Matjaž Leonardis - Science, Identity, and Probability
Matjaž Leonardis has co-written a paper with David Deutsch about the Popper-Miller Theorem. In this episode, we talk about that as well as the dangers of the scientific identity, the nature of scientific progress, and advice for young people who want to be polymaths.
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Transcript
Speaker 2
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Speaker 2 Okay,
Speaker 2 today I have the pleasure of speaking with Machas Leonardus.
Speaker 2 Machas has co-written a paper with David Deutsch about the Problem Miller theorem, and we get into that, as well as the dangers of the scientific identity, the nature of scientific progress, and advice to young people who want to be polymaths.
Speaker 2 Machas is one such, as you will see. He's a fascinating person that I've had the pleasure of getting to know, and he has a broad range of interesting ideas, which we get into.
Speaker 2 So, without further ado, here's Machas Leonardis. Okay, Machas, you have co-written a paper with David Deutsch about Bayes' theorem.
Speaker 2 But before we get into that, let's talk about the big picture questions. Science.
Speaker 2 What is it? And
Speaker 2 is it somewhat of a confusion to even talk about it distinctly from other disciplines?
Speaker 1 Well, so my view on that subject is
Speaker 1 that
Speaker 1 often
Speaker 1 a lot of talk about science ends up being quite counterproductive? I'm not saying that there is no such thing as science, but I definitely think that
Speaker 1 sort of
Speaker 1 that people identify with science too much.
Speaker 1 They wonder whether what they are doing is science.
Speaker 1 They think they are scientists and wonder what is it that they should do in their capacity as scientists.
Speaker 1 And I think that often has a counterproductive effect
Speaker 1 on basically what they do. Now, one interesting thing to note is that the name scientist is actually
Speaker 1 an early 19th century invention. It was traced back to, I think, to
Speaker 1 professors at Trinity College in Cambridge.
Speaker 1 And people were able to do science before that quite well.
Speaker 1 And
Speaker 1 so one of the problems that I see, I guess, in that respect is just that
Speaker 1 people perhaps think about, you know,
Speaker 1 what is a scientist and, sorry, who is a scientist and what is science a bit too much.
Speaker 2 But I don't know the history here. Did people not consider themselves natural philosophers before then?
Speaker 1 There has definitely been sort of names for
Speaker 1 this role.
Speaker 1 So one way to sort of think about it is that people have always thought about the natural world, though, right? So, people have always tried to understand
Speaker 1 how
Speaker 1 machines work, how nature works, how sort of everything does, and they often did that without ever becoming conscious of the idea that they were doing anything special or that they are playing a special role by doing so.
Speaker 1 And
Speaker 1 they were able to sort of do it just fine. And one of the things that,
Speaker 1 you know, at some point that obviously changed.
Speaker 1 You know,
Speaker 1 this sort of idea that one is engaged in some sort of a special activity when one is trying to understand nature and there being kind of a special social role for that, like all of that obviously has to develop.
Speaker 1 But it does seem to be the case that you can reach a better understanding of the natural world without it.
Speaker 1 And therefore there is a question.
Speaker 1
Sorry. Sorry, go ahead.
Oh, no, and therefore there is a question about, you know, whether it is actually helpful.
Speaker 2 Okay, well, if the identity of scientists is not that useful, then why do we have universities that we consider to be special places and we employ people with tax dollars to do special things?
Speaker 2 I mean clearly they're not doing construction or
Speaker 2 building archers or something like that.
Speaker 1 So
Speaker 1
there is an activity. i.e.
trying to understand the natural world that seems to work better when it is supported sort of both kind of that it is that it's institutionally and culturally supported.
Speaker 1 So, you know, it is useful to have institutions that kind of keep all the relevant books at the same place and kind of get some of the same people
Speaker 1 at the same place that sort of organize events and sort of where people can sort of meet each other.
Speaker 1 And I think that that, you know,
Speaker 1 so I'm not disputing that there is an activity that is sort of worthy
Speaker 1 of being supported,
Speaker 1 but whether that sort of particular way of looking at that activity is the right one
Speaker 1 is less clear.
