A Crazy Good NBA Rookie Class With J. Kyle Mann, Plus Tua’s Cleveland Adventure, and NFL Week 7 Picks With Joe House

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Anyway, great to be back.

Um,

first, J.

Kyle Mann.

He's coming on to talk about rookies because we talked about a little in the over-under podcast, but not enough.

I feel like we needed a whole segment talking about how great this rookie class is.

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All right, taping this late Thursday afternoon East Coast time.

I'm on my second coffee of the day.

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J.

Kyle, man.

What's up?

Nobody knows more about the draft classes and the rookies.

And I mentioned this on Tuesday's pod that I really love the rookies this year.

And it's so different than last year.

And we did a little Dylan Harper stuff and we did some flag stuff, obviously, and some Knadipple.

But I really want to deep dive.

I thought this was worth an entire segment.

I want to start with Harper as the second pick.

I talked about him Tuesday that he just jumped out of the TV to me immediately, like, holy shit, this guy's ready to be something now.

Uh, size, hit the body, the lefty,

real patience already.

Um, seems like he could play off the ball or with the ball.

And I was just blown away.

And I don't know whether that was too small of a sample size, but what did you see with Dylan Harper?

Well, watching him in this context, and we can get to Ace Bailey, I guess, in a little bit too, it's a similar thing is that they, they've just played in a crowded elevator offense last year at Rutgers.

I didn't even, I didn't blame the coach.

I didn't blame any of those people.

They had a, they had major roster turnover that was super heavy and none of their teammates really drew any respect so the thing that popped to me immediately when i'm watching dylan uh in this first in these first few games is just he he had a play where he had a he got a back cut for a wide open layup and i was surprised they didn't call timeout and just be like dylan that's what a wide open layup off of a cut feels like like right he had to enjoy this savor this He had to be because you just didn't.

I was looking back at his synergy stats and I was like, he never got wide open cuts.

And, And, you know, Ace was always playing in a crowd too.

So I think he's probably enjoying that.

But there's a little bit of some of these guys who are like crazy, crazy downhill talents.

You mentioned his poise in the paint.

Number one, I don't think that I was thinking back about it.

I was like, I don't think that I have watched a more talented scoring guard with like

poise in the paint since probably Shay in 18.

Like Shay was just a layup monster.

And I think Dylan is, Dylan's a little bit different in that that Shea was a little more angular, slithery.

He's added some of that physical stuff.

You know, the big shoulder bumps.

I don't want to piss off OKC advance, but, you know, that stuff he's developed.

Dylan already kind of plays that way.

He's really, really physical.

And they already had some plays where he wasn't even cutting.

He was almost catching it like he was on like a jet sweep and he'd get into the lane.

And he's so physical.

And Wimby draws so many eyes that you can already just kind of see, you know, will he be able to knock down open jumpers?

You know, that'll be a thing.

But he's going to be able to roam and add a lot of value, even if he's not there, like primary,

even if he doesn't get a whole lot of primary, you know, point guard reps for them.

Yeah, I think the overthink for me this summer was just thinking about the right roster around Wemby.

And all right, now you have Fox and Castle

and Harper.

None of those guys are knockdown shooters.

And that was kind of the glass half empty.

And then you watch all those guys with Wemby now and you're just like, holy shit, athletes and just like blue chippers, right?

And the thing, I think the thing I, I didn't really fully think about with Harper was how ready he was athletically, because we've seen guards come in and either they're skinny that first year or even somebody like Cade.

I thought Cade had, I know his teams were bad, but he also seemed pretty choppy.

Like we had some actual questions about, huh, what is this?

Is this somebody who could be an awesome lead ball handler?

Harper, my questions were, can he shoot?

Can he play off the ball?

It's just clear he's going to be on the court for them.

And I actually think they're going to have a pretty interesting numbers problem for them with Fox and with Castle and with Harper.

They're going to be able to juggle those minutes, but they have more guys after that.

So

I think like ceiling wise, that's why we all went, two of us went over on the Spurs.

House went under, but I went way over.

I really feel like if he's going to be able to give them 28 to 30 minutes a game,

maybe that's too high.

Maybe let's say 25, whatever, somewhere in that 25 to 30, but at a high level, that's like, they just didn't have anybody like that last year.

Is there a decent chance that they're the best team in Texas this year?

I mean, I don't remember what you guys play.

Yeah.

We talked about the division odds for them and about how Houston is like up here at 52.

Now, we got to talk about Reed quickly because I watched some preseason with him two nights ago.

And he's just firing now.

He's like, Van Bleet's gone.

I'm fucking firing.

And the bench was really into it.

And there was a little different demeanor to him.

And so that made me a little worried about my under.

But, but yeah, I think the ceiling of San Antonio with Wemby, if he's a top five guy,

Houston is not going to have a top five guy, right?

So if the pieces around him are good, I don't know.

I think they're going to be really hard to play.

You have that many athletes, plus you have rim protection, plus you have some size you can bring in with him now.

They have a lot of answers.

Wemby is just flat out distracting.

When you're trying to watch, I was like trying to watch the rookie.

Any game you watch with him on there, I sent you a clip of he was like in a, in a ball or in a handoff in that jazz game, and he was on the other side of the screen defender on the other side of Nurkic, and he just reached into the frame and stripped the ball off of, I guess it was Ace, and Ace had this look like, what just happened?

He's just, yeah, he's just a ridiculous distraction.

But yeah, I think it's very much in play that

They're going to be so athletic on the perimeter, man.

And in terms of, you know, thinking about their roster for Dylan, if you're in this position, and this was the argument that I made at the time, was just, I'm, I'm just thinking of it simply like, does, if I have a chance to get a player of talent like Dylan, does he fit with Wimby?

That was all.

I was like, I'll figure out everything else later.

Do I have these two guys?

I can figure out the other 10 later.

Yeah.

Yeah.

So my answer is already he fits in.

Yeah.

I mean, it's just, I think the thing with guys who have the ball in their hands is you always kind of have to start from this first, the square one is like, are you going to be hurried?

You know, I know you like Yakachonis.

I did too.

I'm sure we'll talk about him, but that was something at like Summer League, you know, guys like guys that come into the league who are very used to hitting first, you know, like Luca is like the all-time example of he came in and he was like, yeah, I'm going to punch everyone first.

Yeah.

Dylan is the same kind of thing.

It's just like, he never seems hurried around the basket and he's just really angular and clever.

I was noticing, too, he has some of that, you see some of those guys shoot layups, like high glass layups off the wrong foot.

Dylan does this thing where he'll go wrong-footed and wrong-handed, and he'll like get under and just kind of get away from guys.

He's just really sneaky and really crafty.

Yeah.

And the great thing for them is that they don't have to put a ton of pressure on him to like they can really bring him along slowly and get all the value without getting the waste that might come with like dumping too much on him too early.

Yeah, I'm glad you mentioned the crafty because I think that's the thing that really resonated with me.

They had one play.

It was, I mean, and granted, it's preseason, who cares?

But he had one play where he was on the ball on the right side and he's a lefty, right?

And he kind of went baseline and did this kind of herky jerky back and forth thing, got lower to the rim, then did more herky jerky and then finally got a shot off.

And I was like, wow, this kid's like 19.

Like that's, that seemed like a move you make when you're like 26.

I feel like I probably underrated.

last June how important it was that they got the number two pick because it was so weird with the Rutgers thing was and I know you guys you talked about you and Tay talked about it non-stop like the Rutgers thing was so weird, it was almost like the ceiling in the basement, you couldn't even come up with what it was because it was like, that was just too weird.

But clearly, like when you talk about guards coming in the league and being good right away, who have the ball a lot, it's pretty unique, you know?

And then the other thing is if Castle goes up a notch.

Now you're talking about, okay, and they have all these trade pieces.

So I'm with you.

To me, like them versus Houston, I think it's a lot closer than the odds.

They're eight wins lower with the overunners in Houston.

I think it's way closer than that.

Yeah, Houston, I mean, Houston has a little experience on him in a couple spots, but I'm sure, you know, the Amen love, and I'm right along with everybody else.

I mean, I love watching Amen Thompson.

I mean, playmate center.

That's the way I'm thinking about it.

But like, he, I'm sure Steph Castle was over there thinking, I got something for this guy.

You know, I'm sure he's like, I was the rookie of the year.

You know, it's just been interesting how big of a gap there's been.

And, you know, like Castle brings a a lot of the playmaking stuff too.

It's just interesting what the shadow of Wimby affords them on offense and defense.

Like I was watching that Miami game and there was a play, there was a particular play where Wimby, he was doing his thing where he causes big guys to just like, you know, look up and go, nah, I'm not going to do that.

And you could just see all of the other guys on the perimeter just basically become free safeties who have like five steps on the ball.

So like there was one where I think it was like, it might have been Khalil Ware who was just stuck.

And Khalil Ware is gigantic.

I don't know if you've ever seen him in person.

And he was like, I mean, I can't go up with this.

So he turns and looks, and you could just see that

I can't remember who intercepted the pass or the Spurs, but he just had an easy run to go intercept it.

So they just have a lot of, you know, having Wemby.

just a really good point the conversation in a lot of different ways.

Yeah.

Yeah.

That's a really good point.

Cause then the other piece of that is when you have Wemby behind you, you can gamble way more and be way more aggressive 25 feet from the basket because you have some sort of protection.

They're down to plus 370 to win the division.

I still think, I think that

Mavs six to one is probably a reach with how long Kyrie's out.

But yeah, I think that division's a little more open.

The other thing I'll say with Harper, and this is like

whatever.

This is a classic Bill Simmons ridiculous point.

He carries himself like a star.

And you just like, you kind of notice him immediately.

