve in Puerto Rico's legislature.
She actually became House Speaker around the time of the Captain Morgan deal, and she says that there was almost this sense of like panic at that time.
We just lost Captain Morgan.
Is Bacardi doing the same thing and is moving to Virgin Islands or any other jurisdiction?
And what happened if we lose Bacardi?
Bacardi was Puerto Rico's top rum maker.
The Bacardi distillery was like the crown jewel of Puerto Rico's rum industry.
Helped them claim a big slice of that federal rum tax money.
And Puerto Rico did spend some of that money to subsidize its rum industry, but only like 10%.
What the Virgin Islands was doing with this Captain Morgan deal was taking 40% of that rum tax money and giving it straight to this big liquor company.
And Jennifer was like,
this is a dangerous precedent.
If you open the door to one company to take that money, that means that other companies can ask or do the same kind of deals.
Right.
Puerto Rico was worried about the same thing Neville was worried about, that they and the Virgin Islands were about to be forced into this downward spiral where companies would keep playing them off each other to get more and more generous tax breaks and subsidies until there wasn't much of that federal rum tax money left for the territories.
Now, there is a solution to this game of escalating subsidies, which is to just blow up the game entirely.
And that is what politicians in Puerto Rico tried to do.
They went to Congress and said, you created this program.
You can put some better rules around it so that all of this federal money doesn't end up in the pockets of big foreign liquor companies.
We tried to say that the money was not a good investment of the federal funding because you were just making reach one company to make business.
This turned into a huge fight on Capitol Hill.
Now, territories don't get a vote in Congress, but the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Diageo, they all had people in DC making their case.
Diageo accused Puerto Rico of trying to, quote, destroy the economy of the U.S.
Virgin Islands.
The territories each spent almost a million dollars on lobbyists.
It was a whole thing.
That was when people started calling it the rum wars.
Yeah, but then Congress stepped in to do what it is best at doing, which is nothing.
They did nothing.
So Puerto Rico could not actually blow up the game.
So the next thing that Jennifer and her fellow politicians tried to do was resist, see if they could hold the line on subsidies to rum companies.
The governor of Puerto Rico was trying to meet directly with those companies, trying to let them stay on the island, but it was impossible to file with a good offer from the Virgin Islands.
Yeah, the companies were saying, without getting those subsidies too, how are we going to compete?
By 2011, three years after the Virgin Islands gave Captain Morgan that generous deal, politicians in Puerto Rico couldn't hold the line anymore.
They voted to increase subsidies for all of their remaining rum companies from around 10% all the way up to 46%.
So yeah, the thing that Neville feared that led him to vote against the deal, it happened.
The subsidies the Virgin Islands gave to Captain Morgan spread to Puerto Rico's rum industry.
And then the subsidies spread right back to the Virgin Islands, costing their government money too.
Because on the Virgin Islands, there was this one rum company that had been there all along.
That company was Cruzian Rum.
In 2012, Neville says, Cruisian comes to the Virgin Islands legislature and they're like, hey, all of these other rum companies in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico are getting these huge subsidies now.
We can't compete with that either.
We are losing market share.
So Cruzian Rum was in trouble.
So because of that, we had to go back to the table now and give Cruzian Rum a similar deal.
This is how big rum subsidies became the new normal.
And for the Virgin Islands, the new normal is
better.
They didn't quite get everything they were expecting, but they did come out ahead by tens of millions of dollars a year.
But the real, real winners are the rum companies.
Yeah, it used to be that when you went to a liquor store in the U.S.
and bought a bottle of rum, federal taxes were basically divvied up between the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
Ever since the rum wars, those taxes get divided between the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and a bunch of rum companies in recent years those subsidies added up to almost 300 million dollars a year do you feel like you've been proven right oh yeah a long time ago long time ago but i don't really necessarily want to be right you know i want the people to get paid
you know what i'm saying
that's what i want i want the state to get paid The rum wars have mostly died down by now, but there is one more twist to this story.
You know, the thing at the center of the rum wars, the federal rum tax program, it's not actually like a permanent set-in-stone program.
Part of it has to get renewed every couple of years.
But in 2021, Congress kind of forgot about it.
Just like in the rum wars, Congress did nothing.
They did not renew it.
And it seems like there's no real reason for Congress not doing anything.
It's just that the territories are not a top priority.
They never really have been.
So, like, when you go to the store to buy a bottle of rum in the United States today, a lot less of the tax money goes to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands now.
