The year NYC went broke
Rescuing the city required the cooperation of the state of New York, the banks, the city workers unions, giant property owners and … the White House. But President Gerald Ford was adamantly opposed to bailing out NYC, prompting the famous New York Daily News headline — “Ford to City: Drop Dead.”
On today’s show, the story of a group of private citizens who were deputized by the state of New York to try to save the city’s finances. Led by investment banker Felix Rohatyn, the group had to put together a grand bargain that everyone would be willing to agree to, and to come up with the billions of dollars the city needed to survive.
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Every Tuesday morning, this very easy to overlook, but incredibly important thing happens on the street where I live in Brooklyn.
Three employees of the city of New York roll up in a giant truck and take away all the garbage for the people in my apartment building.
Those guys in their stained Deglo green t-shirts, they are just one part of this vast army of workers
who make a city like New York even possible to live in.
An hour or so after the sanitation guys roll through, my daughter packs up her bag.
Am I gonna need a rainfall today?
Look at the weather.
And heads out to her public middle school.
Hi, sweetie.
Bye.
Where she will be educated by yet more city employees.
Those sirens you are hearing, those are because just down the street from where my daughter catches her bus each morning, there is a fire station manned by, you guessed it, city employees.
Altogether, more than 300,000 people work for the city of New York.
300,000 people who make it possible for the city to function.
And this marvel of social coordination, like so many things in our world, is made possible by money.
Yeah, my family pays city income tax and property tax and sales tax and, because my wife is self-employed, something called the Metropolitan Commuter Transportation Mobility Tax.
And all of those taxes pay for the sanitation workers and the teachers and the firefighters.
Those city employees mostly get paid every two weeks.
But the taxes and the big chunks of money that come from the state of New York or the federal government, those come on a completely different timeline.
Income taxes are due in April.
A lot of property taxes are due in July and January.
Lots of cities like Chicago, LA, Houston, Philadelphia, San Francisco, they deal with this with a little financial magic trick.
They move money from the future, when the taxes come in, to the present, when they need to pay their workers.
The cities pull off this trick by selling short-term debt, little IOUs that only last for a few months.
Now, New York has generally had enough cash on hand that it hasn't had to use this short-term debt trick for a while.
Partly, this is because New York is just very, very careful about this stuff.
Because 50 years ago, it was very, very not careful about it.
And the city stopped functioning in some of the basic ways a city needs to function to survive.
Hello and welcome to Planet Money.
I'm Keith Romer and I'm Nick Bounton.
Sometimes to understand how things work, it can help to look at a moment when they stopped working altogether.
So today's show is going to be about New York City 50 years ago in 1975.
A year when the city ran out of money and couldn't find anybody willing to give it to them.
What it takes when no one trusts you enough to loan you the several billion dollars you need to get by.
And just how hard it can be to reearn that trust.
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The 1970s were a tough time for the government of New York City.
White flights and the loss of manufacturing in the city had taken a big chunk out of the city's tax base.
At the same time, there was a big surge in demand for the city's really quite generous social services.
Big influxes of lower-income folks had moved to New York.
There was a nationwide recession.
Steve Clifford remembers the city back then as an exciting place to live, but also a pretty dysfunctional place to live.
Everybody thought New York City was going to hell.
Nothing seemed to work.
The subways were
120 degrees in the summer.
There was crime.
There was dirt.
There was just dirt everywhere.
Back then, Steve had two jobs.
He ran a business with a friend of his making fiberglass furniture for interior designers, and he had started working part-time as a consultant for the city controller.
For one of his first projects, he spent a lot of time digging through the city's books.
Steve had worked on city finances before, and he did have an MBA from Harvard.
But otherwise, he says he was not your typical city hall employee.
I was late to start as a hippie,
but I, you know, I had long hair and I wore jeans and tashiki and whatnot.
Had a loft in Soho.
I was taking taking lots of dope.
Money was tight for the city back then.
So Steve says New York made extensive use of that financial magic trick we mentioned earlier, where it took the money it was going to get in the future and transported it to the present.