There's certain guys like that where you just see him walking around and there's

for a 19 year old, like he's handsome, he's filled out already, and it just I felt the same way about

Thompson on Houston, yeah, which I was like, I don't know about these guys, and then you kind of watch him in a court, and it's like, oh, yeah, that guy's got it, and you just kind of sometimes there's just these guys that are like, Oh, yeah, that guy's got it.

And the way he carries himself, he's in this weird situation, right?

He's not starting point guard, he's on Wemby's team.

You would think he would be like a little, but he's not, he's not like that at all.

He's cool.

So, uh, that, and then we didn't even talk about flag yet when we were talking about rookies jumping.

Like

flag as

this all-purpose Swiss Army knife.

What do we need, guys?

Oh, Davis isn't playing tonight.

Fine, I'll play Power Forward.

Oh, should I just play point guard tonight?

I don't even know how you could assign a dollar value to what he brings in as a guy in a rookie contract, but this is what he's doing.

He's like a max contract guy, basically, but they got him for, you know, 1.8% odds in the lottery.

Unbelievable.

He's just ready to roll

right off the assembly line.

I mean,

I got to the point around the draft where

I reached this point where I was like thinking about this fall and I was like, well, you know, blah, blah, blah.

And I was just like, what are you talking about?

Like, I, you know,

I was just like, what, like, every single step of the way.

And I've done a few shows with Mavs people and I, and I'm just trying to just give them an idea of maybe what's coming from having watched him in high school and stuff.

And it's like, he just, he's not stagnant in any way, shape, or form, every single step of the way.

And I was like, I'm just done underestimating him.

And, you know, you're talking about

he has a little ways to go in terms of like his setup moves and getting to the basket, but he's also very clever and crafty about the things that he does know how to do.

If you watch him, he's really good at like giving a bump with his back and then turning and facing.

He just doesn't dance a lot with the ball wastefully.

His shot looks good.

He came off of a couple.

His shot looks really good.

Yeah, he came off a couple of, like, I don't know if they were flex or whatever type of screen it was, but he was moving, you know, left to right and hit a great shot.

But you just watch him, it's the same kind of thing too as Harper is

they played a lineup.

Their lineups are going to be really, really interesting.

They played a lineup that was like Cooper, D-Lo, Clay, PJ, and Lively.

And it was there because the Hornets went ahead on their first unit, if I'm not mistaken.

And they put in that lineup and they just surge back.

And it was just really fun for a minute.

You know, and say what you want about D'Lo.

If you control him, I loved all the stuff you said and I'm with you on it.

But it's like, if you can kind of control what D'Lo is, Cooper is is already mature enough to kind of guide an offense like that um so yeah

it's a little like Zion right where there's going to be situations where it's like I guess we're playing him at center oh I guess he's our point guard now he's going to be uh all over the map the one thing I've noticed from watching him at Duke last year to even in the preseason stuff it feels like he's more sophisticated offensively um with some stuff like going

going to the basket, shooting, you know, like shooting off like the wrong foot,

some of the explosive stuff.

Like it just feels like he's added some stuff to his bag that I wasn't positive he'd have.

He just, he felt way more closer to Tatum than I was expecting.

I'm not talking about Tatum last year before the injury when he was one of the best sport players in the league, but probably like year two, year three, Tatum, when he was just starting to put together some off the off, you know, some dribbling, dribble move to the basket stuff.

First year, he was like basically in the corner, just we're basically begging him to take the ball.

Then he started adding stuff.

And flag offensively seems like he's like where year three Tatum was, which I was really surprised by.

But did you notice that?

I mean, he's, he's very,

he, he and Tatum are in kind of different, on different paths with like, I think that, and I've thought this for a while, that Cooper is ahead of him in terms of his like spatial sense and his passing and things like that.

But I do, I think that Tatum was a little wigglier with a live dribble at the same age.

So it's just kind of like they're coming from different sides and it may be three more inches.

And at 25 25 years old You know, maybe they'll end up at a similar spot, but I just like

I like all the different ways they can use him He gets a little he did get a little

He got a little he did this at Summer League too, where there were a couple times where you could tell he was really enjoying the show and I'd never seen him do that before at Summer League.

He was kind of like looking around, you know, all the players are on the front row.

He makes a couple risky passes and plays.

He threw a couple behind the back passes in that preseason game.

Granted, preseason, summer league, they're both kind of unserious.

You're experimenting, you're tinkering, things like that.

But he made a couple of plays like that.

I was like, what, what exactly is he doing there?

But I don't know, man.

I just don't put anything past him anymore.

Like, I think

he plays within himself.

He's just a right play machine.

He's also a really smart, you know, the defensive stuff has translated immediately too.

So

the competitiveness is almost crazed.

Like he's trying in these preseason games where you're like, dude, settle down.

Yeah, the reason I brought up Tatum, what do you think he averaged in year two for the South Explained?

31.1 minutes a game.

Oh, that's tough.

How many points a game do you think he had?

What, that would have been 17, 18?

No, 18, 19, 17.

Or 18, 19.

God.

I don't know.

15.

Yeah, 15.7.

Good guess.

And he was making one and a half threes a game.

45% field goal and 2.9 free throws a game.

And then year three, that 2020 season, that ended up getting stopped by covet but that was when all of a sudden the free throws are close to five 23.4 points a game flag seems close at least like a little ahead of year two tatum but not where year three tatum is yet and he's not gonna have the same size but he's a maniac and as you said he's like our tatum always had a question of like the is when is he gonna learn to make the right play

what's gonna happen what's he gonna do and and then he finally started to unlock that as the 2020s went along and then last year i thought he was really good with that stuff.

Flag seems like he has it immediately.

I think this Mavs roster, there's just some funny, ironic stuff going on with the fact that they have this insane collection of like elite play finishers.

You know, Gaffer and AD and Lively are all elite or borderline elite lob threats.

Clay's one of the best, best catch and shoot.

I was thinking today, I was like, it's kind of like that episode of The Twilight Zone where the guy has all the books, but no glasses.

It's like

he has this insane like resources and assets at his disposal and it's like they just if they just had kyrie it's like where are they going to bend and warp the defense with some of these bigger lineups that's why they could pop so much when they had d'low in there because it's ad might have one of the bigger questions of just kind of like how it does it's not necessarily naturally implied like the lively ad and and gafford thing how's that going to balance out because they can put some lineups out there that could be pretty interesting Yeah, ironically, AD feels like he's could be trade bait

to get something and they'd and they'd probably be a little more interesting.

But I like the way they are.

They're such a weird team.

I think they're going to be really hard to play.

And then having flag just be able to guard dudes on the perimeter.

And

it's already like incredible to watch him on defense, fighting over screens, jumping through.

Like he's already one of the, you know, one of the higher end defenders we have.

Edgecombe, neither of us have watched.

Right.

You haven't seen one.

I've shown up on him.

Yeah.

Yeah, I think that, I think we're fine with that because it seems like he's going to be an energy guy the first year knipo let's do it and the hornets in general because there's a couple other rookies on that team too including kalkbrenner who seems like he's going to play like real men what pick was he

oh did he he was i don't know what i'm saying like end of first round early second round

i think so he was real yeah he was i think early he's going to play actual minutes yeah yeah i mean not surprised i'm not surprised by that i i mean i do i do think that like in the in a really competitive scenario, he's probably your like rotation big.

But I mean, on this team, he's a 40 minutes a game center because they don't have any centers.

Well, Rob and I were talking about this last night, and I was like, they threw some lineups out there.

They threw out a Bridges, LaMelo, Miller, Kahn,

and I think, I think Kulkwrenner might have been out there, but it was the ball was humming.

I mean, it was LaMelo.

I was joking about this on Twitter that, like, well, first I would say, I was telling Rob, I was like, I think this is going to be one of my league pass teams because it's just, they're just a fucking third.

I'm in.

And, but, uh,

Rob was like, well, that he was just like, dude, that front court is just one of the worst.

And it's true.

It's going to be, they are going to hemorrhage easy points like on the glass.

They're not going to, they're going to have a heart.

They're just going to give up a lot of easy points.

But Lamello, man, I mean, he just, I, I go back and forth between, you know, I've defended him a lot.

And last night I was watching, I wrote down it, I literally wrote in my notes, the Hornets should find a way to trade LaMelo.

And then he just rattles off five plays that no one else can make.

So it's just kind of that team.

And it kind of makes you wonder if Khan,

I would love to give a lie detector test to some of Lamello's teammates because Khan's used to playing a very regimented, like right play, we do this.

This is the sensible.

This level of wildness.

He's in a freelance jazz band now.

I agree with you.

I think they're going to be an amazing league pass team.

And I like their four.

I don't really care who the fifth guy is.

I think the four will be fun to watch.

I have no idea if they'll get stops.

And Knipo is who we thought he was.

Like, he's in the right spots.

He can, it's a dangerous three-point shooter already.

He rebounds.

They're going to actually need him to rebound.

So, no surprises.

We were all in on him.

Ace Bailey was a surprise to me.

And we talked about this a little on Tuesday, but the size and the ease that he's getting his points.

I don't know if he's going to be able to do anything else, but it seems like

him and then Trey Johnson, ironically, who taken right after him, those guys are just going to be able to score immediately, which is

no small, no small thing for rookies.

Rookies don't just come in and throw up like 25 in their third game, like especially at the non-point guard or like the small forward, whatever Ace is.

I don't even know.

But

any surprises with Ace other than what you already said about the telephone booth thing?

Yeah, I mean, it's just, he's coming in and this is the, these are the things we knew he could do.

I mean, if he has space and you let him catch and shoot, this was the, this was, this was the case at Rutgers.