Speaker 2 Okay, so you do identify there's a special role for universities and they're doing a
Speaker 2 distinctive activity. Well, if it's not science they're doing, how would you describe what the thing they're doing is?
Speaker 1 Right. So
Speaker 1 well, okay, so perhaps to illustrate this, right, one
Speaker 1 needn't needn't think of this activity in a unified way. So for example, like imagine that we had an institution and in this institution there would be somebody who was interested in
Speaker 1 liquid helium and he would be writing about it and talking with all the people that were interested in it. And then you would have another person and that person
Speaker 1 would be interested in
Speaker 1
the way stars swarm and their evolution. And that person would be sort of again writing about this, talking with other people about it.
And you could have so on for just a bunch of other things.
Speaker 1 Now, you can easily have an institution that would be sort of supporting all of these people in that in that endeavor.
Speaker 1 But, you know, that, you know,
Speaker 1 but now, for example,
Speaker 1 if one were to just kind of stop there, right,
Speaker 1 it's not possible yet at that stage, you know, to sort of say, okay, well, well, all of these people are engaged in this unified activity
Speaker 1 called science. And oh, are some of them really doing it or not?
Speaker 1 Everybody is just, it's just, you know, one person is doing this, one person is doing that, you know, one person is doing the third thing. So perhaps, I mean, an interesting comparison might be
Speaker 1 for kind of the particular view that I have. It's just like, you know,
Speaker 1 like people have this idea of an entrepreneur, right?
Speaker 1 Well, you know, in a certain sense,
Speaker 1 you know, and all of these entrepreneurs are kind of trying to construct different companies, right? But
Speaker 1 nobody is kind of asking the question, well, you know, is any one of these people actually entrepreneuring, right?
Speaker 1 That is not a conversation that ever arises. So it is in that sense that I think that
Speaker 1 you can have an institution that supports that activity, but you don't need to
Speaker 1 understand it in this particular way that science is often understood in.
Speaker 2 And so what's counterproductive about the current understanding of science and scientists?
Speaker 1 Right. So one problem
Speaker 1 with this idea is that the idea of sort of science and scientists comes with this idea that there is this particular method. In other words,
Speaker 1 that one is somehow doing something more other than just being engaged
Speaker 1 with a particular problem or question and pursuing it wherever it might lead. There is this idea that there is a specific method.
Speaker 1 that one ought to use to think about this particular question rather than just
Speaker 1 where sort of the question naturally leads you. And I think that
Speaker 1 this attitude or this idea can often stop people from doing sensible things
Speaker 1 that
Speaker 1 would otherwise,
Speaker 1 that would help with sort of
Speaker 1 pursuing their problem, right? So
Speaker 1 the thinking is that you need to pursue the various questions with a specific method as opposed to just where kind of the logic of the problem itself leads you.
Speaker 1 And I'm not saying that this actually affects everybody or that this is a sort of an across-the-board thing,
Speaker 1 but it is sort of an argument that often features the current conception of this, therefore, you know, as I said sort of before, kind of allows you to make criticism of somebody.
Speaker 1 You know, you can say, Well, are they really doing this thing or not?
Speaker 1 Which is not a thing you could really do, you know, where it just were people just sort of thinking about specific issues and what they did was understood in that way.
Speaker 1 And in general,
Speaker 1 I do think that like making, making, you know, becoming conscious of what one is doing doing
Speaker 1 and
Speaker 1 sort of classifying it or telling yourself the story about it
Speaker 1 is one thing that is known
Speaker 1 in several other fields to sometimes lead to problems.
Speaker 1 Hence the term self-consciousness and it being sort of productive, it being deemed counterproductive in many areas.
Speaker 2 But let me make the counter argument. There is a specific method, or at least a family of methods, right? We have proper, we have
Speaker 2 falsifiability, testability, and we privilege these over other methods we could be using, like myth-making and so on.
Speaker 2 So what's wrong with somebody understanding their position in an institution as to understand the world through a specific family of methods?
Speaker 1 Well,
Speaker 1 I would perhaps, funny you mentioned Popper there, because I would actually dispute that premise. He wrote this,
Speaker 1 I mean,
Speaker 1 there is, I think, a very nice set of undergraduate lectures that has been recorded from him
Speaker 1 where he says that that he was, I think, a professor of scientific method at the London School of Economics or something like that.