Yeah, the city would sell IOUs for lots of things, for the real estate taxes it expected to receive, for the state and federal aid it was counting on later in the year.
And banks were plenty happy to buy up all of these IOUs.
They paid a pretty good interest rate.
Lots of individual investors, big insurance companies, other banks were happy to take those IOUs off the bank's hands.
And rating agencies said New York City debt was pretty safe.
You could look at Park Avenue and you can say, these guys can't go broke.
I mean, you want to talk about, you know,
real property?
I mean, these things are worth billions.
The city can't go broke.
Now, Steve's small part in this whole drama had to do with what he found when he poked around in the city's books.
How would you describe the financial record keeping of New York City?
Well,
there was no record keeping.
I mean, there was a balance sheet, there was an income statement, and
there were
the computers worrying in the background, and
what was going on was
the Wizard of Oz.
See, Steve had gotten his hands on all this different information about all the different funds and accounts and sub-budgets that had anything to do with the city's finances.
And I started to, you know, just
almost for the fun of it, started adding these things up.
And what he discovered was a very, very big problem.
What had happened was for the,
at least for 10 years,
there was a a totally uncoordinated charade of different people devising different gimmicks that produced accounting revenue, but didn't produce cash.
Steve says, for about a decade, New York City made moves that appeared to balance the city's budget, but very much did not.
The city would, in various places, just delay
an expense,
like a payment for the pension funds.
It's supposed to be paid in June 30th, but
we'll pay it in July, and then it'll go into the next year's budget.
Give us more for this year.
Or the city would pretend that its estimate at the beginning of the year for how much tax it would take in was the final number that went on its balance sheet, regardless of how much money it actually took in.
And in a narrow sense, all of this was legal,
but these kinds of financial shenanigans didn't exactly accord with generally accepted accounting principles.
And if you squint just right, you can maybe even feel a kind of sympathy for the politicians who were doing this stuff.
All of the things they were elected to do, to launch new government initiatives or provide the generous social services New York City was famous for back then, to, you know, to help people, to make the world a better place, all of that takes money.
Moving some things around on the balance sheet made it possible.
Also, it let them add jobs and raise wages and make nice with powerful unions whose votes they were going to need in that next election.
Yes, also that.
But once you stop squinting, what you see is that all of this budgetary sleight of hand, it was funded by debt, by those IOUs the city kept selling year after year.
Nobody understood the cumulative effect of all these things.
Absolutely no one.
So Steve wrote up everything he found and took it to his boss, the city controller, Jay Golden.
I started explaining all these gimmicks to him and said, look, we got $3 billion in debt and no way to pay it because it's all been created by these gimmicks.
Now, Jay didn't know what to make of me because I was still this hippie guy,
you know, who wore jeans to work and sandals to work.
And so I go in and tell him, look,
the city's bankrupt.
I mean, that's, you know, history actually was
that can't be, you know.
Steve did manage to pretty quickly convince his boss that yes, the city was, in fact, in a rough spot.
But even if the city completely swore off the budget shenanigans that had created that $3 billion deficit, it still owed billions of dollars more because of the shenanigans it had already done.
And in the meantime, for the city to avoid default and keep functioning, it had to keep borrowing.
When it came time to pay off one of those IOUs, kind of their only move was to issue more IOUs.
The only thing they could do was roll it over.
Roll it over, roll it over.
Towards the end of 1974 and into 1975, the trust that the banks had that New York City would make good on its debts and avoid default slowly started to erode.
And the interest rates that the banks demanded on those IOUs drifted higher and higher.
The banks started saying, wait a minute, what's behind this roll it over?
And they say, well,
the faith and credit of New York City.
And the banks say, well, that's great.
Now, how much money does the faith and credit have?
And that's when it
all went nuts.
It all came to a head one day in February of 1975.
The moment was actually included in a film by the BBC.
Morning, ladies and gentlemen.
Today, the city of New York is offering for competitive bidding sale 260 million tax anticipation notes, of which 100 million will mature.
