2024 Crypto Bull Run Predictions with Todd Green DSH #370

If you really want to make some good money and cut the emotion out and try to stick to charts, there's this theory that I've been using and there's a lot to the theory.

It's called the 5.3 theory.

Math is absolute.

The theory behind it is that every four years you can divide it by 5.3 and get the future four-year prediction.

And it has never been wrong.

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Guys, we got a great friend of mine today, super knowledgeable in the crypto space.

I honestly don't know anyone more knowledgeable and has been able to predict almost everything in crypto.

My friend Todd Green.

Thanks for coming on, man.

Hey, how you doing, man?

Good timing, too.

It's a pleasure to be here, dude.

Yeah, Bitcoin's about to hit all-time high right now.

Yeah, we've been talking about doing this for years now.

And I think that's kind of why I ended up here is because you were seeing those predictions.

And I just wanted to come on here and kind of explain how I got them.

Absolutely.

Yeah.

You were one of the first people I hit up, up, but you're so low-key in that crypto space.

Yeah, yeah.

Even now, I'm not here to get followers.

I'm not here to sell anything.

I'm not a financial guru.

I'm just here to kind of open light to technical analysis and how it could work.

And, you know, a specific theory that I've been using to get those prices that's been predicting Bitcoin's price since the inception of Bitcoin.

Yeah.

And the way you do technical analysis is so unique because so many people try to do it, but they fail, right?

Yeah.

A lot of the things with technical analysis, it's trial and error.

Like when I I first started, I'm not by any means, like when I first started,

I've been through my depressions.

I remember making, when I was like 18, I first started, I opened up a Roth IRA and I didn't know anything what I was doing.

I was just kind of every year, I would just add to it.

And then five years went by and I opened it up and it was 30 grand and it was five grand gains.

And I was like, I only made five grand in five years.

And then that's when I was like, I need to take control of it.

So after 25K, they let you, you know, trade willingly.

You can do whatever you want.

And I just started doing that.

And you kind of, you kind of dive into finance with

optimism at first.

And you get wrecked pretty quickly, you know, just by emotion.

Emotion controls a lot when it comes to trading.

And, you know, I bet at first I was making a ton of money and I wasn't losing for like a year, two years.

And I was like, holy shit.

Like, or, you know, I was just, I was, I was pretty excited.

And, um, and after a while, it started going down.

And then I was like 22, 23.

And you start to, you get to a point where you're like, am I going to let this beat me or am I going to learn and figure out what's happening?

And then that's when I got introduced to technical analysis.

Got it.

And because I was really big on fundamentals.

I was buying because of news articles.

I would hear about Tesla coming out with a new car or are supposed to have good earnings.

Then you'd buy into that.

And then you'd get wrecked.

And you're like, wait, like, what happens?

So you either figure it out or you give up.

And a lot of people give up.

But I just, I couldn't, I don't like to be defeated and that kind of stuff.

So I just, I kept doing it, kept doing it for years.

I mean, now I'm going strong for 15 years.

Damn.

And I feel like I've really figured out a really nice system that cuts all emotion out or as much as you can.

And it's all through TA.

That's awesome.

Yeah.

Cause they say like buy the news, right?

Yeah.

Because it's all emotional trading.

Yeah.

Yeah.

A couple examples of that too.

You know, FTX crashed.

When FTX crashed, you've seen my Instagram post.

I posted, I was like, look, guys, it's 15.5 right now.

The charts are tell, I mean, the news is telling you to sell and everyone's freaking out.

And they're calling 10K, 10K.

But I was like, no, 15.5 is the bottom.

And

now we're here now and it's 65.

And then I even got the buy at 3K.

I called the top at 65K.

We got the rebuy at 15.5.

And now we are entering a really interesting state.

Today, Bitcoin's at, I think, 68,000.

Yeah.

Kind of good timing for us to have the podcast and talk about what's coming up.

And a lot of that too is specifically if you really want to make some good money and cut the emotion out and try to stick to charts.

There's this theory that I've been using.

And there's a lot to the theory.

It's called the 5.3 theory.

And I don't think anyone's ever talked about it publicly on any podcast anywhere ever.

There's a couple of YouTube channels that I follow that have made brought it up.

This guy named Steve is from CryptoCrew University.

He's done a lot of research into it.

The 5.3 theory, what it does is if you take the first, every four year cycles, because you have four year cycles in Bitcoin, if you take the first four year cycles and you measure it from like a penny to the top and you can see the tops to bottom on all the cycles, all four cycles, because it's already happened.