He's going to score, man.

I mean, like, he just, he didn't have the space and he didn't have the scheme to do that.

I mean, I'm sure that,

I'm sure that Will Hardy knew immediately what to do with him and that he comes out there.

And, you know, the other thing for me, too, is.

I mean, you were talking about comparing him like the early KD.

I think that's everybody's temptation usually.

I've heard people say like Rashard Lewis.

I like that.

I probably should have included that, but he's a little more like an MPJ type of run something for him.

Let him be a shot maker.

Granted, anytime he dribbles the ball, I think he had one play where he tried to attack a closeout.

His just awareness of help and things like that, it's just a little ways away.

He's just not quite ready to do that kind of stuff.

Can we agree this is the perfect team for him?

Although I guess they don't have the right kind of point guard to set him up.

Are the Jazz a perfect team in any way?

Well, just like he's going to play minutes and get shots and mistakes.

Yeah.

For sure.

And they have a lot to gain by him even being wacky and letting loose and being messy.

And I was going to say another thing too is that i i think walter clayton jr might be better than keonte george like right now i'm sure i was like i bet he was watching summer league and being like fuck uh he's just he just looks really smooth and steady out there he's probably older is he older he might be older he might be i mean he's like 23 but he's you know i like him but yeah with ace i mean Everything that he does is just his superpower is the one-step thing.

And that's what I was saying going up to the draft.

It's like, if he has a step to go after a chase down block, he'll do something incredible.

If he has a step to go catch a lob, it's just if he has the room to show off that athleticism, if you let him jump and get to his shot, he's going to make it.

So, yeah, he's going to have some moments this year.

I wasn't surprised.

Well, all we care about is whether somebody's a fun league pass team when they're a non-playoff team.

And in that case, I will test them out multiple times.

Try it out.

We'll see how it goes.

Trey Johnson, too, just

house is all in already.

He's just a professional scorer.

So,

fears at number seven.

That one worried me a little.

Like he's definitely, they're definitely giving the car case and having, you know, he's,

who knows?

It's early, but

that one, I don't know.

That seemed pretty high for him at number seven.

And especially, it does feel like there's like a distinct drop off between those first six guys in the seventh pick.

And I don't know if he makes it or not, but did you see anything with him?

Nothing that really like, I mean,

for me, watching him in the first couple preseason games and watching him, him, you know, in summer league, it was like, you see all the positive.

It's just in a serious game.

I mean, like, he can get to spots.

He's very fast.

He's, you know, has, he's a pretty good lob thrower.

It's just, is he going to be able to shoot pull up threes?

Is he going to get mercilessly picked on on defense?

Because,

you know, that threshold is, is pretty, pretty cruel, no matter how good you are.

And then, but I was going through, you know, early in the season.

You do this thing where the first, you try not to overreact to the first couple of returns because Fierce was somebody I was lower on.

I think I had him in the 20s.

And then because of those things, and I'm just kind of going line by line, and I'm like, I had him kind of low, didn't I?

But then you just look and you're like,

all these guys are kind of showing signs that they're going to be good.

Yeah.

And even Young Hansen for Portland, that was one that I was lower on.

It might ultimately be just like a lot of people got duped by the lack of information.

And Portland just had a crazy advantage with the tape because apparently the tape was just really hard to get on Young and it was really limited on synergy.

So you kind of had to be a detective and go get that stuff.

But, yeah, this class is looking like it's going to be

good.

I mean, you don't want to overreact, but it's looking good.

The fierce problem

that's been a bust type of profile, right?

Those guards that they don't have a ton of size, they're fast, but like, what's their calling card?

So, we'll see with them.

Uh, just zooming through, I saw Yang.

I called him Yang for the entire Over Unders podcast.

I'll get it down, but he's he's clearly

something, yeah,

yeah, I don't know what he is, but it's like, I just signed me up for more.

Clayton looks like he's going to play right away.

And then

this Beharinger on Minnesota seems like he might actually play and fits the profile of somebody who succeeds on a winning team, right?

Long, energy, athletic, rim runner, shop walker.

Don't ask him to do anything else, but they kind of needed a guy like that.

So I feel like he's going to play.

And and then we watched a little Maliuch on Maliak.

Maliach?

Malowatch.

I'll get this.

Malowatch.

Yeah.

We watched some of him on Tuesday night.

And it was interesting because he was playing against DeAndre Ayton.

And they're kind of very similar bodies.

And just like he's, it was funny, like they got rid of DeAndre Ayton so they could basically take the next Andre Aten, but he really tries and he can second jump, which I think when you look at somebody on that size, if you have that one jump and then kind of the play's over for you as other side, like he was able to get back up.

So there's something there.

I liked him in college, but I thought he fit in in an NBA game.

Have you seen him?

Yeah, I mean, my worries with him kind of started.

I worried about some of these faster bigs, like jumping, getting to the ball quicker than him.

I think for him, it's going to be a question of just learning how to like wager in a smart way whenever he's like in, you know, in space with a really fast player, like learning how to stay down and let his length just be his strength.

Because the more he like goes for things um i mean brooke lopez mastered that there's a lot of guys who have he's a smart kid i could see him doing that but uh but yeah um

he's i mean he's even bigger than eight and right i mean i think he's uh he's longer than eight and i'm pretty positive he's like kind of a little longer but they're around the same size yeah uh

the only other guys i wanted to mention and then you tell me who your favorite random guy was

There might be something there with Jace Richardson.

And I didn't have him on my bingo card, but I'm just, I'm kind of monitoring that one because he's unlike anybody they have in that roster, but I'm just intrigued to see if he plays.

And then Gonzalez on the Celtics, you know, they keep throwing darts at the board of these athletic wings who can't really shoot, but really try hard, right?

They kind of failed with Jordan Walsh.

Gonzalez, I think, they've been impressed by, and I think he's shooting a little better than they thought.

And he's like an absolute maniac.

I mean, he's actually crazed.

And I'm wondering if he might play, but those were the two that jumped out.

Who's jumped out for you at post-lottery?

I was going to say the Gonzalez thing, I was going to second that.

Everything that I've heard from them is a lot of enthusiasm.

Yeah.

Like they're really, really loving him.

I think they saw his upside as higher than consensus.

And he is a maniac.

He kind of reminds me of that just like pesky, annoying, high-motored guy that like OKC would take.

And there's been some, I mean, we've talked about it before that like OKC and Boston have some overlap overlap in their personnel preferences that you've kind of been able to see.

But

yeah, I mean, I really liked him a lot.

Neek Clifford is a guy that I've gone to bat for and out on.

I mean,

if the Kings were going to, if you were going to just siphon any little positive thing for the Kings, it's that I really do like Clifford.

And I think Keegan Murray is good, obviously.

And I do think that Devin Carter is going to be worth keeping around.

I think those three guys,

I was joking about when Clifford was playing well.

I was, it's going to be the shame when Sacramento Sacramento punts him for like Kuminga in January, but let's hope they don't do that.

But he just looks like an adult out there.

He can come at you from a lot of different ways.

He can really pass the ball.

He's a really good movement shooter.

I just think he's going to be able to play for them really quickly.

Well, now he gets to lose from, learn from Russell Westbrook.

I could not believe it.

Learn how to lead a team.

Great mentorship in store here for him.

Yeah.

And then,

oh, the Nets is the last thing.

Have you watched them?

Yeah.

Yeah.

The rookie smorgasbord.

Did anybody jump out?

I mean, Wolf actually looked better in the preseason games than he looked in in Summer League to me.

You know, the impression that I've gotten is that they feel pretty good about the shooting upside of Denman when he comes back.

And then, but, but Wolf, Wolf looked really comfortable.

He had one play, I think, where he was attacking Drew Ubacks.

I mean, I might as well stick with it.

I had him pretty high.

I had him higher than Malowatch.

I think I had him 13 and Malowatch 14.

No, I mean, he attacked the basket at one point

to the right and came back to his left and then shot like a lefty, soft, left-handed shot in the lane.

It's just all these Brooklyn guys, man.

I mean, if you want to talk about like the shooting challenge of a lifetime, I mean, they drafted four guys who'd like to be on the ball, and they all are questionable shooters.

So I guess if you get maybe one or two out of the four, that can get to the point where they make a shot.

But the team, I agreed with with you all from the overunner pod.

I mean, it's just an abject disaster.

All right, that's our preseason rookie blink test.

I guess the big headlines are

Harper and Flag specifically.

Like,

really as a combo, it might be

a pretty special twosome to get two guys in a draft who have a chance.

I think both of them have first-team all-NBA potential.

Flag probably is a safer bet, but Harper definitely.

I mean, and you'd think like San Antonio putting him with Wemby together and just that being your foundation, like you're pretty good if you can keep Wemby on the court.

But in general, this draft seems like

really like a possible A-plus draft, right?

When we're talking about 21st century drafts, like this is, I think it's going to be one of the storylines of the year.

So, did you, what about Yakachonis, though?

That's, I thought for sure you would, uh, did you, did you have any kind of takeaways on him?

I mean,

I, I, I went all in.

He had one bad summer league game and everybody made fun of me.

And And guess what?

I'll be vindicated because that guy went seven picks later than he should have.

And it was fucking stupid.

And I don't know how Miami pulled that one off.

But yeah,

he is who he thought he was.

He's fun to play with.

He's going to be really devastating and picking rolls.

And I think he's going to play right away for them.

I don't know with this hero being out for

25 games, 30 games, they're actually, he might actually get real minutes for them.

And we're going to find out almost right away.

He's going to get thrown in the fire.

If you're talking about thrown in the fire, guys, he's probably

one of the few that a team's actually going to need, I think, especially if Roger, I guess, is just whatever the hell happened with him.