And for people in the Virgin Islands, that missing money is a huge problem.
If Congress doesn't restore all of that rum tax money soon, this territory of Little Islands will be in serious crisis.
And this time, they don't have a secret trick up their sleeve.
James Sneed produced Today's show with help from Sam Yellowhorse Kessler.
It was edited by Molly Messick, fact-checked by Sierra Juarez, and engineered by Cina Lafredo.
Alex Goldmark is our executive producer.
I'm Sarah Gonzalez.
I'm Jeff Guo.
This is NPR.
Thanks for listening.
If that's all left you a little thirsty, how about a cool glass of water?
What about $100 million worth of cool water?
That's what this next story is about from Planet Money.
We've made an episode all about the shocking water story that lies behind your ice cream and cheese.
The key characters are an unassuming but thirsty grass called alfalfa, the Colorado River, and mega drought.
You should listen if you haven't already.
We reported our story in California, which depends on the Colorado River to grow crops, but this story focuses upriver in Colorado on a desperate deal to keep water in the river and in the state.
That's coming up after a word from our sponsors.
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You can hear our entire conversation on channels, wherever you listen to your favorite podcasts.
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Hello, Daisy.
This is Phoebe Judge from the IRS.
Oh, bless, that does sound serious.
I wouldn't want to end up in any sort of trouble.
This September on Criminal, we've been thinking a lot about scams.
Over the next couple of weeks, we're releasing episodes about a surprising way to stop scammers.
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Listen to Criminal wherever you get your podcasts and sign up for Criminal Plus at thisiscriminal.com slash plus.
NPR
Hey, Darian, I've got a question for you.
How much do you pay for water?
Well, hi there, Alex Hager, Colorado River Reporter for KUNC in Colorado.
Well, the answer to that question is I don't really know.
It's all built into my rent.
But
let's say, I don't know, $200 a year.
All right.
Well, how much would you pay for millions of glasses of water?
Like a whole river full of water?
A river full of water.
I mean, it sounds like a management consultant interview question, but I don't know.
Let's multiply my bill by a million, a couple of hundred million.
Yeah, it would get expensive, and we have proof of how it is getting expensive.
What if I told you that right now there is a group in Colorado spending $100 million on access to water from the Colorado River and their plan is to leave it in the river totally untouched?
It's a deal.
This is the indicator from Planet Money.
I'm Darian Woods.
And I'm Alex Hager.
The western U.S.
has less water to go around every year thanks to climate change, but it also has more people turning on their sinks, showers, and sprinklers.
That is forcing cities, farms, and even states to get anxious and spendy to make sure those taps keep flowing in the future.
And for one community, that means paying for the status quo.
We'll explain after the break.
There is something unusual going on in Colorado right now.
People from a rural part of the state are about to pay $100 million
to buy water and then do nothing with it.
And to understand why, we have to look at how water water in the western U.S.
is managed.
As we've covered on the indicator before, the Colorado River is super unique.
Yeah, right now it supplies 40 million people across seven states.
It's also used by 30 native tribes and parts of Mexico.
Without it, the West would not look the way it does today.
It's been a big part of why cities out here have been able to grow, like Denver, LA, and Phoenix.
And not to mention agriculture.
Water from the river flows to tons of farms and ranches around the region.
Parts of Southern California and Arizona use it to grow about 90% of the nation's wintertime vegetables.
The Colorado River is crucial to life and the economy in the Southwest, and because of the food that's grown with its water, to the rest of the country too.
But the way the water is managed here leads to some big tensions.
We're talking fights that go back over a century.
And we have an excellent episode on that, which we'll link to in the show notes.
I recently stopped by one place where where those fights are playing out right now.
It's SmackDab in the middle of Colorado in Glenwood Canyon.
Okay, I'm picturing snowy mountains and a beautiful rocky canyon.
That's right, exactly.
Craggy rock walls covered in snow and a big rushing river next to a highway.
And pinched in the middle of it all is this little building.
It's really not much bigger than a house, but inside is the Shoshone power plant.
I visited with Amy Moyer.
It is
a nondescript brown building off of I-70 that most people don't notice when they're driving, but if you are in the water world, it holds the key for one of the most interesting and important water rates on the Colorado River.
Amy is with the agency paying $100 million on behalf of the communities in Colorado's rural western slope.
She says the power plant itself doesn't actually produce that much energy.