Speaker 1 And he says in that lecture that he is a professor of a subject that he thinks does not exist.
Speaker 1 His student Feyerabend, I think, actually wrote a book against method,
Speaker 1 which is sort of yet another kind of philosopher of science arguing against that idea.
Speaker 1 And
Speaker 1 now
Speaker 1 it is true that
Speaker 1 there are certain, I guess, patterns of thought that are more conducive to under, that seem to at least be more conducive to understanding the natural world than others.
Speaker 1 But I think that that is still
Speaker 1 like
Speaker 1 what patterns work,
Speaker 1 you know, how one thinks about them and so on. All of these things are kind of
Speaker 1 more of a great mystery than an exact science, to put it like that.
Speaker 2 So then
Speaker 2 to paraphrase you, let me just see if I'm understanding you correctly.
Speaker 2 It's that scientists should consider certain methods better than others, but they shouldn't identify themselves with some of them?
Speaker 1 Well, I mean, okay, that's
Speaker 1 I'm not sure if that is sort of paraphrasing it exactly as I see it, because it's
Speaker 1 like this,
Speaker 1 it is very unclear if one
Speaker 1 is ever using a method um because you know like like people people as i said at the beginning people have been thinking about the natural world without being conscious of it in in any way and and you know it is it is you know like thoughts are constantly arising in the mind right
Speaker 1 and it's it's it often feels like a bit of a stretch to say that you know all these different thoughts one is having
Speaker 1 are arising as a result of a method um as opposed to just just arising that there is a certain level of ambiguity that I think sometimes occurs there.
Speaker 2 So, people have been trying to solve problems for a long time, but only recently, well, I would argue that only recently, um, for maybe like the past 500 years, they've been very productive in understanding the natural world.
Speaker 2 And it does seem to be because of a family of methods, right?
Speaker 2 So, doesn't the case of the success of the Enlightenment lend credence to the idea that certain methods are to be privileged and are more productive?
Speaker 1 Um,
Speaker 1 well, um,
Speaker 1 I
Speaker 1 do not not exactly have a view
Speaker 1 on that subject.
Speaker 1 For example,
Speaker 1 there, to be honest, I just sort of don't know. I kind of have various passing thoughts on that issue.
Speaker 1 But I mean, for example, there is this sort of question, there is this sort of narrative about the importance of the Enlightenment. And
Speaker 1 it's not exactly obvious to me, if that narrative is in fact true. or if that narrative is more of a fiction.
Speaker 1 And,
Speaker 1 you know,
Speaker 1 there are strong proponents for one of that positions and there are strong proponents for the other.
Speaker 1 And what they have in common, ironically, is that I think that they both sort of agree that there was something very important about the Enlightenment.
Speaker 1 Because there is perhaps yet another third explanation where
Speaker 1 it was
Speaker 1 all of this had nothing to do to do with anything else. Maybe it was just economic progress that allowed for
Speaker 1 all this thought to be produced at the time. It's very, very difficult to sort of figure out exactly how causality works with most of these things.
Speaker 1 But to this idea that it was due to
Speaker 1 a change in method, I mean, like, well, that's like a lot of people at the time had that idea, but a lot of people kind of subsequently criticized that idea by sort of pointing out, well, I don't know, maybe something did change in the way we thought about things, but nobody can really understand that change, right?
Speaker 1 Because a huge part of that idea was that, you know, what is is that is that what was this idea of reason really that that somehow or other reason is the way to to understand the natural world and what for example hume and other skeptics subsequently pointed out is just that well like like like this like this can't possibly really work as as you know um you guys are imagining it because for example i mean as hume pointed out this is kind of the the famous problem of induction you know there is no way to kind of proceed logically i.e by reason from experience to
Speaker 1 the celebrated general theories of the Enlightenment, such as Newton's theory and such like.
Speaker 1 And
Speaker 1 so I do not know what opinion exactly I have on that issue, but these are some of my thoughts.
Speaker 2 That was a very interesting answer. Speaking of induction, let's get into the paper you co-wrote with David that's coming out soon.
Speaker 2 So do you want to describe it?