Yeah.

He looked like he had real chemistry with wear when he was out there.

It's just kind of like it's, you know, you want to say the Pajimsky thing because he's got the reddish, blondish hair.

You want to do like the aesthetic bias thing where you're like, oh, that looks like that.

So that's good.

He's a better passer, though.

He's it's close.

They're both pretty creative.

I don't think it's a ding on either one of them to say like, you know, they're both kind of in the same, but he's going to be dared to shoot, but he's young.

I don't, you know, if you're riding him really hard as your primary guy, I think you're going to come away frustrated.

But if he's just kind of moving within the teeth of their offense and he's got good hands on defense, too,

I don't know.

I think he's just going to be a nice rotation guy for them.

All right, before we go, give us 45 seconds on why Reed Shepard is the X Factor of the 2025-26 season.

Because this was your guy.

You were all in on him being good.

You know, as another white guy who's six foot one and from kentucky i felt like yeah i took a personal interest in reed shepherd shocker there but uh you threw the name mark price around was thrown around at some point you threw a couple big names around with him last year i did uh i i don't think he's as wiggly like as a pull-up shooter as price i think that was off but i think he's more of a

I wrote something before the season started where I was just talking about how they might use him.

People are just assuming he's just going to be pounding the ball the way up there at the top.

I think if they have him be super, super aggressive with his shot, just be that, start with that proposition.

And then if he doesn't have his shot initially, he's running off screens and things like that.

You just, I know they want him like three-point attempts is a great stat for them.

They're not as obsessed with the makes.

Like if he gets them up and establishes that audacity for their offense, that's something that they can use.

And you've seen him, I mean, he's being hyper aggressive.

He's not afraid.

He's a really good connective passer.

I just think it's going to take some time before they can like really lean on him.

But man, yeah, he's, I mean, he did, he turned the ball over immediately twice in a row when I turned the game on the other night, but he kind of he steadied the shit.

But that's, yeah, man.

I mean, as long as he's aggressive from three and not a liability on defense, I think that's a good starting point for them with him.

Yeah.

One thing I noticed with them, they just put him in the right corner.

And you have Durant at the top.

And you have Thompson kind of floating around being Thompson.

And then

just Shepard, you just, he's just pulling the defense.

You have to.

You can't leave him.

Because he's got the quick release.

He'll stand up by the hash mark sometimes.

They'll have him like post-stand up there like 38 feet away.

And it's like, you got to take a step towards him.

But yeah.

He's got that rare thing where if he gets the pass right, he could just flick a three.

The no dip.

Like he doesn't.

Yeah, he, there's like five guys in the league.

Like Curry, obviously, I think he probably invented it, but there's five guys in the league who could just do the quickies.

So they got that.

But anyway, I thought I made me think like, I wonder if they're just going to use him as an almost as an off-the-ball.

You have to worry about this guy over here guy to basically open up the rest of the space for them.

I still don't understand how their offense is going to work with

guys who just,

I don't want to say ball stoppers, but I'll say ball stoppers.

I want to see how, who's the glue guy that

kind of combines everything is a big question I have with them.

I think they'll try to go get Dinwiddie.

I feel like Eme would kill Dinwiddie.

I can't imagine that relationship working.

Yeah, I know.

No, I mean.

I think the last thing I'll say about the Rockets view, we're going to give one positive, and I said this in this piece, is that I think the guys who are like making decisions off the catch, that is one area they upgraded.

If you're talking about Jalen Green and Dylan Brooks, and you're talking about like you get Durant, Durant's a better passer.

I think Shepard's a better passer, just a little smaller.

So, I mean, that's one thing that you can work with.

But I think that initial like on-ball to off-ball toggle thing is something that he can do now.

So, yeah.

All right.

Kyle Man, what's your next thing for the ringer?

We're starting up draft stuff, wrapping up a gigantic project that I'm hopefully going to be able to announce soon.

And then, yeah, so we're just going to start covering the college season and the rookies.

Awesome.

Good to see you.

Thanks.

You too.

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All right, Joe House is here.

It's Thursday afternoon.

I'm on the East Coast.

We've already done like four and a half hours of content this week, but just

in a normal week, if our picks had been going as badly as they had been,

maybe I just bump you for the week.

Oh, House was on the NBA over-unders pod.

I'll just get somebody else for this week.

But we had a really good week, though.

We were four and owned.

Verno was 0-1 on our picks.

Poor Verno.

Yeah, trial separation would have made sense, but, buddy, when we fucking, it's good.

We have to stick with it.

Yeah, we got to stick together.

Let's talk NBA over-unders the aftermath really fast.

Okay.

Because FanDuel,

I talked to them because they do the super boost every year.

Yeah.

And it looks like this is going to be the super boost and they're going to

be pushing this starting on Friday.

Here we go.

The Milwaukee Bucks.

A team that you, me, and Zach all agreed on as locks at 42 and a half.

Triple lock.

Triple lock.

45 plus wins for the super boost because we needed to, we need something.

Golden State, 45 plus.

We all were over on them at 47 and a half.

So we're getting low value there.

Yeah.

And then OKC, who's over under with 62 and a half wins.

We all love that.

That's 60 plus.

So Bucks, 45 plus.

That's going to be the hardest one.

Warriors, 45 plus, and OKC, 60 plus.

That's going to be around plus 415, plus 420 range.

And with the parlay boost token, it gets bumped up into the plus 5, five, 35, 40 range, however, it nets out.

So that's the boost.

And we need the bucks is basically how this needs to go.

So that the question is, who's going to fuck us?

You think the answer would be the Bucks?

Well,

they would have to overachieve three wins beyond

their or two and a half wins beyond their over-under number.

We think that 45 is probably the right number, especially with some developments that we're going to see coming in the East.

Yeah, we had them in the four to five to six range in the east.

And, you know, I was thinking about some of the picks we had after and some of the arguments we had.

And

like, what would be your do-over?

Because for me, I think I'm not positive I was in the right spot with Orlando with the under.

It was 50 and a half.

And I think I just, I had too many overs.

And

now I'm looking at that going, why did I go under on those guys?

I didn't feel good about it to begin with.

I'm queasy about Orlando.

I feel like we, I'm not that concerned about that.

It depends on 100% health.

Well, why did that team with all those young guys have bad injury luck last year?

Like those guys, Franz Wagner is young.

Paula was young and Suggs is young.

And Suggs is not starting the season on the basketball team.

Right.

Well, that's why I backed up.

Right.

Yeah.

So I just, I don't think that we were in the wrong direction in terms of Orlando.

The one that I personally would do over is San Antonio because the way that the West is shaping up, you and Zach both went over on San Antonio.

I went under.

I don't like going under based on a thesis that depends on a little bit of injury, bad luck, but I did it.

But

I would do that over because I'd like to be on the side of just rooting for the Spurs to be awesome and for Wemby to be awesome all season.

I thought you were going to be a coward and actually flip your pick on that.

Which, by the way, Zach did.

What did he do?

He added a locker.

Zach had one.

He did a 180 on one of his picks, which I thought was pretty funny.

It's okay.

That's our first time together.

Well, the biggest tragedy of our podcast, we were very, very, very, very,

very,

very, very, very hard on the Sacramento Kings.

Very hard.

Zach.

Tremendous job by Zach Lowe.

We just were carving them up.

And they got spiteful and mad and upset that we did that.

And they signed Russell Westbrook the next day.

And they deprived us of the ability to talk about how,

fucking crazy of a signing that is

for over 100 podcasts.

It's like, why are you doing that?

That would have been five minutes of content.

How dare they?

Tremendous.

Because they told us, just suck it.

We're not giving you anything else to add to your

highly inappropriate snark.

And then here's the other thing they did.

Keegan Murray, who's starting out the season hurt.

I mean, he'll come back.

They gave him $140 million

for five years.

Oh, my God.

How do we miss this?

Can we do the worst contracts, the NBA worst contracts next week?

We do it after the all-star break every year.

And I'll tell you something.

Keegan submitted his resume for top 10.

Right over first week of the season, we got a resume in.

Those are my least favorite contracts when it's a guy who can't be an all-star and you're paying him basically right under that $30 billion a year.

Those are the ones like from Patrick Williams and the Bulls when they gave him 90 million for for five

yes that range basically from patrick williams to keegan murray is like the graveyard of bad contracts yeah and and you know it's the team not not having a firm conviction so they they kick the can with a shit contract and he's one of those he seems fine on paper guys yeah you watch him and you're like oh hypothetically i like him and there's some other people like this like i i probably like jabar smith more than most but jabar smith for the most part has been a hypothetical guy versus an actual guy.

Um,

well, this and yet at least he has size, and I can play him as a stretch five.

Keegan, I can't.

We should just call give that category a name.

I think it's the Emmanuel quickly, the annual Emmanuel Quickly.

That's another one.

That's the one, like, that's the contract.

That's yeah, the Raptors have like five of these contracts, they're like tweener contracts.

Yes, they're like a notch under an all-star spot, but you could probably get somebody to make four million a year who could put together 85% of the same stats.

That's where the issue is.

That's why I didn't even like that Jovich contract.

But anyway, yeah, so other than as we head toward opening day, I think those are the biggest NBA stories that happen.

Fun.

We'll see.

Good stuff.

Let's talk NFL.

We did well last week.

We were 4-0.

I like the slate this week.

You said you only like three games.

We have this new pact where we don't talk at all about the games beforehand.

So I have no idea what games you like.

And I was just going to go through the stayaways first and stop me if any of these were your games.

Okay, great.

I don't want any part of that Lions five and a half over the Bucs.

Oh, interesting.

Why not?

Because I don't know who's playing receiver for the Bucs.