The really valuable thing is the water it uses to turn hydroelectric turbines inside.
That water flows through the plant and downstream to a bunch of different people and industries in western Colorado.
And it's belonged to the power plant for more than a century.
And when we stand on the banks and see rafters flowing through Glenwood Canyon when people are drinking water on the west slope it really all ties back to this building and these historic water rates.
The fact that it's been around for so long is pivotal when it comes to water in the west.
There is a very particular system managing water there and it's founded on an idea called prior appropriation.
And that basically means if you are the first to use water, you'll be the last to lose it when there is a shortage.
We talked about that system with water economist Chris Gomans from Colorado State University.
It would be if we had a car out on the street and you showed up and you drove it today.
And that meant every day moving forward that you would have the first right to drive that car.
And it doesn't really matter what you're using it for, if you're using it efficiently, or where you're using it.
It kind of just matters that you are using it first.
And the Shoshone power plant, it got to the proverbial car first.
It's been using water since 1902, and it's legally allowed to use a lot of water.
So whoever owns it wields a ton of power.
And this gets at the core of what's going on here.
A century-long power struggle over water in Colorado.
Right.
The state is split in two by the Rocky Mountains.
On the west side, where the hydropower plant is, it's pretty rural.
You've got famous ski towns like Vail and Aspen, but also a bunch of agriculture, big cattle ranches and peach farms, that kind of thing.
And on the other side of the mountain, in the east, you've got big, fast-growing cities that make up more than 80% of Colorado's population.
Denver and all its suburbs, they might need to find more water to sustain all that growth.
And that's got the rural side worried that all the growth will change the status quo.
It'll push cities and suburbs to seek out more water and pipe it across the mountains away from the farms and towns in the rural part of the state and the plants and animals that live in and around the river.
Now, it's worth mentioning that some of those fast-growing cities have said, we're not going to take that water.
You do not need to worry.
But at the end of the day, water users on Colorado's rural western slope are still anxious.
And now they're putting a price tag on getting rid of that anxiety.
A hundred million dollar price tag.
Chris says they're placing dibs and buying some peace of mind.
And so if I'm a user on the West Slope, I'm really concerned about what might happen to my livelihood, to the ecosystems that exist around where I live.
Uncertainty is so prevalent in everything having to do with water that I'm just trying to buy certainty.
And there's something else at play here, a concept that comes from Econ 101, externalities.
The classic example is air pollution.
And it basically goes like this.
Say you have a factory making a product.
It puts smoke and chemicals into the air as part of its process.
And all the people downwind of that factory have to deal with the impacts of that pollution.
But those people are not involved in the buying or selling of the stuff that gets made at the factory.
So the pain they feel from the pollution isn't considered part of the cost.
The air pollution is a consequence of the factory, but it doesn't influence the price of what's being made there.
When it comes to river water, Chris says there's one externality that comes up pretty often, especially when it comes to hydropower.
One of the really unique aspects of water is that when I divert an amount of water, a portion of that can return back to the stream.
The Shoshone power plant pulls water out of the river and uses it, but once the water passes through electric generators, every last drop goes right back into the river.
So by the time the river reaches the cities and farms downstream, the amount of water they get has a lot to do with how it was being used upstream.
For a long time, water left in the Colorado River has been an externality, a positive one, albeit unintended, a consequence of a water user like a hydropower plant who uses the river, but doesn't actually consume it.
It was a consequence that didn't necessarily matter to the person buying or selling the water, just one that impacted a third party.
But in this case, that third party, the towns and farms of western Colorado, they're trying to control their own fate.
Water users in those rural communities are banding together and intervening.
Chris says they're scared the cities could beat them to it and use the water in a way that doesn't leave as much in the river for them.
They're stepping in and they're kind of guaranteeing that their voice in this is being reflected in the market.
Stepping in with that $100 million price tag because right now the Colorado River is defined by an uncertain future.
It's shrinking due to climate change and the people who make the rules about how it should be shared going forward, well, they're caught in a standoff and they can't agree on how to keep divvying up a water supply that's projected to keep getting smaller.
And for the players caught in the middle of that standoff, unsure about how policymakers' big decisions will impact them, it can be worth it to put up big bucks and buy some control.
This episode was produced by Julia Ritchie with engineering by Neil Rauch.
It was fact-checked by Siroch Juarez.
Kate and Cannon is our editor and the indicator is a production of NPR.