That morning, the city tried to hold an auction of IOUs, where syndicates of banks would come in and put their bids into a little tin box.
But that day, there were precisely zero bids.
The announcement on behalf of the controller is that the offer,
which we had expected to receive and announce at 2 o'clock this afternoon,
is now expected at 4 o'clock.
What does this mean that you have not been able to sell them so far today?
We will have a further announcement at 4 o'clock.
Yeah.
That day, nobody thought it was worth lending the city any more money.
A couple weeks later, the city was able to sell some new short-term debt, but that was the end of the line.
And without being able to roll over its debts, New York City only had enough cash on hand to get through a month or two.
So having the city run out of cash.
I mean, what you would have is
The welfare checks don't go out and you don't pay the cops on the same day.
And I mean, you can imagine imagine what,
I mean, total chaos.
The person presiding over this fiscal debacle was the city's mayor, Abe Beam.
When journalists demanded to know what was going on, he put the blame on the state of New York and the federal government for not sending more money to help the city fund its social services.
The basic cause of our crisis, among other things, is the fact that the city of New York is carrying costs which are not not appropriately New York City costs.
One of the people watching this drama unfold was Donna Shalala.
She was not a big fan of Abe Beam.
He was short, inarticulate, bumbling.
Donna would later become the Secretary of Health and Human Services and a congressperson, but back in the 70s, she was a politics professor with an expertise in the relationship between city and state governments.
The mayor Abe Beam was totally over his head.
He couldn't even even explain, even though he had been the comptroller of the city, he couldn't even explain how many employees they had.
Donna lived in New York City, so she was paying attention to what was happening.
But her main focus at the time was a book she had started writing.
And then history came knocking on Donna's door.
I got a phone call from the governor of New York, Hugh Carey, just beginning the summer.
It must have been June of 1975.
He called and said, What are you doing for the summer?
By then, the state had already prepaid $800 million in aid to try to keep the city from defaulting on its debts.
But Governor Kerry wanted a longer-term solution, and he had a new plan, which he proceeded to explain to Donna over the phone.
Yeah, he had helped to create a brand new government entity to help fix New York City's debt problems.
And he wanted to know if she was willing to be a part of it.
He made it sound like it was going to be a quick in and out.
Just a little summer project for you, and then go back to your book.
Yeah.
How did that work out?
Well, I never did finish the book, but I had a life-changing experience.
Governor Kerry's new government entity was called the Municipal Assistance Corporation, or the MAC.
It was created as a way for New York City to get its hands on the money it needed without anyone having to lend directly to the city itself.
Like, look, we get it.
You don't trust the city government to pay you back.
So forget about the city government.
Lend Mac the money instead and let them worry about the city.
And MAC did have a couple of things going for it.
It got first dibs on sales tax collected in the city.
So it definitely had money coming in.
And it was backed not by the credibility of New York City, but by the credibility of New York State.
It was originally set up.
to issue bonds to stretch out the debt of New York City, to give them some time time to get their house in order.
I think that's the simplest way to explain it.
Donna was 34 years old and the only woman on the Mac board.
The rest of the board was made up of the heads of big companies, a senior partner at a powerful law firm, and this famously charming investment banker named Felix Rowdin.
He had an instinct, not for politics, but how to pull people together to get decisions.
I think I was a pain in his butt initially, but he coached me along and we became very good friends.
And I learned a lot from him about leadership.
Rowadin was really good in front of TV cameras.
He had this great overbite smile, these two big bushy eyebrows, and he was just so fundamentally calm.
It was almost like he was wryly amused by everything that was happening.
I really never knew how really
fraudulent the accounting was.
I mean, they did things with numbers here that they're just absolutely unbelievable.
They would estimate revenues, you know, going ahead one century and estimate their expenses as of yesterday.
But this is just kind of a way of life.
Royden was known as a deal maker, but his main thing was mergers and acquisitions, not getting people to buy New York City's debt.