Okay.

I don't know who's playing defense for the Lions.

I don't want to bet against Baker Mayfield ever the way the heater that he's on, but I also don't really want to bet on the Bucs when I don't know who's playing.

The lion is in the Vegas zone for a reason, and it just felt like a stayaway to me.

So early in the week, I was plowing into the Lions.

I have a ton of Lions exposure.

They have a tremendous record off of a loss, the combination of Dan Campbell and Jared Goff.

I lost some of my enthusiasm.

I'm saying it right now.

I'm not going to buy out of the position, but the Brian Branch suspension is bad.

That's bad for a team with all of the injuries in the secondary.

That dude is heavy lumber.

And for him to be out plus the secondary, no, I do still think for the, for the Buccaneers, this is the moment where it finally catches up with them.

But it seems like

Mike Evans is practicing.

I'm starting them in the fantasy league I care the most about.

Also, there's two touchdown potential for them, Tayo.

Stop.

It's fine.

It's not that fine.

I'm not.

So I, it went from a love for me into like a like.

And, you know, I, I, again, the Brian Branch suspension was a, was a, I'm not going to use the word I was going to use, a bummer.

Very fun game to watch.

And I look forward to belatedly doing a Bucks tease.

Giant overs.

Yeah, I feel like on Sunday, I'm going to do a Bucks tease with the over and probably just out of pure boredom.

We'll see.

The thing that I love the best about when you are in Boston,

it's really dangerous.

The fan duel

is slow.

Oh, my, my, my, my, is it dangerous or is it glorious?

Why did you hit, you used the wrong OUS word.

In the eye of the beholder.

I mean, the text that I'm getting from you.

You're just sitting there firing, firing, firing.

How long are you in Boston for?

I'm only here for a couple of days, but

the problem is

I'm leaving.

I'm leaving Saturday and there's going to be some runway bets as well.

A couple of those.

Well, the funny thing is, like, we're taping this before Pittsburgh, Cincinnati today, which is just the definition of a just stay away.

It's a Thursday night.

It looks like a classic bad spot for the Steelers.

I don't want to bet on the Bengals, but I'm sure I'll talk myself into something just out of pure boredom.

Plus, there's baseball, a little interspersing.

It's great.

Washington and the Cowboys in Dallas, I think, is a stayaway for us.

No, thank you.

Please, let's stay away.

I think that's a good idea.

Are you nervous about that game?

Because that's like one of those.

Are you kidding me?

Yeah, you're in.

He is incredible if you lose that.

Incredible.

The past defense for Washington is not setting the world on fire.

They let Caleb Williams go right down the goddamn field for the game-winning field goal.

I did not enjoy it.

It's kind of a must-win because your next three are at Chiefs, Seattle, and then Detroit.

I think we can get Seattle at home, but the other two, those are losses.

Put them in the loss column now.

I mean, Washington's, you know, this is, they're going going to have to battle hard to get to 9-8 and be in the playoff conversation.

Are you, how worried are you on a scale one to 10 about my bet that I have against you and every other person you know who likes Washington?

I already took the 500 bucks and put it in a sock.

Was I supposed to say the amount out loud?

Well, we did.

It was $500 a person.

Yeah.

I got an extra two wins because the Pats were plus seven and a half or seven and a half over under.

Plus, plus nine and a half.

Those were the totals.

I mean, that was it.

We played it that way.

Where it could get lucrative is it's win by win against Chang.

The Pats have the easiest schedule the rest of the way.

It's outrageous.

It's outrageous.

The Pats could just stumble into like 11 and 6 out of nowhere.

So the funniest thing that would happen that could possibly happen is the Titans beating the Patriots this week, except for it's Vrabel's revenge game.

So I think the right way to play it is Patriots by 55 points.

I'm going to be in the alt spread market looking at that.

Well, when you said the funniest thing that could happen, I thought you were going to tell the story of the dinner we had with Chang and Nathan.

I'm not telling that story.

No, because you can't say the restaurant's name if we're not going back there.

I'm happy to say it.

I love that restaurant.

I want to go back there.

Well, they need to apologize to us.

They wrote it up there.

Did they apologize?

It was an all-timer.

He said they apologized.

It was an all-timer.

They brought bottles of wine and didn't tell us the price and tried to jack the price out of us.

Like, like we were like, I wouldn't zomb out basketball.

We just didn't do enough sort of.

And then they brought in dessert wine that we didn't ask for and then charge us for that.

I've never had, I've been going to restaurants my entire life.

I've never seen that happen.

Well, the dessert wine is like just completely unnecessary.

It is not, you know,

we thought they were like bringing us like dessert wine because Chang was there.

No, they decided to bring us a bottle and charge it to us.

The cherry on top.

If I said what the price of the bottle was, people wouldn't actually believe it.

Yeah, I'm not going to.

Don't say any price.

I'll never go back there, so I have no problem.

I love it.

I'm going back.

They have my business for life.

I love that spot.

I hate, you know, when I used to work as a waiter and bartender, we had this one, one waiter we worked with.

And it's like, you know, it's standard.

If it's six people or more.

It's a standard, like you add the tip, right?

I think it was 18% in the 90s.

But you would tell the table.

It's like the right thing to do it's like the karma thing to do is to be like hey just so you know the tip has been included

and this one waiter we worked with would never tell the tables hoping he would get double tipped was it the j-bug no the j-bug would never have done that ever the j-bug is a man of integrity i don't mean

would never in a million years have done that he is to the contrary all-time karma guy was this other dude we had okay and he wouldn't tell the tables and it would we would get so mad it was like this is terrible that you did that.

He's like, well, I got 36% instead of 18.

Congratulations, fuckface.

I just think when you do stuff like that, the karma comes back.

So we'll see.

That's fine.

We'll see what that plays.

Anyway, back to the football game.

Broncos, Giants.

Broncos minus seven at home against the Giants.

That is

two crappy offenses.

Yep.

I don't want any part of this game in either way.

I have no idea who's going to win.

I don't ever want to bet on Bo Knicks again.

Well, that's not.

And I'm not putting them in a tease, anything.

The problem is, it's them at home.

The funny thing is, it's basically the same number as the beginning of the season.

The Titans at the Broncos landed.

It was over the summer seven and a half.

It moved up to eight and a half.

And then the Titans covered.

But, you know, it's another rookie quarterback on the road.

And there is a lot of reason to be skeptical about the second.

A rookie quarterback against a great defense, like who takes unnecessary chances.

I don't, I just, I'm just scarfing.

We're still scarf, it's good, it's fine.

Last one that I looked at, and I was intrigued by the 49ers minus one and a half against the Falcons.

And uh,

especially Falcons coming off a Monday night game, great win.

They're home, they're feeling great.

Now they're on the road, Bose is out, Warner's out, who knows who's actually playing for the Niners?

And it just felt like an awesome spot to be like, oh, yeah, of course.

And my shit detector is going off.

It's a Sunday night game.

I don't trust the Falcons.

I just can't get there.

Definitely don't trust them on the road.

Their defense is first against the pass.

It's fourth on third downs.

It's seventh and sacks.

Like all the stat signs are like, you should probably bet the Falcons here, but I'm not.

It needs to stay away.

Yeah, I agree with staying away.

I will end up playing this game as Sunday night rolls around, and I will be

going to play the Niners

just because we established the rule for ourselves that we don't play

the Falcons on the right.

We'll probably do the Niners or some tease that takes the Niners to four and a half or above,

something goofy.

We'll see.

Like by Sunday, Kittle might be playing.

Right.

You know, like they might have a couple receivers that we don't.

Right now, we don't know who's playing.

Is Purdy playing?

We expect that.

We don't know.

That's why they can't.

I think that's worth monitoring.

If that's line stays under three and they get some guys back, Falcons, outdoors, night game, California.

Yeah.

Uh, if that feels a little bit tasty.

So one other one, I didn't know if it was a stayaway or not.

Well, there's two actually.

One is Texans Seahawks.

Okay.

Houston plus three and a half in Seattle.

And initially I was like, this looks like a like a smash spot for Houston because I really like their defense.

And I don't think the Seattle homefield advantage has been there the last couple years.

I mean, the record backs it up.

I don't know what happened to it.

Houston's defense, first in the league scoring, fifth passing, seventh rush.

Seattle's offense has looked good the last couple weeks, but maybe Houston can disrupt them.

And then you look at the Seattle defense by the stats, the stature, some of the stuff they're doing against Houston's like really shitty offensive line.

As Lombardi always said, offensive lines don't travel.

You're putting them in Seattle with a loud crowd and Seattle second against the run, third QB hits, second hurries, third sacks.

Just feels like, oh, I have Houston.

And then

a quarter in, you're like, oh, my God, they can't block Seattle.

So I think it's a stayaway unless you feel strongly.

No, I don't.

I have a little on the Texans already because the three and a half is just too rich for me.

And you mentioned how bad Seattle's been at home.

See,

the thing with Seattle that I can't forgive them is that loss against Baker Mayfield and the Bucs.

Like that was a situation that Seattle, if you're a serious team, you need to take care of business.

That's a

seeding in the playoffs kind of game.

The implications are there because Seattle already lost at home to the 49ers.

So these are the teams that you have to beat if you're going to be in a serious place come playoff time.

But

you're right in terms of, you know, we can't bet on the Texans with that offensive line.

We just can't can't do it.

If we were 20 and 10 and ringer 107 right now, I might have talked myself into it, but we need wins.

There is one

parlay that I didn't stare at for a while.

If you take Houston to plus seven and a half

and you take the under up to 47 and a half,

I don't see 48 points in this game with the two defenses unless there was some weird turnover special team shit.

I just don't think.