So you can back engineer the

algorithms and the patterns.

So if you measure the first the first four years back in 2008, nine, when it started at 12, you get around 320,000% ROI, roughly, depending on what exchange you use because there's different prices and liquidity, but roughly around 320,000.

If you divide that by 5.3,

you get 62,000.

62,000 was the next run-up up to 20K

from that part, from the bottom to the top.

And then when we came back down and ran to 60K, if you divide again, 60,000 by 5.3, you get 11,500.

11,500 was the next four years ROI.

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When it comes to TA, it's all math, algorithms, pattern recognizing indicators.

You use your indicators to find the strength in the patterns that you're watching, things like that.

And then again, 11 and a half thousand.

If you divide it by 5.3 again, you get 2,100.

2,100 was the first run-up when we went from 3K to 69,000.

That's 2,100%.

So

the theory behind it is that every four years, you can divide it by 5.3 and get the future four-year prediction.

And it has never been wrong.

And me coming here and talking about it today, I'm not actually saying that it like it's going to hold true from now on in the future, but from how I've made most of my predictions was using the 5.3 theory.

So the issue with the 5.3 theory coming up to where we're at now in the market is, is, so now we're at 2,100% in the last run up 3K, 21 or 3K to 61,000 or 69,000.

If you divide that by 5.3, you get around 400, 420%.

That says, you know, according to the five point theory, that

from from bottom to top, and 15.5 is the bottom for this cycle, that the top is only going to be 78K, 80K, that that should be the top.

A lot of people are talking about 100K, 150K.

They're talking about, like, I mean, you remember four years ago, they were talking about million-dollar Bitcoins.

Yeah.

Like, if you go to 99Bitcoinobituary.com, you can literally look at most of the articles by chart, by price.

Oh,

insider info, Forbes at $3.

Bitcoin's doomed.

Ever since the inception, you can literally look how many times China has banned Bitcoin, which is like 10 times.

They do it every other year.

And

the amount of times it's died, it'll show you every article since it was a penny.

And they just, you know, they just, it's just non-stop news that just kind of strays people from what's really happening.

Wow.

So, knowing that information, I mean, it's pretty much a money printer.

Yeah, yeah.

Yeah.

Just to be clear, like about the five-month Ethereum, because it's one of the main reasons I'm trying to share something today is when you, if you just get a calculator out and look at every four-year cycle, draw up and down, get the 325,000 to start, divide it by 5.3, and it equals 61, 62,000.

Measure from bottom to top of that next cycle, it's 61,000.

You divide that cycle again by 5.3, you get that 11 and 11,000 percent.

And then that's the exact number from bottom to 20K that we got.

And then again, like from 15k to 69k, that was from what happened a couple of years ago.

It's literally the like all the way through.

So, so the prediction for the next top in Bitcoin is around 78 to 80 K.

And when that happens, you're predicting it to drop to 15K?

Not 15.

I see support around 30, 35K.

I don't think it's really going to get deep down there.

We could have a wick down to 25, but it'll be very short-lived if it is.

Wow.

That's probably an unpopular opinion because most people are saying Bitcoin to 100 this year.

Yeah.

Usually this whole time I've been trading for 15 years, most of the time when I talk about my opinions,

I've never had people on my side.

It's always the smartest people.

The people that were in my DMs telling me that I was wrong about 15K and that was going to 10 were multi-millionaires, very smart people.

And like, I don't blame them that for them to understand charts and patterns and recognize patterns like that through, through indicators and Fibonacci and understanding that whole sector, it's like, it's a whole other game.

Like there's fundamental people and there's technical analysis people.

And you're one or the other.

I enjoy fundamentals.

I'm not, I'm not, I don't like, I don't care about fundamentals too much, but I enjoy good fundamentals with good TA.

You know what I mean?

Like that helps.

But how many times have we had good earnings and then it tanks on an options just to manipulate the option players and then mess up the short-term option players and then they go right back up?

I mean, like that happens all the time.

Do you think crypto is manipulated in that sense?

Because with stocks, I think six companies own 80% of them, right?

Yeah.

With crypto,

you want to believe that not everyone is involved on like a bigger scale of manipulation.

But like something that really turned my

like my thoughts on like certain people like Elon Musk.

I really wanted him to be different.