Speaker 1 Oh, sure. So
Speaker 1 we wrote a paper on something called the Popper-Miller theorem. Popper-Miller theorem was a theorem that Popper, that we previously mentioned in this podcast, and David Miller,
Speaker 1 basically, they published a short letter in Nature in 1983,
Speaker 1 where they presented this very kind of short paradox where they basically claimed that
Speaker 1 the way they explained it was the idea that probabilistic support is not inductive.
Speaker 1 That is quite vague and this was conceded by many people kind of subsequently.
Speaker 1 But the basic idea is something like,
Speaker 1 so basically,
Speaker 1 there is this idea that somehow, and this idea is very much a part of common sense and was a part of various attempts to build an inductive logic at the time, which is simply this idea
Speaker 1 that evidence somehow confers support on general theories.
Speaker 1 And figuring out the right model of that of that support,
Speaker 1 of how this sort of support works,
Speaker 1 you know, has been kind of one of the the challenges that people have basically been trying to figure out at the time.
Speaker 1 And one of the ideas was that basically probability is what probability was considered as one of such possible sort of support measures. And
Speaker 1 basically
Speaker 1 what their theorem aimed to show was that this that this probabilistic support that evidence sort of confers on theories, i.e., you know, a piece of evidence comes in and the probability of a particular theory increases by 10%, that that 10% increase can't really be understood as in any way being due to that evidence conferring some kind of inductive support on that theory.
Speaker 1 And the way they made the argument is that they basically said,
Speaker 1 they basically identified two propositions.
Speaker 1 They said, look, this theory relative to this evidence, like really this first proposition is a kind of the deductive part of the theory relative to the evidence.
Speaker 1
And this other part of the theory is the inductive part of the theory relative to the evidence. And they showed that the evidence always decreases the probability of this inductive part.
Now,
Speaker 1 there are sort of two, there was a lot of kind of subsequent commentary on this, on this result. And
Speaker 1 the main points that people kind of made were: well, you know, the main points of the dispute were: well, in what sense is this proposition that they said was the inductive part, in what sense does it kind of capture, you know, all of a, you know, all of this theory that goes beyond the evidence, as they put it?
Speaker 1 And then the other issue
Speaker 1 was just, because there is this sort of vague notion of
Speaker 1 inductive support and what exactly that means.
Speaker 1 And so that was kind of another source of objections.
Speaker 1 And I think that the conversation has in many ways sort of moved on from there.
Speaker 1 But we sort of thought that
Speaker 1 that argument is sort of still interesting. We found sort of a couple of other ways of explaining it.
Speaker 1 And
Speaker 1 I think they present kind of a very very interesting challenge to this idea of
Speaker 1 trying to use Bayesian reasoning to either build an AGI or for various other purposes. And we thought that would be sort of a very interesting thing to present.
Speaker 2 Okay. Did this theorem fit a broader theme in Popper's work?
Speaker 1 Well, it sort of did, right? So the basic idea that Popper had
Speaker 1 that I think kind of sort of came out, this theorem I think came out out of kind of the same way of thinking about this, was basically just this idea that,
Speaker 1 so he was interested in the idea of logical content of a theory.
Speaker 1 There was this idea that just like you could have, you know, this probability measure that you assign to theories, you can assign a content measure.
Speaker 1 So the idea is that some theories say more than others.
Speaker 1 And the question was, can you construct a measure of that kind? And one of the interesting observations in
Speaker 1 thinking about that measure is simply the fact that kind of the constraints or the rules rules it has to obey are exactly the same as as the probability calculus basically
Speaker 1 so so in a certain sense you can um you can always interpret some assignment of probabilities right as as really being a kind of a statement of um
Speaker 1 as he put it a degree of logical weakness so you know if i say that one theory is um more likely than another theory um i you know there is a per there is always this perfectly consistent interpretation where what i'm actually just saying is that um
Speaker 1 if I say that this theory is more likely than that theory, I can say this theory says less than this theory.