Just play it all the way up.

Play it at full teaser.

Texans up to nine and a half and whatever the total is for the full six.

Well, the 47.5, you're getting like seven extra points for the over-under.

47.5 is a nice number because then

key numbers.

Yeah, that's a lot of points.

So, anyway, uh, and then the other one that I think is a stayaway, but I'm willing to be talked out of it just because I probably overrate this team.

Saints plus five and a half in Chicago.

Is this one of your three?

We're playing this one, buddy.

Oh, okay.

Let there be no doubt.

Let me move that one up.

Okay.

The other one I was looking at from a T's standpoint, Jacksonville and the Rams.

And sadly, this is in London, which has become, we're 0-3 in London games.

Jags are plus three.

Ostensibly are going to have a home crowd.

Who knows?

Yes.

Rams flying there.

Puka is questionable and probably not playing.

And if he plays, he's on one leg.

That makes me nervous.

The Jags are just goofballs, but the spot I was thinking that made me feel feel better about this is a parlay Ortiz taking the Jags up into the seven and a half, eight range and making the Rams have to beat them by two scores late.

Because I'm not positive they can, but the London game scares me.

So, what do you think of that one?

We're not playing it.

There's a reason that we have a rule against playing the London games.

I mean, we're just not playing it.

We've broken the rule for three straight weeks.

Big, big dumbasses.

So, having said that, I do think the Jags are the correct side and directionally, you know, putting them in some, there's no reason that you can't sit on the runway Saturday afternoon and fire off whatever you want on that.

We just can't put it into this contest under any circumstances.

You wouldn't even put that Jags plus eight and a half.

Fuck no, no, no.

They're playing in London on Sunday morning.

There's a reason that we have a rule.

So

the Chiefs minus 11 and a half at the Raiders, they're minus 700.

And I think for any parlay, they have to be in.

Rice is back.

Bowers, I think the Raiders without Bowers is just,

I'm just not afraid of them.

I know there's some history with these two teams.

The Raiders have beaten them weirdly, like maybe two times over the last four years.

But

this to me feels like they break Rashi Rice out of the garage.

They drive him around.

They do little wheelies outside in the street.

They zoom it down.

They rev the engine a little, and they probably take their foot off the gas in the second half.

But I feel very comfortable throwing them in some sort of parlay.

Okay.

On the minus.

On the minus 700.

Yeah.

It's like, it's like we, we do a three-teamer.

Great.

Sure.

I feel great about putting them in it.

Great.

No problem.

No chance to Gino and the Raiders, nothing.

Anything scare you?

No.

No.

No.

Chiefs kind of quietly up to the number three offense in the league by EPA now.

Catastrophe is the only thing that scares me with that.

Pretty bad.

They uh they barely beat Tennessee last week,

who then immediately fired their coach and the coach is dead.

Callahan tirefires.

Yeah, the Raiders kind of beat Tennessee's ass.

Tennessee likes tried to show some life in the score.

20 points.

Tennessee is so Callahan Tirefires is no longer.

Our guy Callahan finished 4-19 against the spread for his career.

He's the number one worst against the spread in the history of football since they've been tracking spreads.

It's amazing that I think I only bet against them half the time.

At what point in your life do you brag about that?

Like when you're like 65 years old and somebody's like, I heard you were a coach.

Yeah, coached an NFL team.

Really?

What team?

Tennessee.

Coached there for a year and a half.

Pause.

You know, I have the worst record ever against the spread.

Nobody's ever done worse.

There were 23 opportunities to bet for or against me.

And if you bet against me, you won 19 of the 23.

It's a record

it's 80 of the time you bet against me you won it's never happened before he's a record holder that's

you know i'm a record holder as a as an nfl head coach yeah i hold a record really what record well it's a weird one

also like how did hugh jackson not have the record I you put that question into one of the threads.

Did anybody answer it?

There's no way that Hugh Jackson did very much better.

A little bit better, maybe, but not very much better.

4 and 19 is just incredible.

I'm in awe of it.

It's like when we were growing up and they would show Bob Beaman's Mexico City jump.

Right.

And you'd be like, oh my God, he jumped four feet further than everyone else.

How did he do that?

4 and 19, really amazing.

Great scene.

Outer limits of human achievement.

That dumbass Tennessee owner group.

They fire the GM, they fire Brabel.

They hire this guy.

They and ran Carthon, they fire him.

They've had four firings in two years.

What an amazing we need to look up.

They should have

Ron Dabe as their minority owner.

Get him.

Shots.

Shots there.

He could own a piece of the title.

It's disrespectful because Sacramento, at least, they were lighting the beam just a couple years ago.

It wasn't that long.

They had a beam for like six months.

Yeah, but that was a good team.

And they took the Warriors to seven games.

Tennessee was the last good when Mike fucking Brabel was the head coach they went 12 and 5 with mike frabel yeah in this decade

yeah this decade speaking of the titans pat's titans it's in tennessee it's the first game after a fired coach

and uh

it's it's been drake may national appreciation week on the ringer for sure

What do you mean on the ringer on everywhere?

Watch ESPN.

Jesus Christ.

I flew to Boston on Wednesday and I had ESPN without the sound just on the TV and it was like 17 Drake May segments.

I mean, these advanced stats for him are unbelievable.

Why are you so

hey, listen?

I'm sorry you got the wrong quarterback from the draft and that he's two years older and that he's not as good as Drake May.

Let's see the Patriots in the AFC championship game.

Then we can have that conversation.

Fair enough.

Thunderstorms end wins for this game, and yet I am not deterred.

I think the Pats have to be in a parlay with us.

I don't want to do it.

I don't want to do it.

I want nothing to do with it.

I'm literally in the alt spread market right now for that game on the idea that Vrabel would like to win by 20 or more points.

And if you want to let.

Oh, you mean like a pour it on game?

Yeah, pour it on game.

Why wouldn't he pour it on?

But here's the problem.

It is the new coach situation, which is not favorable.

That didn't work.

Didn't work last year.

I'm just saying in general.

I think some

with the new coaches last year.

Favorable situation.

But the thing that...

They're terrible.

Tennessee's terrible.

They're terrible.

The New England Patriots put the fucking ball on the ground five times against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The New England Patriots beat the crap out of the Steelers up and down the field, but put the goddamn ball on the ground.

I just am not there yet altogether.

I can't trust the team.

I will put a small bet on.

Fortunately for me, I have two picks that I get to make myself.

I get two.

This is true.

We split two and you get one.

You're right.

You're right.

You're right.

You are the boss.

You didn't even make a case against that.

You're just like, I don't know.

They put the ball on the ground five times a month ago.

Congrats.

They did that.

Did you feel like Packers, Cardinals should be in any sort of parlay or tease?

Packers minus six and a half in Arizona.

No.

No Marvin Harrison, I'm assuming, because he had a concussion.

Third stream running backs for Arizona.

Maybe Jacoby Brissette again.

They showed some life against the Colts.

Now, what that tells you is some more about the Colts, which we'll get to soon enough

than about the Cardinals.

But the Cardinals are playing.

You know what I mean?

Like, I just, with the Green Bay team, it's too schizophrenic for me.

They left the back door open.

I mean, we were almost in a situation where Joe Flacco was going to have the ball in the fourth quarter with a chance to either tie or take the lead.

Come on.

That's at home.

That's a, that's a Lambo.

I don't trust Green Bay yet.

I'm telling you right now, just for you, I am going to play the New England Patriots minus 19 and a half.

Available on the FanDole Sportsbook.

This This is why I'm playing it at plus 420.

The kids know what that means.

Plus 420.

Can we start a new segment with Fando called Runway Bets?

Airplane Runway Bets?

That's one of those that I wouldn't do until the guy's like, please shut down your phones.

We were about to take off.

Please make sure your belts are faster.

Like, oh my God, I got to bet the pats plus 420.

Let me get this off.

Hold on, pilot.

Let's take a break and then we'll talk about the games that we love.

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All right, this is interesting.

So, we didn't talk about beforehand which ones we liked.

You said you liked three games.

Have any of them come up with?

Was Saints one of the games?

Saints is one of them, yes.

Okay, well, let's talk Saints then.

Saints plus five and a half at Chicago, Saints outdoors, Bears overvalued, so those things cancel each other out.

Bears defense, 32nd yards per play, 31st against the run.

They have no pass rush whatsoever.

And a pretty lucky win against your dumb team last week with your stupid turnout.

More than pretty lucky.

The effing Washingtons fumbled the ball at midfield with three minutes left in the game on a third and short with a chance to just win the effing football game.

The goddamn Bears have won two straight games by the score of 25 to 24, one point.

And both of them have been these preposterous outcomes where the other team is like, would you like to win a game this season?

So dumb.

I'm so upset with it.

But five and a half.

It's funny.

They always talk about turnover regression and regression on fourth down, all this stuff.

And you had all these amazing stats last year.

Right.

And we're watching in real time this season the regression just flip.

Like last year, third and three from midfields with a chance to put the game away.

You would have taken three chances.

You can just run it.

Put it away.

Yeah, that's right.

I don't know what the difference is this year.

The offensive line isn't as good.

There's no receivers.

No, McLaurin.

Right.

So that's the difference.

And Jaden had a bad game.

All right.

So, what's your case for this Saints plus five and a half?

It's a ridiculous number.

It's the Bears.

The Bears is the case.

Like five and a half.

What are we talking about?

If you wanted to say the Bears at home, you know, by two and a half or something, some reasonable number, less than a field goal, but this is based on priors that don't exist this season.

The Saints are

averaging nearly five yards per play on the road against good teams, against Seattle and

Buffalo.

They did it against New England.

This is the easiest defense that the Saints will have confronted by far, by a long shot.