But what really messed with me was the day, I remember the exact day, I called my friend Mike and I was like, hey, Mike, I was like, Elon, we were in Doge.

And I was like, hey, we're up a lot.

I know it's at 65, 70 cent.

We were like.

uh he's going on the daily show to talk about dogecoin i remember that first time ever they were like oh he's going on the daily show and i was like we're selling as soon as he sits in that chair and we sat we sold right at 65 cent and the next week came down straight down to 10 cent

that's a perfect example and ftx again was 15 5 and they were screaming 10k and they were screaming 10 year recession i mean i'm like what happened bro the dow's at 40k like like everything like what happened to that 10-year recession you scared you scared everyone out of positions and now those same those people that were scared because they didn't have charts to help them guide themselves through the noise of the news they they you know now they're wrecked and now they're watching the bull market and they're in disbelief so now they're they're wrecked both sides that's the danger of listening to news when you when you're making investments you just you can't yeah the cool thing with what you do is it doesn't matter the market conditions you can make money during recession too right yeah yep yeah up and down you can um the way down is a little bit more risky And a lot of it, you have to practice risk management because it is easy to get overexcited, you know, hitting things all the time.

I've, I've, I've been that person as well.

I've, I've lost, I've made a lot of money and I've also lost a lot of money too.

I'm not perfect at all, but over the years, I have figured out a way to increase my probabilities on trades.

Yeah.

And that is 100% through TA.

I, I, I, I, I'm at the point, there was even a point where I was, I was guessing when it was around, you used to be able to go on Trading View and you could pull up the death chart so you can measure death rate.

And I was charting it and I, and i was predicting news spikes of of uh of news spikes i was pretty i did i did it twice to the t like to the exact week i was like hey you know i was like you know i have a discord and i was just telling everyone i was like hey that yeah it's looking like we're gonna get another spike this week and and literally to get it just through like patterns you could chart it yeah you can't get the data anymore but back then you used to be able to chart it and you could you can see the momentum and the macd and the rsi's moving and flowing and then you know when it turns bullish you could see that the news articles come out typically when you you know with ta a lot a lot of the times you you'll have like a descending wedge, which is just a triangle descending.

It's a pretty bullish pattern, comes down and breaks up, but typically at the tip of wedges or the tip of bull flags that are, they look like flags.

I mean, the end of wedges and flags and those kind of things are right when things are squeezing.

That's when news comes out.

And you have to think like when things happen, how do all these news articles have all this stuff ready and going?

Every single person, like, you know, so the manipulation is very high.

Like you have Elon Musk in it.

You have almost everyone is part of it, whether you want to believe it or not.

Do you think Elon's fighting against it a little bit, though?

He is.

And honestly, when two sides to the story, it might not even have been him being the manipulative because he was just invited to a show.

Maybe it could have been the person that invited him to the show that planned it for that exact day to pump up the exit liquidity needed on Dogecoin.

Was Elon going on to the talk show?

That was the exit liquidity they needed to provide to those people getting out that knew better.

Are there any news outlets that you trust?

Um, I am honestly at the point where I don't watch any news.

Uh, I have a few YouTubers that I watch very consistently that speak the same way I do.

They stick to charts, they stick to facts, patterns, graphs, technical analysis.

That's that's really the I have a couple of YouTubers that I watch that.

I'm the same way, dude.

I grew up every day watching the news and now I don't watch

it.

And it's sad.

And you know, whether or not it's politics or not, or this and that.

And the market's ever changing.

It's, it's, you have to adapt to change constantly.

Like even the things I'm talking about right now with the 5.3 theory.

So what I also believe the 5.3 theory was, because everyone knows the first, the first Bitcoin transaction that was ever pushed out had a bailout message attached to it.

The bank bailout that happened back then he attached that to it.

So we kind of understand his incentive or whoever's incentive to create

this currency, Bitcoin.

And

the first message was the bailout of Bitcoin, right?

So we have to think that there's a hyperinflation scenario coming.

The hyperinflation scenario, everyone's been talking about for 10, 20, 30, 40.

It's always been in talks.

But I truly think what Bitcoin's purpose was was a timer.

With the 5.3 theory, you diminish into nothing.

If the 5.3 stays stays true it's been true since the inception of bitcoin but if it stays true then then it'll go sideways for five ten years and i failed i i failed to understand that an asset that's so big right now with a set supply with like a million and a half circulating that it's going that it's just going to go sideways when everyone's eating out of it like i just you know like so what i believe the bitcoin's uh true intentions are to to time the hyperinflation scenario so when so it's like a it's like a 15-year timer it's like it's like okay going we're timing we're timing timing we're squeezing

and then boom hyperinflation.