Speaker 1 That was kind of the idea of it. And
Speaker 1 basically,
Speaker 1 the reason, therefore, he, I think, kind of became skeptical of kind of these probabilistic approaches to knowledge is simply the fact that
Speaker 1 as he saw it, And I think that there are some reasons to kind of think that this is in fact how people think,
Speaker 1 is that what people actually want, what they believe in, what they seek, are not kind of these sort of tautology-like, content-less, but likely theories, as it were, but kind of these incredibly informative
Speaker 1 and therefore
Speaker 1 informative, explanatory, and therefore kind of less likely theories.
Speaker 1 And if you want kind of an example of the fact that people do seem to think about that way, right, there is something known as the conjunction fallacy that would seem to sort of support that.
Speaker 1
So there is this famous experiment. I think it was popularized by Daniel Kahneman in his book, Thinking Fast and Slow, which was, I think, the sort of case of Linda.
So,
Speaker 1 you know, in this experiment, you're told about a woman, and you're given a bunch of information that would kind of, you know, that are kind of stereotypically associated with being a feminist.
Speaker 1 And then the question is, well, is it more likely that Linda is A, a banker, or B, a banker and a feminist?
Speaker 1 And a lot of people pick option B, even though the probability calculus kind of tells you that,
Speaker 1 you know, option A has to be more likely than option B. And so the question can be: why is that?
Speaker 1 But I think that this tendency that he talked about sort of explains this phenomenon, right? The second fact explains the facts you were initially given, but option A, as I called it, doesn't.
Speaker 1 And I think that this is sort of a part of a general theme where people really do
Speaker 1 sort of look for, and as I said, believe in explanatory general theories, not
Speaker 1 by
Speaker 1 not this sort of content,
Speaker 1
not kind of the most likely theory. I mean, there are several European languages.
I think the German, German, and Slovenian are the two that I know, where I think that,
Speaker 1 like, if you were to translate the word for probability into English, it would be something like believability.
Speaker 1 And
Speaker 1 I think that
Speaker 1 if you interpret probability in that way, sort of, I think that
Speaker 1 the believability of explanatory theories is always higher than the believability of these sort of
Speaker 1 less likely theories, and therefore believability isn't really probability.
Speaker 2 Okay, and can you explain why explanatory theories should be preferred?
Speaker 1 Well, I'm not saying that they should be.
Speaker 1 I do like explanatory theories. I find them interesting to think about and kind of much more fun to engage with.
Speaker 1 I mean, I can give you his arguments for it. I'm not sure if I entirely agree with them, but...
Speaker 2 Actually, I'm more interested in where you might disagree.
Speaker 1 Where might I disagree?
Speaker 1 Well,
Speaker 1 for example, he pointed,
Speaker 1 so there is this interesting question, right, of what exactly is the role of this universal theories? Like,
Speaker 1 why do we have have them? Why do we think about them? Why do we try to improve them and so on?
Speaker 1 And his argument was that
Speaker 1 people actually, his argument was actually quite psychological. It was that people seem to have this need for regularity.
Speaker 1 And if you put them in an environment without regularity,
Speaker 1 people kind of go mad or
Speaker 1 at least
Speaker 1 kind of invent regularity out of thin air.
Speaker 1 And I think that's a very interesting argument.
Speaker 1 There is this interesting question of why, if this is true, I can't quite exactly see why this need for regularity exists,
Speaker 1 but it is something that I think
Speaker 1 is
Speaker 1 kind of worthy of exploration.
Speaker 1 On the other hand, I think that another thing that is great about explanatory theories is that they allow, and I think that this was another point that you would make, is that they sort of allow for progress, right?
Speaker 1 Because it's only if you kind of of create this universal explanatory theories and you go out there,
Speaker 1 you know, you will eventually find that something about it doesn't quite work. So you will replace it with another and then another one after that.
Speaker 1 But what is kind of happening in that process is that
Speaker 1 your kind of knowledge of the world is increasing in a way it wouldn't if you just accumulated experiences.
Speaker 1 Because, you know, if you were just accumulating experience, you might never go out there and try
Speaker 1 things that your universal theory says you should do, and therefore discover that it's false. And another thing that can happen in this process is that
Speaker 1 various kinds of truth can accumulate in these general theories that are not present just in the experience alone.
Speaker 1 And so
Speaker 1 I'm not sure if this thing that I just said is his argument or something
Speaker 1 or not, but it is, I think, another reason why explanatory theories play such an interesting role
Speaker 1 in life in general.