And, you know, the Saints have

better net yards per play.

There's a whole bunch of stats that just support the idea.

We're not saying that the Saints are good.

They're competent, though.

They're playing hard.

And we're seeing in front of us Rattler growing more and more comfortable, even if they end up in a game script where the weather is going to really mess with this.

I'd much rather have the Saints offense in bad weather than the Bears' offense in bad weather.

Bears can't run the football.

The Bears got lucky

with a real route swing pass to goddamn DeAndre Swift against my Washington team, where Kwan Martin thought he was playing two-hand touch.

He two-hand touched him on the sideline and then won 55 yards for a touchdown.

That was the game-deciding goddamn touchdown.

I am not a believer in this Bears team.

Give me all the five and a half points, and I'll probably play New Orleans on the money line as well.

It's a great case.

I'll add this.

New Orleans, they lose

20 to 13 in week one to Arizona.

Right.

First week, they actually were a little more competitive than I think people realized.

And Cardinals went up early, and the Saints were like coming back, trying to win.

There was like a wide receiver with the ball in his hands in the end zone with 13 seconds left for the Saints.

It just didn't stay in his hands.

The ball fell out of his hands, but they were about to tie that game up.

49ers, week two,

lose by five.

Another respectable effort.

They get killed by the Seahawks in Seattle in week three.

That's a good defense game.

Turnovers.

That game was all turnovers.

Their net yards were fine.

At Buffalo, hung around the entire game.

Whole game.

And I watched that game and had that game on and was shocked how they were able to get first downs and just kind of hang around, stay in.

They beat the Giants 26-14.

Last week against my team, 25-19, we watched together some awful calls, some of the worst calls ever.

And multiple times, Pat's guys were wide open down the field.

But they pressured May.

They were around him the whole game.

They moved the ball.

Rattler was okay.

Like they had a chance to win that game.

So their schedule has been pretty good.

Like, they haven't played a shit team yet, unless you count the Giants.

And I don't think the Giants are a shit team.

They're not one of the five worst teams.

No, they're not.

I agree with you.

I think this line is too high.

That's why I had it marked down.

The other thing that I like, and I'm tracking now that we're enough weeks in, I'm looking at the allocation of tickets because the public is getting annihilated.

So I just want directionally to have some validation, some confirmation.

Right now, 60% is on Chicago.

That's on the FanDuel Sportsbook if you go under their stats thing.

60% of tickets on Chicago.

So directionally, that makes me feel good.

One of the most fun is taking a team right after they looked awesome on a Monday night game.

Right.

And also, Aikman was really hard on Caleb Williams in that game, and it turned into a story.

But I don't know.

I stayed with Trey Aikman.

And I mean, the Saints are going to play zone coverage, and the weather's going to be bad.

Let's see it, Caleb.

I like, I mean, you know, I'm rooting for Caleb.

Went to my high school.

Can we talk Panthers Jets?

Was that one of your three?

It was not.

Panthers minus one and a half at the Jets.

Tic-Tac game.

Yeah.

And I'll admit, Bryce Young on the road has been admittedly rough.

It hasn't been great.

He's been, it's been a home away situation with them.

At home, they've been good.

Panthers finally with some skill position guys.

Defense not terrible.

Fourth against the run.

Sixth.

First downs allowed.

Jets defense, 32nd, force turnover.

Something's got to give with them and Bryce Young on the road.

Panthers defense, ninth against the run, and their issue is pass defense.

The Jets don't have Garrett Wilson and we're already 32nd out of all the teams in passing success, every metric ever.

Yes.

So there's two things.

One would be you could say, well, if the Jets don't win this one,

they might not win this year.

Like this is a nice spot for them.

The other one is like, maybe there's something here with Carolina.

Like Like, to get over the hump, they'd be four and three after this game.

We could do the whoa, oh my God, the Panthers are four and three.

I think this is going to be Justin Fields' last start ever.

Well, do we know for sure that he's starting?

Have they announced?

He might have already had his last start ever last week.

It was up in the air.

I thought the news reports were suggesting that Tyrod might be the starter.

Great.

There's some news out there that suggests that.

The Jets are terrible.

And I thought Denver, we watched that game together too.

If Bo Nick slides in the first half

over the over the marker, I just think Denver wins by 30.

This feels like it just boozed the whole thing.

Anyway, I like the Panthers.

So you're not as enthused.

Just because I, I mean, let them show us.

Let them go win a game on the road.

Just show us that you can do it.

I don't care.

I don't care who, you know.

It's,

I don't like going up against a team that hasn't won yet, even in the completely depleted state that the Jets are in.

And

the coach, that head coach, he will soon enough again be a defensive coordinator.

I like when he's, Aaron Gwen's already doing the, uh, I've been, I watched this with Dan Campbell.

It takes a while to build a house and doing that whole thing.

It's like, you know what else would help build the house?

Calling timeouts for the end of the first half.

A little foundation.

Yeah.

You use

some game management maybe helps the house.

Construction manager.

Yeah.

Some of those things could help.

Was

Vikings Eagles

one of your games?

I gave it a good, long, hard look.

Let's give it a hard look now.

Vikings, plus two and a half

at home

against the Eagles, who don't have Mitchell, a cornerback,

probably don't have Dickerson.

There's like a million pieces you can find online about how different their offensive line is this year than last year.

Carter playing hurt or not playing, their best guy.

They're night and day when he's not out there.

Zadarius Smith just retired.

They have no pass rush anymore.

This is their top three pass rushers are now out.

And hurting a cornerback against Jefferson Nadison.

I don't love that.

I assume it's Wentz.

I don't mind Wentz against a really bad defense, but the Eagles.

The real thing for me, I think you could say the Eagles have a below average defense so far this year.

I think that's fair.

They're somewhere in like the, if you have

four tiers of defense, they're in the third tier.

They're not bottom tier, but third tier.

Their offensive stats are unbelievably bad.

Like, and they back up what we've been watching, which has been a big shit sandwich.

29th against pass, 25th against the rush, 28th yards per play, 31st tackles for loss.

And they're against this Minnesota defense, second versus pass, second on third down, third QB Harries.

They have Cashman and Van Ginkle coming back this week.

They're home.

They're they're underdogs,

and I don't understand the line.

What is the line now?

The line is Vikings plus two and a half.

Yeah, we would be playing at the Vikings plus two and a half.

So here's the problem for me.

This is why I was stuck on it.

Um, the Vikings haven't really done much in terms of like inside the numbers.

Uh, their 0.4 net yards per play better against Chicago,

uh,

who they came back late to win

against Atlanta with Pennix.

Are you feeling full nerd on me right now?

Well, I'm just like looking at this, like they, they, they, you know, they, they have Atlanta, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh on a neutral field, and Cleveland, right?

This is, this is like these games, these teams that they played under these circumstances,

not.

really blowing me away with this Minnesota team.

Now, you would say, well, you know, Cashman and Van Kinkle missed a chunk of, a significant chunk of those games.

Yes, they did.

They were missing the two linebackers who were the fuel to their team.

And the reason to be bullish on

the Vikings is Jalen Hurts has been horrific, horrific against two-man and against zone defense.

Absolutely.

terrible.

And the Minnesota Vikings will blitz the hell out of him.

But, you know, the only thing you have to

say to yourself is

we're betting on Carson Wentz.

Or

have they said for sure that it's Wentz?

Can I offer you this?

I just looked this up on FanDuel.

Vikings up to plus three and a half.

Cheaps money line, minus 120, right at the cutoff of what we can do for a parlay.

And now we're over the field goal hump with that.

Yeah, I don't hate that.

I don't hate that because it still permits the idea that the Eagles win a close one.

I don't like the defense,

the matchup for the Eagles in any way, shape, or form.

Chiefs money

with Vikes plus three and a half.

Okay.

Okay.

We have two comebacks by Minnesota that kind of have saved their season.

They came back against Chicago in that fourth quarter, and they came back in the final, like, you know, minute against Cleveland.

But we didn't have Addison the first three games.

Now they have the two receivers with Hawkinson.

Okay.

I think they can run on them.

I actually like Jordan Mason.

I think he's good.

I have one on one of my fantasy teams.

We also like O'Connell off the by,

right?

With a chance who's got a long look at this Philadelphia Eagles.

The Eagles have been telling us who they are for six weeks, and they really could be two and four.

Okay.

I kind of like it.

I kind of like it.

Vikes plus three and a half Chiefs money minus 120.

So that's one of our bets.

Put that in the book.

I marked it down.

Okay.

Two more games.

Chargers, Colts?

Did that one intrigue you?

Oh, it sure did.

Chargers, minus one and a half favorites at home against the Colts.

The Colts have major, major cornerback injury stuff.

They're just like, they've been ravaged.

So there's that.

We watched them last week play Arizona.

And Jacoby Brissette, who was not a playable quarterback last year for New New England, I think he went 27 for 44.

He threw for over 300 yards.

There was like a quarterback controversy in Arizona after the game.

And the reason he did so well was the Colts' defense was awful.

And if you look at it, they beat Brissette by four.

They beat Gino.

They beat Cam Ward.

They beat Bo Nicks in a game that they should have lost, that stupid leverage play.

And they beat two in week one.

The Chargers have, it seems like Joe Waltz coming back for a left tackle.

Oh, seems like he did the limited practice, like might be back, and then Khalil Mack might be back as well.

And it's funny, I started the week really liking the Colts and thinking they were underrated, but these defensive injuries

comes down to this for me, Joe House.

This just to me feels like a Justin Herbert is awesome game.

And we're going to find out if Johnston is playing, but I think he is.

He's been limited practice.