So I think I think that's truly what Bitcoin's purpose was is to time the hyperinflation scenario because we already have all these crazy things against the dollar.

If you go to the dollar on the TA side of it and you go to the monthly chart just any TA guy out there, like just take a look at it.

Do you see any higher highs ever in a cycle?

Do you see lower lows?

Of course you do.

So and then all we're constantly printing money at a crazy, crazy rate.

That's just going up constantly.

That's why, you know, Bitcoin's going up.

There's set supplies to it.

There's, there's just, there's not enough.

so so the hyperinflation scenario could literally happen this decade

like because you got to think like in every four-year cycle we're on the last we're on the last year of this four-year cycle you know around 2025 first quarter you know we we should have another bear market rolling into you know that next year into 2026 of september roughly that should be the next bottom of the market and so so so you gotta you gotta think like when the roi start to just squeeze like is that a timer for the hyperinflation scenario right who do you think invented bitcoin um i've seen a lot of theories and stuff out there.

The, the main thing that uh helps me with, uh,

you know, not caring, because there's a lot of, there's a lot of theories that it's CIA or, um, you know, like, just like bad stuff, you know what I mean?

But there's also a good theory that I've heard is the guy that he worked at TSA, I believe.

And they have, they have certain algorithms and code and security that they say don't have backdoors, but they all do.

All the registered codes and securities and things they have that like that in the TSA, they are all

they pass their qualifications.

And the guy that and the guy that used this certain this certain formula for Bitcoin's price action, then the security of it, he used the only, the, the only,

the only algorithm that doesn't have a back door.

Like TSA, they have backdoors to all their things.

And what you think they don't, they can see all your banks.

Yeah, just like the government, you know, people up there, they have all access to all your stuff.

They really do.

Wow.

But, but when it comes to Bitcoin, it's one of the only things that they use a specific algorithm that they didn't have a back door to.

So it's kind of an interesting thing just to add to the mix because if he really was trying to pull a rug pull in the future, they wouldn't have used the code they used is pretty much.

Right.

Yeah.

I've had some, so my friend's the founder of CoinMarketCap, and he told me it was three guys.

One of them's dead, but he said there's two guys that are still alive.

Gotcha.

He's pretty confident about it.

Pretty confident.

Pretty credible source, too.

Yeah.

Yeah, I'm not sure, you know, completely, but,

you know, it's it's an ever-changing market you just have to adapt to the change and and honestly a lot of the things that i'm even talking about a lot of the ta and things like that a lot of people are getting into ta and a lot of people are learning it and once people do start learning everything that they know then they start changing it up so like they're always couple steps ahead and you have to think like that yeah does ta work on altcoins because you're not going to make a 10x on bitcoin

so the 5.3 theory only works on bitcoin i've tried it out on a couple other ones ethereum has a very interesting pattern uh but I haven't found anything.

It's just Bitcoin that this applies perfectly to the exact percent since the inception of it.

And you have to think, if this algorithm or if this 5.3 theory has been true since the inception, then why were they blaming so, like out of all the things they've blamed in the last 14 years of why Bitcoin went up or why it went down?

Why is it following its exact price no matter what?

You know, like once you have it, once you have this math.

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The algorithm of the 5.3 theory,

how can you not think that?

You know what I mean?

Like if

price action was set in stone the whole time, then how can you blame FTX or how can you blame the Luna crash that just took it to where it was supposed to go?

Like it didn't take it under.

The 5.3 theory stayed true.

Like the whole time, it's never changed.

It's

been to the exact T.

Everyone said Michael Saylor was crazy when he was buying Bitcoin during the bear.

Yeah, I've been buying, I mean, I've been buying since 2018 almost every week.

Like every, every I buy as if it's like my last, my last chance at financial freedom.

That's what I mean.

I mean, it's, yeah, it's just when, when, when opportunities come like this, and I'm pretty good at like, you know, when opportunities come around, I try to try to attack them and get them handled.

And this is just one of the financial opportunities that I feel like is just going to change everything.

Yeah.

You study the flow of money, especially with these bigger companies.