He just assumed, because he didn't know a lot about municipal finance,
that we could go into the market with bonds that were backed by the full faith and credit of the state, that had first dibs on New York City government money, that were at 8 or 9%,
and that the market would just absorb those bonds.
And how did that turn out?
It was much more difficult.
No one believed in the credibility of New York City government.
Donna and Felix and everyone else on the board worked hard to get people to believe the MAC bonds were credible, to get people to buy all this new debt.
We had to peddle the bonds, the MAC bonds, all over the country.
And so we all got on airplanes.
You personally, you were like flying around the country.
David Rockefeller.
As in one of the Rockefellers.
At the time, David Rockefeller was the head of Chase Manhattan Bank.
We landed in Dallas, private plane,
went to the Dallas Athletic Club to meet with the bankers, the great Texas bankers.
And when we pulled up, one of his staff members came and said,
Donna can't go in the front door because they don't allow women in the front door.
Wow.
And he said, so we'll take her around and she can go in the back door to meet with you.
And David Rockefeller turned to me and he said, Donna, he said, I've never gone in a back door in my life.
He said, follow me.
And he walked me right through the front door of the Dallas Athletic Club.
Were you able to convince any Dallas bankers to purchase money?
No, someone stood up and said, why should we invest in a place in which the mayor doesn't know how many employees he has?
David Rockefeller couldn't answer that question.
So I don't think we sold many bonds that day.
And MAC had trouble selling bonds kind of everywhere.
Legally, MAC was a completely separate entity from the city of New York, but potential bond buyers still had a hard time totally trusting them.
Which meant the city was getting closer and closer to running out of money altogether.
Mayor Beam announced a series of spending cuts.
The city would pull pull back on social services and eliminate jobs.
The very large and very powerful city workers' unions were, understandably, not real happy with the mayor's plans.
The sounds of people striking and protesting layoffs.
In New York, a large group of laid-off policemen and their supporters gathered in protest near City Hall.
At airports and hotels, members of the police union handed out brochures to tourists titled, Welcome to Fear City.
The brochures warned how dangerous the city would be when police were laid off and offered tips for how to survive a visit.
Don't take the subway.
Stay off the streets after 6 p.m.
Do not walk anywhere.
In early July, in 90-degree heat, sanitation workers staged an unofficial but very comprehensive strike.
No garbage has been picked up in the city since the weekend.
The refuse piles up at the rate of 28,000 tons a day.
The woman from Manhattan thought the layoffs could have been avoided.
I think it's a terrible, terrible thing.
I think Beam and all his other people should take $2,000 off their salary.
How do you feel about having 5,000 less cops on the street and 28,000 tons of garbage on the sidewalk?
Terrible.
I'm frightened.
Stiff.
I was afraid to ride the trains before and walk the streets.
Now you can be sure I'll be locked in the house.
For Donna, the sanitation worker strike was sort of the worst thing that could have happened.
It was a disaster.
right in the middle of what we were trying to do.
We had garbage all over the streets.
Do you remember sort of like walking down the streets of New York?
Yes, smelling trash all over the place.
In some parts of the city, people threw the piled up garbage into the middle of the street and lit it on fire.
Meanwhile, Felix Rowadin, the public face of the Mac board, was everywhere on TV, in the newspapers, doing everything he could to get the bankers and the union leaders and the state and city officials to get on the same page and find a way to stave off default.
I still cannot believe that these men, who are very decent men, aren't going to come to the conclusion that their future, along with everybody else's in the city, is in their hands, that they're not going to do something about it.
After the break, Mayor Abe Beam takes a little trip down to Washington, D.C.
And President Gerald Ford inspires one of the most famous headlines in New York City history.
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Okay, so here was the problem facing New York in the summer of 1975.
The city owed billions of dollars in short-term debt that it did not have the money to pay for.
It also needed to pay the salaries of all its teachers and police officers and sanitation workers, and it didn't have the money for that either.
And no one would lend it any more money to get out of this mess.
Even MAC, the municipal assistance corporation that had been created to be this safer proxy to lend to because it was backed by the state of New York, even Mac was having a hard time selling its bonds.