If Brissette can do that against the Colts defense, this just feels like a Justin Herbert.

Just take us home.

All we need to do is win by three, Justin Herbert.

Just take us home.

Yeah.

Add this to your MVP candidacy.

I'll ride you.

And also, should the Colts really be six and one?

Like, that seems crazy.

Yeah.

Yeah.

Good.

We're on the same page here.

Um,

all the reasons you just listed that that Colts secondary without Chavarius Ward, he who has been incredible.

Um, just he got concussed before the game.

Yeah.

Yesterday.

It's a week-long injury anyway, but I think that, I mean, he's had multiple, multiple concussions.

Yep.

So I don't think we'll be seeing him.

Yeah, they have no debacs.

They have no debacs.

The other thing I love is that the public is on the Colts.

Right now, 59%

on the Colts in this.

Now, we wanted to get to 60%.

So go ahead, public.

Please, hey, the Colts.

The Chargers barely beat the Dolphins last week.

So let me have the Colts on the road.

Okay, please, please do that.

Let's get this this nice 60% for the public.

Chargers be top six against the pass.

So

the thing that would worry me in this game is they run all over the Chargers.

Taylor just goes nuts.

Sure.

By the way, they've played in LA already, weirdly.

They played the Rams in L.A.

So this is they did the SoFi double.

I don't know if that's good or bad.

They lost close.

Yeah.

But

do we really believe that Indiana Jones is going to be

six and one?

Yeah.

And as triumphant as he's been thus far, also one.

Let me ask you this.

How many games in a row can Daniel Jones play before just having an awful game?

Before just submitting a shit sandwich?

Like, what's a realistic number, even if we were like the best-case version of a Daniel Jones season?

I mean, I have my right hand up.

I'm ready to see it.

This is the game.

We've gone through six games where he hasn't been terrible in any of the games.

He has not been.

He's been very good.

Where we haven't seen the, oh, man, he's just walking off the sidelines with that weird look on his face.

Chargers minus one and a half.

Great.

Chargers would be five and two if they win this.

They will have earned it too.

I think if they win this,

first of all, it completely changes the complexion of Texans Seahawks on Monday night because if the Texans can steal that one, all of a sudden they're back.

Not right.

But I feel like we're going to be flipping our opinion on the AFC South all season.

Probably.

All right.

I saved the best for last.

I knew this would be one of your games.

There's just no doubt.

We have the Cleveland Browns favored by two and a half against the Miami Dolphins.

The weather report,

I don't think ominous is a strong enough word.

Here's what we know we have.

Definite, definite rainstorm.

The mile and hours for the wins, they said conservative, 15 to 20.

Possibility of 50 to 60.

The temperature is not going to be that low.

So with the Tua thing, it's like when

two in the dolphins under 40 degrees, dolphins in any scenario under 40 degrees, like just an automatic smash.

But

two in bad weather, and then on top of it, their defense is 32nd against the rush.

So if this is just that it's bad weather, let's see who can run the ball.

You have on the one hand, a defense against up the rush.

On the other hand,

you have a Cleveland defense that's third against the run and is

good, even though they didn't look great last week against Pittsburgh.

The most important thing by a long shot is that it's the Cleveland defense at home.

Right.

The Cleveland defense at home is magnificent.

And, you know, they took a season off last season, but the season before that, when they went into the playoffs with Joe Flacco as their quarterback, a dominant defense at home.

We are right back in that saddle again, a dominant defense against the run in particular.

And Tua not being able to throw the football in these weather conditions.

Oh,

the fact that

only their third Browns home game this year, too.

And you're right.

They're a completely different team when they're home with the defense.

Go ahead.

Well, all I was going to say is,

I forgot what I was going to say.

The Gabriel part, too, like, remember the situations that he was put into as a starting quarterback.

He went up against Minnesota with the Blitz defense in Flores.

Welcome to the NFL.

And then they lost a day.

They traveled from Europe back to the United States to play Mike Tomlin at Pittsburgh.

So, you know,

I think this is his first like real week to really.

I don't think he's very good.

I don't think so either.

I'm not making you.

You know who I know is very good.

The Miami Dolphins.

So how about this house?

They have the 30-second rush defense, right?

Last in the week.

And we have some bad rush defenses.

They played Kamani Vidal last week in the Chargers.

They played Rico Daddo.

They basically turned Rico Dado's career around.

They played the fucking Jets.

They played my team that rushed for 22 for 45 with their two starting running backs last week.

We can't run the ball at all.

I'm making up Derrick Henry and Alvin Kabara trades with my friends.

And then they played James Cook and Taylor, who are two of the best.

But

if you're four of your six games against those four teams and you're 30 second against the rush, you can't stop the rush.

So this could be the Judkins game of all time would be my guess.

let's go this is it this is the

you know hold up

browns minus two and a half feels like a miracle and i just don't understand why i stayed at two and a half i this is my favorite game of the year i feel the same way and you know i love this game i can't wait to watch miami shivering cold with the wind

two and miles garrett coming after two

in horrible weather like this just feels like a godsend yeah

all over it this i I wish we could bet this five times.

Let's enter this into the contest.

It says Browns, Browns, Browns, Browns, Browns.

I wish we could do that.

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This episode is brought to you by Prime Video.

Thursday Night Football is on and it's only on Prime Video.

This week, the Minnesota Vikings head west to face the Los Angeles Chargers.

Holy mackerel, that's a good matchup.

I think both of these teams are good.

Could be a little Herbert MVP stuff going as well.

Coverage begins at 7 p.m.

Eastern with football's best party, TNF Tonight, Tonight, presented by Verizon.

Could Herbert be chest pumping Ryan Fitzpatrick at the end of the game afterwards with no shirt on?

We'll see.

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Today's Raker 107 brought to you by FanDuel.

We are 14 and 16 for the season, but we had a lot of momentum from last week.

And we've had a lot of bad luck this year.

And I feel like our luck is starting to shift.

We have five picks.

House has the first one.

Saints plus five and a half in Chicago.

You thought this line was three points too high.

You don't like the Bears.

You think the Saints are maybe a five and a half on the frisky scale?

What else am I missing?

It's time to pour some settle-down juice on the Bears.

Well, is there any bitterness that they beat your team last week after you just kept turning the ball over and letting them hang around?

Yes.

Yes.

There was a lot of bitterness.

The Bears have won a couple dumb games.

Anyway, I think this is a three-point game, and maybe the Saints can win.

I'm with you on that one.

Next one, we both like Chargers, Colts, Chargers minus one and a half.

Fine.

The Justin Herbert MVP game.

Let's see it.

Colts defense ravaged with secondary injuries.

Let's go, Justin Herbert.

Show us why you should be in this conversation with Baker Mayfield and Patrick Mahomes and my guy, Drake May.

Outrageous.

And maybe Josh Allen.

I forgot about him.

Don't want to forget about Josh Allen.

But yeah, the Colts,

this feels like a bad spot for them.

Second L.A.

trip for them already.

We're waiting for the Daniel Jones.

Don't forget that he's not mortal lock to be good all the time guy.

We are.

Next one, Panthers minus one and a half against the Jets.

This is my pick.

Panthers minus one and a half.

We're breaking the seal off of Bryce Young and the Panthers skill guys.

Rico Dowdle, Tet McMillan, Jalen Coker from Holy Cross coming back.

Think they can move the ball.

Listen, we've said the Panthers only bet on them at home.

I think this is when we finally get some growth.

We get some stories on Sunday night.

Panthers finally 1-1 on the road where they look like maybe, ah, by the way, they could be 4-3 after this.

And I think the Jets are just reprehensibly bad.

They might be.

No Garrett Wilson.

The way to beat the Panthers, throw the ball on them.

Jets, 30-second pass offense.

No Garrett Wilson.

Sounds awesome.

Next one is our parlay.

Chiefs money line against the Raiders.

Free to throw that one, and it's minus 700.

Pat's money line against the Titans.

Cal Han Tire fires no more.

Pat's on the road.

Ray Ball all-time revenge game.

House loves this for Pat's minus 19 and a half as an airplane runway bet.

Plus 420.

So minus 19.5, plus 420.

Anyway, Chiefs Moneyline, Pat's money line.

We're going to bring the Vikings against the

Smoking Mirrors Eagles up to plus 7.5 at home.

Love it.

We think that can actually win the game.

We sure do.

But Chiefs Money Line, Pat's Money Line, Vikings plus 7.5 and a half against a Eagles team that

has not looked awesome.

And then, last but not least, our favorite pick in seven weeks.

Literally.

Cleveland Browns minus two and a half at home against the Dolphins.

Thunderstorms.

Wind estimated between

worst case scenario, 50 miles an hour.

Scariest scenario, 60 miles an hour.

And Tua and the Dolphins Dolphins, and DJ Mikey Mack.

Yeah, mixed up.

Just trying to dial it up with their 30-second run defense as the Browns run all over them.

Their defense goes nuts.

And we like the Browns at home.

We sure do.

Quinchon Judkins breakout game, more breakout game in that defense against the Dolphins.

That sounds great.

Let's go, man.

That's today's Ringer 107.

It's brought to you by FanDuel Odds.

Subject to change.

House, you did so well.

I want to pour you a glass of dessert wine and then charge you $500.

Oh, well, the lead.

That feels like a bargain.

$500?

You're only charging me $500?

That's a bargain.

Maybe I went low.

House.

Hey, hey.

I'll see you next week.

Good luck in the Rigger 107.

Good luck to both of us.

All right.

That's it for the podcast.

Thanks to Kyle Mann and House and Eduardo and Gahal.

Enjoy the weekend.

I'm going to be back on Sunday night with the Cuz talking NFL.

See you then.

I don't have

a feelings with them

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