And you mentioned grayscale assets assets yeah grayscale so if you want some solid picks and you're new to crypto and you want a set like a beautiful selection of assets if you go to grayscale's assets grayscale trust investment they they own a bunch of different crypto tickers and all that stuff like my main my my first one uh was etc ethereum classic i got it like 350 and i sold it like 100 120.

and that was one of my main incentives for getting that was when i learned about grayscale and and i i learned of it when you when you got to think if you have a big hedge fund that's already singling out certain coins on a list, they have a list that they have, there's like 20 of them, and then they have a list of potential acceptings.

If you, and those are like the higher risk, you know, but but they're already looking at it.

It's on Grayscale, right?

So if you, if you go on Grayscale and look at the assets in consideration and you look at those and see all those, I'm telling you, like at this point, everything's kind of moving up right now.

But if you would have followed that, which was what I've been doing, and you just bought every single one of those and accumulated those, every single ticker in that thing is up.

All of them.

Not a single one is down right now.

They're all up one, two, to a thousand X to 2,000.

Holy, even the comparables, like so ETC has ETCG, Litcoin has LTCN, and Ethereum has ETHE.

So when you look at those,

and like Grayscale, like Grayscale was at $8 at a point.

It was at a super discount.

Typically, Grayscale sells at a premium of Bitcoin's price.

Like if Bitcoin's at 50K,

GBTC is 55.

But for some weird reason, when it was down to 15K, it was only $8.

I'm like, it should be 15.

Why is it an eight the the the discount was heavy so i i loaded up at nine dollars it's at 60 right now wow so but you have to think so now it caught up it was 50 less you know 16 and that was only eight dollars at 16 000 but now we're at 60 000 and it's at 60

so it caught back up so like so so and a lot of like litcoin litcoin didn't really move at all this year maybe 1x if you go to ltcn it's up a thousand percent damn bat basic attention token one of my favorites it it it literally like jumped up like another thousand and

yeah bitcoin's our bat is only up like 50%.

So like the grayscale assets seem to have just jumped up like way more than the other ones.

But the idea is like those grayscale assets, if you like those, that's a beautiful portfolio.

If you pick those and then say, well, right, like I said, right now, it's a little hard because you're buying in while it's going up.

And, you know, right now I am looking for, you know, a retracement down to 30, 35K within the next couple of months, or it could even be in next year.

Cause I did have these, I had 78 to 80K targets when it was 15K.

And I even talked about it.

And

if we, if we hit that now, the difference between this cycle and the other cycles that's just kind of concerning is we've never hit higher highs before a having before.

It's always at the having and then it goes up and after, but we've almost priced in our move for the having.

It's almost like they priced it in automatically.

So

just be cautious of that rolling into the having, we could actually get that retracement.

And it's a healthy retracement.

You don't want things to keep going up and down.

The way Bitcoin moves on four-year cycles, you have two-year bear and two-year bull.

And on those two-year bowl, on the bear from the accumulation year and then the bull year, you have three phases you have the first phase which was 15 to 35 and are 15 to 30 and then when we broke up 35 we had to retest that 30.

that's why we went to 40 then 30 that's phase one phase two and now we can potentially be in phase three but with ta i am waiting on one final confirmation which is the monthly close of this exact month uh because right now we're still not out of the woodworks i know like we're at a triple top right now no higher highs up rsis are extended macds are extended the tdi trader dynamic index all all super like overbought.

They're ready to sell.

So just the idea that it comes down, and I'm a bear and a bull.

I'm not like, you know, but I'm bullish at 15.

I'm bearish at 69.

Like, so I stay bull and bear.

But if that happens, you know, just expect a little bit of a dip over the next couple of months.

And like I said, I'm not a bull or a bear, or I'm a bull and a bear, but I like, you just want to, you just want to be cautious because you don't want to buy when things are going up.

And if we do get this retracement, I'm speaking about, just know that that's when I'm going to be loading up again.

So we can enter phase three much more healthy.

We have to come down to retest that phase two or we could really be the thing about the hyperinflation scenario too is there's two sides to it like i i was projecting 2026 2027 hyperinflation scenario but there could also be the chance that it happens now i can i'll be out by a couple years you know it's either this cycle or next cycle yeah so like just depending on really this month is the is the key if if we close above 61 000 this month by april 1st or then it's bullish if it's under 61 then then expect april and may to be a bloodbath i love it Wow.

So grayscale is like the Nancy Pelosi of the crypto world.

Grayscale is the Nancy Pelosi of the crypto.

Sure.

And especially those assets under consideration.