Speaker 2 I completely agree with everything there, but you didn't explain where you disagree with Popper.
Speaker 1 Well, I mean, I said that
Speaker 1 it's somewhat unclear to me.
Speaker 1 This thing that I mentioned about the need for regularity,
Speaker 1 I'm not sure if it exists.
Speaker 1 It's plausible that it exists, but if it does, I don't quite understand how it works.
Speaker 1 So that's kind of that.
Speaker 2 Okay, let me ask about being polymathic. So this paper clearly pulls from a lot of disciplines, and I think a lot of the work you do generally does.
Speaker 2 What advice do you have to a young person who's trying to be a polymath?
Speaker 1 Well,
Speaker 1 first of all, the first piece of advice
Speaker 1 that I would give is that you should never take advice from me.
Speaker 1 The second thing I would say, though, is
Speaker 1 It actually relates,
Speaker 1 so
Speaker 1 again, this sort of relates to just a particular
Speaker 1 problem that
Speaker 1 I think people are naturally interested in everything.
Speaker 1 And it is only through,
Speaker 1 again,
Speaker 1 it's actually very similar to the thing we talked about at the beginning.
Speaker 1 I think that the same phenomenon that happens with the way people think about science sort of happens with learning.
Speaker 1 So, you know, people learn all their life.
Speaker 1
And in fact, people learn all the time. Like, you interact with information all the time.
It changes you. But you never think, you never consciously think of changing yourself by doing that or
Speaker 1 you know
Speaker 1 trying to change it. It's only in very special circumstances that you kind of try to think of yourself in that way.
Speaker 1 And I think a lot of what happens when one tries to do that is actually quite counterproductive.
Speaker 1 Like, for example, there are a lot of ideas that
Speaker 1 if you want to learn something, you can't just do it through a smoosis. You have to be very, very systematic about it.
Speaker 1 And I think that is basically completely false.
Speaker 1 I think that,
Speaker 1 and again, this sort of leads people in the sort of very, very counterproductive direction where they think they need to study the fundamentals of something.
Speaker 1 And then there are, first of all, they think they need to study a subject. Then you think, okay, first I need to study the fundamentals, then the intermediate level, then the advanced levels.
Speaker 1
And all of these levels are fiction. There is sort of not none of that there.
And all of these ideas were actually developed to all of them.
Speaker 1 They have always been developed to solve a particular problem or advance a particular need. And I think
Speaker 1 what is
Speaker 1 most, if one wants to just have broad interests, I think the most important thing is to just
Speaker 1 pursue whatever you're interested in, not be afraid or think that you can't understand it, and paradoxically,
Speaker 1 not actually trying to achieve any particular change in yourself,
Speaker 1 but rather just sort of going where the story goes.
Speaker 1 Reading history is perhaps sort of helpful because
Speaker 1 a lot of books are kind of written with
Speaker 1 these ideas that I think are misconceptions in mind.
Speaker 1 But
Speaker 1 there is a substantial
Speaker 1 but history, often,
Speaker 1 history of things often gets around that because
Speaker 1 every single thing you see in a textbook wasn't written to be put in a textbook, wasn't developed so that somebody could learn it.
Speaker 1
It was created by somebody who was trying to do something or understand something. And it was useful in a particular context.
And that's why people adopted it.
Speaker 1 And that's why it eventually ended up in that textbook. But what often happens is that then that context goes away and all that remains is a textbook.
Speaker 1 And so you are left with all of these irrelevant seeming information that was actually relevant to somebody at some point, but is no longer relevant to anybody.
Speaker 1 that reads it or at least not immediately relevant to how they approach it. So that are some of my basic thoughts on like what I sometimes see kind of go weird.
Speaker 1 But I think that people, you know, polymath is not something you learn to be, it's something you unlearn to be, as some people would put it.
Speaker 2
Awesome. That's very liberating advice.
But let me ask you this:
Speaker 2 should you just, should a young person just be focused on learning what they find interesting?
Speaker 2 Or, as you mentioned, like people are trying to find solutions to the problem situations they're in, should they be purposefully trying to identify problem situations in existing knowledge?
