Best of the Program | Guest: Tim Stewart | 12/6/21

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Biden came out last week.

Okay, enough.

Biden came out last week and talked about the supply chain and said it's not going to be a problem.

Well, let me just tell you, the Food and Drug Administration is now warning that the supply chain bottleneck is threatening the availability of over a hundred pharmaceutical products.

According to the website, the agency has asked manufacturers to evaluate their entire supply chain, including active pharmaceutical ingredients, finished dosed forms, and any components.

Yeah, they're saying that there might be some shortage of heart medications, antibiotics, and cancer drugs.

But other than that, Santa Claus is coming to town.

This is what Biden said.

If you've watched the news recently, you might think the shelves in all our stores are empty, and parents won't be able to get presents for their children on the holidays.

But here's the deal.

No joke.

For the vast majority of the country, that's not happening.

Seriously.

Because of the actions of the administration that we've taken in partnership with business and labor retailers and grocery stores.

Now, I can't promise everybody's going to get the gift they want on time.

Only Santa Claus can keep that promise.

I also can't promise you that you can get your cancer treatments or your,

you know, or your blood pressure medicine or heart medicine.

Because, well, it's not happening.

Okay.

I think maybe we should start taking things seriously.

Has this government done anything to protect our critical infrastructure?

The first thing we should have done after COVID was, hey, we're going to make sure that medicine is available here.

That we actually make some critical ingredients for medicines.

We didn't do it.

Now, instead, we made sure that we have critical infrastructure.

In case there's ever a war, we have a strategic oil reserve.

Except, let's open it up for gasoline

because, well, we shut down all the pipelines and gas is getting really, really pricey.

So let's open up the strategic oil reserves and make the price go down 1.8 cents.

Not two cents, 1.8.

When are we going to replace that in our strategic oil reserves?

I want to talk to Tim Stewart.

He is the president of the U.S.

Oil and Gas Association.

Hi, Tim.

How are you?

Glenn, good morning.

It feels like 1973 all over again.

Doesn't it?

It's crazy.

So, hang on, full disclosure.

Tim is the brother.

of

the guy who runs my ranch.

Listen to this.

You want to talk about a family.

The guy who runs my ranch, who also happens to be, he was a full bird colonel, was he not in the Air Force?

He was, yeah.

Yeah.

Yeah.

Your other brother is a federal judge, and your other brother, your other brother is a congressman.

But other than this lazy family stuff,

what do you have to show for it?

You probably ought to meet my sisters, actually, because my sisters are far more impressive than dead than the dead meat brothers that are in the family

i'm the weak link in all of this i'm the weak link in all of this so i understand right i know you're only the president of u.s oil and gas association so so tell me um what is happening and what what's true uh on

the oil and gas situation what are we really expecting

well sure but first you know you started out talking supply chain there's 6 000 items that are made from petroleum products yep you know that's everything from toolboxes and petroleum jelly to football cleats and everything else.

And you can't address the supply chain constraints without addressing the ingredients and the base materials that go into building out the supply chain, the supplies for the chain.

And the administration, I think, is,

you know, when I say we're going back to 1973, it really is.

I've been telling people, look, you call it feckless or you call it reckless, but it sure is an energy policy.

Glenn, what you have is,

I think you have a situation where people, energy policy is being dictated by people who haven't driven themselves to work for years.

You see the classic administration, you know, Wall Street, white shoe, D.C.

law firm revolving door, where people who have been picked up in black sedans for years are now being driven to their offices to make energy policy for the rest of us.

It's really, really frustrating for those of us schleps who actually have to fill up twice a week.

So, can we go back to where you started before we go to gas?

Let's go back.

The products that are made from petroleum.

You know, I used to be a good friend before he passed away of John Huntsman, and I went to his office, and in his lobby, he had this like miniature house that was cut in half, and it showed everything that petroleum was involved in.

And I mean, it's everything.

It's everything.

How does the

world live without a healthy supply of petroleum?

Well,

it's not just gasoline, and that I think is where the administration really misses the mark is they think, well, we can drop two cents from actions that we did or didn't take, and boy, look how great we are.

But the reality is, is anybody who is waiting for anything to be made or is trying to make anything relies solely on this base material of which we have in absolute abundance across the world and particularly in the U.S.