I'm telling you, like, if you want them, those 20 to 50 Xs, you get in before they're accepted and they're already on the assets of consideration.

And if you look at any of them, I literally have them all charted.

Every one of them is up right now.

So if you would have stuck to that strategy that I've been sticking to, you know, the 5.3 theory, the grayscale assets,

it was just an easy win.

Any altcoins you think are here for the long run?

With altcoins, I try to, so I'm just using altcoins to make Bitcoin right now.

At the end game, I don't want any altcoins.

I just want to stick to the big guys.

But right now I am playing the alt season like everyone should be, or at least be aware of it.

This is just, it's a lot of easy games.

You just make more Bitcoin.

That's the whole point.

With altcoins,

I think that...

There's going to be a couple that do hit.

I like to invest in a little bit of every sector.

Like for gaming sectors, I have Gala and a couple other ones that Gala is up like 300% right now.

I got in at at like 1.5, 1.2 was pretty much the dead bottom.

I have EOS for like the structural idea of like, you know, just something you can build things on.

I have Dogecoin Shib for the meme sector.

BAT is a really good coin.

I'm pretty sure they produced revenues already.

It's an ad company that you use Brave Browser.

You search your internet and they pay you in crypto.

It's a beautiful company.

It's nice.

And the pattern looks great.

So I try to stick to a little bit of every sector.

You have DeFi you can invest in, which is great.

Just you want to, you want to learn all the sectors and then try to hand pick them.

So learning all the sectors is the start.

And then go to Grayscale and see if those sectors are in their portfolio and then handpick them.

Those are the ones I believe that are really going to hold.

We've talked about the good side of crypto.

Let's talk about the dark side.

There's some scammers.

Yeah, the scammers are very strong.

If you notice the pattern, speaking of patterns and pattern recognition.

When meme coins go up, you got all the people coming out of the woodworks.

You know what I mean?

Like all the gurus and stuff.

And they'll all talk about their little lucky picks and this and that.

They'll never post their screenshots of the ROIs.

And one thing you really have to watch for when it comes to people promoting things on Instagram and social media, if they don't speak like me, I'm not, I'm not, I'm not lying.

If they don't speak like me, talking about charts, data, graphs, pattern recognition, cycles, phases, then you're talking to the wrong person.

If you talk to them and they're like, oh, buy Tesla, they're coming out with a Tesla truck.

You're talking to the wrong people.

It's just 100% those are the wrong people to talk to.

What's your opinion on BitBoy?

BitBoy.

i don't really have too much of an opinion on bitboy it's around i haven't dove too deep into it he's had a roller coaster of a of a time yeah i've uh i've seen a little bit of his stuff here but you know every everyone's on their own path it's hard to trust some of these crypto promoters because they're getting paid a lot of them yeah and like i said when i first came here i'm not doing this for for views i'm not gonna i'm not sharing my instagram i'm not trying to get promoted on any way shape or form i'm just trying to share this pattern recognition formula that i've been using for crypto specifically crypto has a beautiful way of respecting Fibonacci levels, respecting patterns and algorithms.

It's just beautiful.

The one thing that's beautiful about crypto is one thing that I really got, that got screwed on in the regular market is reverse splits, issued shares,

splits the other way, just weird stuff like that.

CEOs, tweets, this, that when it comes to crypto, at least for the higher value assets, most of them are, a decent amount of them have anti-inflationary and inflationary tools to where they burn coins or do certain things where they have set supplies like Bitcoin or they reduce supply even it you don't get that in the regular market do you know how many times i've been screwed on a reverse split and uh issued shares and all like it it i so many times that i'm just i'm i'm literally 100 done with the market the only things i buy in the regular market nowadays are grayscale assets just because it's correlated with with crypto yeah it's kind of ironic how you found a way to have more control in the crypto space than stocks even though it's way more risky yeah it's um it's just the the patterns they're just much more cleaner they respect if you know how to do fibonacci and fibonacci is all around us in layman's terms fibonacci is the measurement of pattern human behavior.

So if you can measure patterns of human behavior and take a step back and

we know how big emotions are.

Like, I mean, I mean, you know, people at the top, we understand how emotions work and how it controls other people and how that's possible.

So to be able to take a step back and use Fibonacci, Fibonacci, if you use any indicators, I like the RSI.

I like the TDI.

The Trader Dynamic Index is a beautiful indicator.

The MACD, I use squeeze momentum.