On its own, Mac couldn't solve the city's gargantuan debt problems.
Donna Shalala says, nobody really knew just how bad things would get if the city defaulted on its loans and ran its reserves down to zero, but they knew it would be bad.
It would have been the end of the growth of New York City.
The school system would have been totally underfunded.
Municipal jobs would have shrunk.
It would destroy one of the great economic engines of the world.
A default would have been bad for the investors who held the IOUs from the city and would have to take a loss.
Bad for New York real estate developers who would have had a harder time getting loans themselves.
For the city workers' unions whose members would face layoffs and wage cuts.
For the state of New York who would have its biggest city basically stop functioning.
And last but not least, bad for the federal government, which would have the country's financial capital in full-on meltdown.
But at the same time, bad as it would be, no one really wanted to be on the hook for bailing New York City out of its multi-billion dollar hole.
And Donna says this is where Felix Rowatin really shined.
He just had confidence in his ability to do the grand deal.
A deal that would require buy-in from everyone.
People had to take cuts.
Everybody had to give something up if they wanted to keep New York City solvent.
Whenever you turned on the news, there would be Felix Rowatin warning about the possible consequences of New York City defaulting, how a lot of big companies that were headquartered in the city might just pick up and leave.
And once that starts, then you've created a situation where in 10 years you'd have a city where you have more and more services required and less and less people paying for the services and you might end up with a gigantic slum.
And away from the cameras, Rodin was constantly trying to convince all the big players in the city to do their part.
It was his effort
to get the unions and the real estate industry and the businesses all to share the pain, as he would say it.
And the only way he could do that was to make sure that they understood the implications of bankruptcy.
Here are the advantages to you.
And guess what the disadvantages are?
And slowly but surely, Rodin helped broker these pretty astounding seeming deals.
Like some of the city's biggest property owners agreed to pay hundreds of millions of dollars in real estate taxes months before those taxes were due.
After months of haggling, the city employees unions signed up to take billions of dollars from their own pension funds and use that to purchase the bonds that Mac was having such a hard time selling on the open market.
Everybody was concerned about their own jobs, whether they were in the private or public sector.
And it sounds almost like the commonality of purpose that comes in a war or something, where if this goes down, we're all going down with it.
Well, that was exactly the feeling.
Why would the real estate guys have paid their taxes in advance?
Out of loyalty to New York City, yes.
But at the deeper sense,
they and Felix understood that this great city,
on its knees,
that the country couldn't survive without New York.
I mean, there is also in that story, as I understand it,
they also got a discount, right?
Absolutely, but we got the cash.
And Donna says that same big apple mix of public-spiritedness and naked self-interest kind of drove all of these deals.
Well, it's transactional.
It's a New York transactional.
Yeah, right?
Like, I'm going to do the right thing, but I'm also going to get a little piece of the deal for myself.
Yep.
When it came to the state of New York, the things it wanted the most from the city were assurances that the debt problem would not get any worse and that none of this would ever happen again.
Creating the MAC was just the first part of a plan that developed over months.
The second part of the plan went like this.
In exchange for funding a $2 billion aid package to the city, the state legislature forced the city's elected officials to give up a lot of their power over their own budget.
New York City politicians would no longer be able to just fund every exciting new initiative or genuinely important social service by fiddling with a balance sheet.
A presumably more responsible but less democratic entity was created to watch over the city budget, the Emergency Financial Control Board.
The control board got the final say over basically every last financial move the city made and made sure that the city was making the deep cuts it had to actually balance its budget.
The state essentially took away home rule from the city for the financial part of the city.
But
even with the real estate folks paying their taxes early and the unions using their own pension funds to prop up MAC bonds and the state throwing in billions more, there was still one big piece missing.
One institution whose involvement would do more than just fill the hole in the budget, one that hopefully would signal to markets that New York City wasn't going to be allowed to fail.
That institution?
The federal government.
Yeah.
In the fall of 1975, Mayor Abe Beam traveled to Washington, D.C.
to plead his city's case.