And yet for whatever reason this is sort of that ideological approach that if it is something that may or may not contribute to a carbon footprint then it's bad and that's the whole problem I think is you have this administration have this confluence of events where the administration arrives at the same time as demand is starting to increase after COVID and that administration starts to make bad decisions on day one and literally every week they make bad decisions with regards to how do we ensure a basic supply of the basic materials we need.

Well, now we're talking, I mean, they just did and talking about opening it up a second time, the strategic oil reserve, which I'm not for when a Republican president does it.

That is for strategic purposes.

And, you know, maybe that's to keep the gas price down if you know it's going to come back down.

But with this administration, if they continue to follow what they're doing, gas prices or oil prices will not come down.

They'll get higher and higher as they squeeze even tighter and tighter on these companies.

Am I right?

You know, you're exactly right.

And if I could, just for a second, you know, the administration opened up the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and in response to being told no by OPEC.

You know, they went to OPEC and begged, please increase production.

Well, no, we're going to keep it at what we had planned, OPEC told them.

And so the administration came back and said, well, we need to show we need to do something.

So let's see, what do we do?

Let's dust off the old Marxist playbook that was used by Venezuela.

Let's one, accuse industry of being a cartel or colluding for higher prices.

And two,

we'll drop more out of the strategic petroleum reserve.

Some perspective, 50 million barrels sounds like a big number.

Reality is, Glenn, that represents one half of one day of global energy consumption.

It's less than two and a half days of U.S.

consumption.

The White House wanted to say, look, we're releasing 50 million barrels because it sounds like a big number, but compared to global crude consumption, it's a rounding error.

It's tiny.

And the markets laughed it off.

You know, within six hours, the price of crude had actually increased.

So.

So it was.

Sorry, go ahead.

I'm baffled myself.

Yeah, I mean,

it is so obvious.

Do you think anybody believes that this administration is doing anything other than crippling the oil industry?

I mean, do you have any research or anything that shows perception from people?

Well, see, and that's a great question.

You know, we sit and we scratch our heads.

We say, are they doing this on purpose?

Are they doing this because they don't understand?

And if they're doing it because they don't understand, then they're feckless.

If they're doing it on purpose, then they're reckless.

And that takes me back to my first point.

This series of bad decisions, and literally it's almost week by week.

The reality is,

you know, like I'd invite President, if I had a poker night, I'd invite President Biden to poker night because he is the worst poker player I've ever seen.

He sends mixed messages all the time.

And every single day that goes to the markets, and that's why the markets are fluctuating because they can't figure out exactly where the administration is going.

Well, wait, what is the mixed message here on oil and gas?

Great, you know, great question.

Okay.

So on one hand, they say, well, you know, we're going to do everything we can to help consumers.

And then literally the next day, day they will take an action that will constrain industry's ability to produce the biggest the biggest subtle signal Glenn goes to Wall Street continuously

they will you they're using financial rules they're using the SEC the Office of Comptroller Currency they're using the FTC and others to send subtle messages to Wall Street to say our policy says that you should not you should not invest in fossil fuel projects.

And so it's really easy to send a bank examiner in to a mid-sized bank and say, let me look at your portfolio.

I see that you've got maybe 3% of your portfolio is investing in

fossil fuels.

So what if you factored in the climate risk to that?

And the bank manager says, well, maybe not.

And so he walks out and says, let's just unload this.

And what's happening is you're seeing a squeeze of liquidity, particularly for the smaller players on Wall Street, where they can't get their capital expenditure budgets funded for the next couple of years because of the uncertainty the administration sends and its messages every day.

Well, they said the administration or who was it, Stu?

Was it Kerry came out and said,

especially the small producers, we will put them out of business.

Yeah.

I mean,

how much of our daily life is affected by the small producers?

It's about the same amount that is affected by a small farmer, to be honest with you.

Agriculture and the oil and gas industry are very closely aligned in how they structure.

You have a few

large players in the ag industry, but it's the thousands and thousands of small farmers who actually make up the volume.

And same with oil and gas.

You have a few players that everybody identifies as big oil and beats them up.

But the reality is there's thousands of smaller companies

who create tremendous volume and add to the portfolio day by day.