TTM squeezes are beautiful to show supports and resistances.

And the Fibonacci, if I could just pick one thing, then take all the indicators away, it would be Fibonacci.

Wow.

I would just use Fibonacci and I could do almost just as good as I do now.

The indicators just help you see the power behind the patterns.

There's only about 15, 20 different patterns.

You know, I mean, descending wedges, ascending wedges, para flags, both flags.

You know, it's just all, there's 15 of them, 20 of them.

Once you learn them, then what?

Now you have to go to the indicators.

Once you learn the pattern side, then you go to the indicators, which will provide power to your patterns.

You can see the power, the state, the state of your pattern.

You know, is your descending wedge in a bullish state?

You can check that by a low RSI or a low MACD or a higher side, you know, through the indicators.

Yeah.

How much leverage are you using?

I don't really do leverage.

Oh, you don't do leverage at all?

You just do like shorter.

No, I just buy right now until my targets are hit.

Until Bitcoin doesn't hit 78K.

I play options a little bit.

I use B-I-T-O.

Bito is kind of something that they let you short and long Bitcoin

through the through the regular markets.

Why don't you use leverage too risky?

Yeah, it's too risky.

I'm just uh you know i'm trying to i'm trying to stay focused and leverage to me feels like it'll it'll induce some gambling feelings or something like i feel i've been there i i've like when i first started trading crypto like i said like i i didn't just like become knowledgeable overnight it took 15 years of trial and error i was in a six-month depression at one point when i was like 23 i'd slept i remember sleeping face first in my couch for three days straight at one point like you know i i and at that point i was like 20 22 and i saved up like 20 35 grand and then it went down to like 10 after i get turned it to 10 to 30 40 50 and then went back down 10.

I was like, I was like, my account was about to get locked.

I was in a depression.

Like, it was, it was a mess.

Damn.

So, yeah, that's the side of trading people don't really disclose.

So I appreciate that.

You just, you want, you want someone that can just like, you know, talk to you this way.

I'm telling you, like, I'm not, I'm not trying to peep my own horn, but like, I'm so tired of watching my friends and family.

And like, I've seen so many people get screwed over by these gurus and this and that.

And it's just like, like, none of them are talking TA.

One thing you'll notice about my calls when I post, it's very specific and very non-biased.

And I'm bullish and bearish.

The bulls can't hate me, the bears can't hate me.

And typically, when I'm bullish, everyone hates me because they're bearish, or I'm bearish because everyone's bullish.

You can't win.

There's going to be an opponent on either side, right?

Do you know your win percent overall?

My win percent, I'm up right now, like drastically.

It's not really about the win percent because

it's more about the ROI on the total account because like the win percent, like I could lose 10 and then hit one and make it all back.

So like then I'd be a 10% win ratio, but like, you know, so, but, but my ROI is uh, way.

I mean, from where I started, I'm probably up

10,000%

from, yeah, from 2018.

That is crazy.

You can't do that in any other

sector.

Yeah, the, the first year that, um, that I hit it, that the first year was about two, three thousand percent ROI.

And then in between, there was a lot of crazy things like Binance Coin.

I got Binance Coin at $4, and that thing went crazy.

ETC, I talked about, you know, I remember Dogecoin, it was three zeros in front of it.

You know, so there was a lot of like moves, but I also lost a lot too.

Like, I mean, I was, I was probably up like 10, maybe 20,000%.

And then I lost like almost over half, to be honest.

Like the bear market.

Yeah, because of the bear market.

And back then on the first, you know, because I just got into crypto around 2017, 18.

Yeah.

So it was kind of a learning curve.

That was your first bear?

Yeah.

Yeah.

That was the first, why I experienced the bull and then the bear.

And after that, it brought me, you know,

this was my first bear, the recent one, and I wasn't prepared, to be honest.

Yeah.

And that's okay because honestly, like everyone has to go through it.

You just, you just, you need a friend or someone to like help you stay focused and keep your emotions in check because you don't want, you don't want to see your friends lose.

You don't want to see them sell because of a news article on CNN or some, you know, like, yeah, my mom sold because of news.

Yeah, bro.

A few held.

Yeah, and I'm not looking down on anyone that does that.

I understand.

I've been there.

You know what I mean?

Like, it's, it's a rough, emotions are crazy.

Even mine, I, I, I personally still have emotions that I'm fighting every day.

It's an, it's an, an ever, everlasting battle.

Yeah.