Speaker 1 Yeah, so I think that
Speaker 1 when it comes to that, I think my impression at least is that the most important thing is to connect
Speaker 1 with
Speaker 1 other people or groups of people that are doing something.
Speaker 1 Because there you will,
Speaker 1 you know, again,
Speaker 1 find something that you can contribute to
Speaker 1 as well as
Speaker 1 sort of get support for doing so and so on.
Speaker 1 I think that that is sort of very much an unsolved problem as a thing to kind of do at scale.
Speaker 1 As I think we
Speaker 1 talked about at some point,
Speaker 1 like there is this idea that you would create a kind of a,
Speaker 1 there is often this idea that
Speaker 1 one could easily create kind of a list of all unsolved problems in a given field and just put it on the internet.
Speaker 1 And many people kind of think, well, this seems so simple. Like, why doesn't anybody ever do that? And I think that is actually incredibly difficult to do.
Speaker 1 I think that the kinds of information that you would have to put
Speaker 1 online is just incredibly,
Speaker 1 it's very, very unclear how one does that. And
Speaker 1 the key thing to realize is that, well,
Speaker 1 first of all,
Speaker 1 there really is no such thing as
Speaker 1 an unsolved problem, I think, as conventionally understood. There are just a bunch of people and
Speaker 1 like one can form a view that creating something would be valuable to them.
Speaker 1 It often won't be valuable to everybody, it will only be valuable to a subsection of those people.
Speaker 1 And those people might not actually know in advance that that's what they would want. And for that reason, it's actually quite difficult to sort of put,
Speaker 1 you know, that seems to be a kind, that's that is kind of the diff, it's a difficult thing to kind of put online for that reason.
Speaker 1 And
Speaker 1 yeah.
Speaker 1 Oh, interesting.
Speaker 2 So but if you're but if you're a young person who needs to connect to people to
Speaker 2 who are solving the right problems or about to solve the right problems, but you yourself don't know what the right problems are because you haven't connected to them yet.
Speaker 2 I mean, how do you solve that circle?
Speaker 1
Right. So I think that that that is sort of quite a challenge.
And as I said, I think I'm terrible at this.
Speaker 1 There are people who I think are sort of because I think you know it is very much the case, as you sort of say that that the whole thing has a bit of a sort of a chicken and egg problem to it right because the whole idea is well you can't really contribute anything valuable because you don't know anything about you know what these people's lives are like what you can contribute to it and on the other hand it's kind of difficult to join the conversation because you don't have anything yet to contribute to it right and so the the
Speaker 1 there are these sort of all kinds of idiosyncratic ways that that I think this sort of happens and gets solved uh but but there isn't anything as it's not an impossible problem to solve but but it does require I think quite a bit of an experimentation
Speaker 1 I don't think I'm I'm the best person at this by by any stretch but these are I guess are just some general thoughts in that okay so then young people connecting to mentors who are solving the right problems is this very hard is this impossible almost
Speaker 1 I actually
Speaker 1 no I don't think I don't think so at all I think that the the main problem is just that it is somewhat idiosyncratic right? So you cannot just sort of
Speaker 1 give a universal answer.
Speaker 1 But I think that
Speaker 1 it's definitely not the case that the world is hostile to it. I think people are very sympathetic to attempts to do that.
Speaker 1 And
Speaker 1 as basically you illustrate, I think
Speaker 1 a lot of that is very, very possible.
Speaker 2 There's tremendous goodwill for young people out there.
Speaker 1 So that's, yeah, I have sort of the same impression. And
Speaker 1 so yeah, I don't want to, like, I think one of the worst things, perhaps the reason I sort of bring this up is just because
Speaker 1 I think people often just lack awareness of this.
Speaker 1 They kind of lack the awareness of the fact that that is kind of the main challenge,
Speaker 1 or at least a thing that one ought to do.
Speaker 1 And
Speaker 1 yeah, I guess for that reason, I think it is sort of worth mentioning.
Speaker 2 On that hopeful and optimistic note, Masjas, thank you for being on the show. This is very fascinating.
Speaker 1
Thanks. Thanks thanks for having me.
It's been a pleasure.