What we want is the use of the federal government's credit through guarantees on our securities until we are able to re-enter the credit markets on our own.
In other words, Beam was asking the federal government to bail out New York City, but the president, Gerald Ford, was not having it.
Responsibility for New York City's financial problems is being left on the front doorstep of the federal government, unwanted and abandoned by its real parents.
In a speech at the National Press Club, Ford made all the usual arguments you hear made against any bailout.
Why should taxpayers make investors whole on a bad bet they made?
What kind of example would bailing out New York give to other cities who might be tempted to cut corners with their budgets?
I am prepared to veto any bill
that has as its purpose a federal bailout of New York City to prevent a default.
I am fundamentally opposed to this so-called solution.
The next day, the New York Daily News busted out a headline for the ages.
Ford to City, drop dead.
Do you remember seeing that headline?
Of course.
I had it for a long time framed.
But despite what Ford said in his speech, the federal government, and Gerald Ford in particular, were caught in the same incentive trap as everybody else.
The country couldn't afford to have New York City actually descend into bankruptcy.
And Ford had a presidential election coming up, and New York had a lot of electoral votes.
So in December of 1975, the United States itself was finally pulled into Felix Rowidan's grand bargain.
The government ponied up more than $2 billion in short-term loans to New York City.
I talked to Jerry Ford about it years later.
He used to have a conference in Vail.
And I used to sit next to him at dinner because he told his wife I was the only one that knew anything about football.
But I talked to him about that.
Did he regret it?
No, because he said,
from his point of view, it forced the city to pull itself together and to get it done.
And that's where the story usually ends.
Grand bargain achieved, fiscal crisis averted.
But in reality, it wasn't quite that neat.
It took years of raising taxes, slashing public services, and cutting back the number of police officers and teachers and sanitation workers to get the budget to balance.
And the city became a harder place to live, especially if you were poor.
But the math, the actual numbers in the city budget, did start to reflect reality.
how much the city took in and how much it sent out.
And eventually, the markets finally started to believe what the city was saying about those numbers.
In 1979, for the first time in four years, New York City was once again able to sell its short-term debt.
It's worth noting, New York City, not the last place in the country to be completely overwhelmed by its debt.
Philadelphia and Washington, D.C.
in the 90s, Detroit and Puerto Rico in the 2010s, each one had a similar debt crisis.
But because of New York City, they also had a playbook to follow, a series of difficult and painful moves that could eventually lead them back out of that crisis.
The New York City debt crisis was not the only economic debacle of the 1970s.
If that happens to be your thing, we've also got an episode about the 1970s out-of-control inflation and one about Richard Nixon trying to manipulate the Fed.
You can find links in our show notes.
Also, we here at Planet Money, we have made a book.
If you'd like to pre-order it, you can go to planetmoneybook.com.
Today's episode of Planet Money was produced by Samuel Horse Kessler and James Sneed with help from Julia Ritchie.
It was edited by Jess Jang.
The show was fact-checked by Sierra Juarez, engineered by Debbie Dotry and Cena Lafredo, and we had research help from Will Chase and Jane Gilbin.
Our executive producer is Alex Goldmark.
Special thanks today to Dennis Coleman, David Schleicher, Lyle Clark, Kevin Hennigan, and everyone at Classical King FM in Seattle.
You're Kings.
I'm Keith Romer.
I'm Nick Fountain.
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Ready to start talking to your kids about financial literacy?
Meet Greenlight, the debit card and money app that teaches kids and teens how to earn, save, spend wisely, and invest.
Start your risk-free trial at greenlight.com slash npr.
This message comes from Michelin.
More than a tire company, Michelin is an innovation company.
From connected mobility to clean materials, and now taking on one of the toughest mobility challenges, space.
Developing an airless wheel for space exploration designed to withstand the extreme conditions at the moon's south pole.
Michelin isn't just making exceptional tires, they're helping build a better future.
Motion for life.
More at michelinman.com/slash y-michelin slash innovation.