There's a couple conspiracy theories I want to close off with.

You got some interesting takes.

So you tracked the flow of money after 9-11.

You said there was a lot of money that was made.

Yeah.

So, America and United Airlines.

Um, so just like in the sense of money, and like the FTX thing we were talking about, and the Dogecoin thing we were talking about, a couple other examples is you always follow big money.

Like, with when COVID hit, I was looking at Monera and all the big COVID vaccines, and I was seeing when the big first month of big money flow was started.

And that'll typically give you an idea when they really knew because you always followed the money, and it was like eight, ten months before they even talked about COVID.

It was like a year before, like, you know what I mean.

And so, like, with 9-11, America Airlines and United, I think America had 25 times the volume of shorts two weeks before the crash.

And then America Airline had 100 times the volume in shorts two, three weeks before the crash.

Someone made a killing.

Damn.

It was crazy.

Yeah, with stocks, don't you have to disclose who's making this stuff?

Yeah, and that's, and another thing too, like with that specifically, George Soros, the ROT 66 shooting that happened here in Vegas.

Yeah.

MGM, he shorted MGM for that specific week.

He shorted for $42 million, MGM.

And it was during a billion-dollar buyback program that MGM was going through.

Buyback programs are bullish for companies.

They're buying their own stock back.

That's a fundamentally bullish thing.

And he shorted it during that exact week during the billion-dollar buyback program.

Like, and then he made, you know, he killed it.

Auto coincidences, dude.

Yeah, no.

So like when you have people that are like, and you have to think, like, it might sound crazy to say, but do you think that these people care about 60 people passing away in an event when they're making hundreds of millions?

Do you think that like the 9-11 thing, do you think that the people that are involved, they really cared when they're making billions you know i mean like there's it's just there's there's a lot of money that i don't think soros would care no you know he's he's a very known person for destroying countries and yeah and taking short the the pounds the uk yeah he destroyed countries in the past so he probably affected millions of lives just doing that he's an evil person for sure there's evil out there man he might even get this video taken down

yeah and the main thing too is like like the whole idea behind trading is you want to provide for your family you know what i mean my main goal i all any money i make which i haven't since I started trading, I haven't withdrawn $1.

Not even a single dollar.

Why?

Yeah.

I've just, I have a goal and I'm not going to stop until I get there.

Cause that goal involves me taking care of my parents, taking care of all the day ones that were there and stuff with me.

There's a lot of like, my, my to-do list for me is on the bottom.

I, I, I don't care about, I'm so happy with making people happy.

That's my main drive, you know, and, and for people that want to learn TA to help become financially free, you have to learn TA.

There ain't no, nothing around it.

You have to learn how to chart.

And I'm telling you, if you're a gaming, if you're a gamer,

what really inspired me to like, if you have a gaming mindset and you're quick and you can solve things and make irrational choices, I was big on World of Warcraft.

I was one of the best.

I was GLADS.

I was killing it.

I was one of the best, still am.

And

I would barter and trade on the auction house with gold.

And I had a system and everything.

And

it was a whole system.

And that's kind of when I got interested in the whole idea of bartering.

You know what I mean?

And then so I got really into that.

And then when I turned 17, 18, that's when I opened up the Roth Ira and just kind of trickled in from there.

Yeah.

So if you get anyone with a gaming mindset or a drive,

you can do TA.

You just do some.

I'm 100% YouTube taught.

You'll find the right YouTubers.

You'll trial and error and you'll figure it out.

How long did it take you to master it, you say?

It took me.

About three years, I think.

Okay.

Yeah, because I had to go through a first bear market.

I think everyone needs to

get that experience.

You want to go through a bear market.

Like it doesn't feel good, but if you go through a bear market with the assistance of technical analysis and charts to kind of guide you you almost get excited because then you're calling bottoms like it's because you get freaked out it's hard to call a top and then but once you hit a bottom and you see your support like the 155 bottom and now where we're at now like those kind of things that they they they're they feel good like even right now we're at 69 i i honestly want to crash to 30 35 so i can buy a little bit more because long term i am high i am bullish but but right now i think we're a little overbought i feel uh todd it's been fun dude anything you want to close off with uh that's about it do you have a discord

uh i i'm not here to promote anything anything, uh, I just

here to share a little message and have a good talk with you, and it was great.

Damn, appreciate it, man.

Thanks so much for coming on.

Thanks for watching, guys.

As always, see you next time.