And it's those guys that are getting hit hardest when they can't get their budgets approved by their lenders because Wall Street is is telling them don't do it because the administration is telling Wall Street not to do it so I've been I've been begging the audience to get their money out of these big lenders because of this and other things like it they are fully in bed with the Great Reset and ESG standards which will strangle all of us to death

and and so I've been urging people please tell them and then move your money to a local bank.

Tell them why you are taking your money out because of the ESG standards.

You want nothing to do with it.

It's not going to fix the problem, but it will certainly buy time and send a message, hopefully, to the market, the banking market.

What else can we do?

Well, you know, keep using the product for sure.

Well, I don't think I have a choice.

But, you know, and look, I've been doing this a long time.

I tell people it's a fool's errand to bet against this industry.

It is cyclical in nature.

And the reality is, is that we produce exactly what people need, and we'll keep doing that regardless of who is dictating policy right now.

There is a problem, though, Blenny, that nobody talks about the White House, the White House avoids at all costs, and that is this issue of energy poverty.

And, you know, it's easy for me to say that people...

use our product but when the reality is look we're industry is cognizant of of this fluctuating price market and how hard it is for people.

And energy poverty is something very, very real.

You know, I don't know if you saw this, but there was a Gallup poll that came out last week that said 45% of Americans are reporting financial hardship carried by increased prices.

Seven in 10 lower American households are experiencing real hardship, and that's pushing millions of people.

back into what we're calling energy poverty.

Because you make rational decisions, do I drive the 40 miles to the doctor?

Do I do it on Tuesday or do I do it on Friday?

Because I don't know if I can afford the fill up for the rest of the week.

That's really concerning to us, you know?

And

I'm really concerned, very, really, very concerned, Tim, about this winter.

I mean, there are a lot of people that

use oil and gas for their furnace that are going to have to not just say, do I go to the doctor, but do I turn the heat up?

And that's, I mean, we are, we're, I don't think no one in the media and certainly no one in the administration is addressing this issue and they're pretending that it's not going to exist, but it is.

It's already here.

Right.

And so, you know, if people say, well, what would you tell the administration to do?

Glenn, I say, I would say if I were to tell the president, I'd say, look, whatever you're going to do, don't do it.

In fact, I need you to stop trying to help anymore.

The biggest help you would do would be is to go back and undo what you've done since January.

And when I said I'm earlier, he's a lousy poker player.

All he would have to do to send a signal to the Saudis and the Russians, if he were to stand up and say instead of I'm going to release money or release oil out of the petroleum reserve or something else, if you were to stand up and say, I'm going to sign an executive order that removes all unnecessary regulatory impediments to industry and get us back to where we were two years ago, that would send an incredibly powerful market signal.

And I guarantee you that prices would drop rapidly over the next few weeks, and those Americans would be able to afford it.

Tim, a couple of quick questions for you.

When Barack Obama stopped the drilling,

the deep sea drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, I remember talking to oil experts and they said, those things are on long-term lease.

You get rid of them.

It's going to be a long time before they're able even to come back and you just don't build a new one quickly.

Can we reverse this?

Is there going to be damage done in the next three years that is irreversible?

Well, so give it some perspective.

When Obama took office,

the federal oil and natural gas production was about 24%,

or sorry, about 36%.

When he left, it had dropped down to about 24%, and natural gas had dropped to 13%.

And a lot of that is reflecting on not just the offshore, but also his onshore constraints.

And essentially, they've devalued the federal oil and gas assets where it is almost worth nothing.

The industry is very, very reticent to try and pursue any federal onshore leases in particular.

It's just not worth the regulatory risk, locking up the capital for 16, 17 years.

One last thing.

Do you have any idea of what you think?

I think gas is going to be...

I mean, it just hit $5 a gallon in California this weekend.

Any idea what we could be facing in the next few months?

Well, you know, a lot of that is so there's so many unknowns.

I mean, with that COVID variant had caused a much greater drop in crude prices than anything Biden did.

But we imagine...

We're seeing production inventory start to stabilize.

From industry's perspective, we don't like oil that's in the $80 a barrel.

It's too difficult for us.

And so we're doing everything we can to get production up to where it needs to be, despite the federal intervention that's there to keep us from doing that.

We're hopeful we get down to Americans, can you get back to work and do what they need to do?

Tim Stewart, president of the U.S.

Oil and Gas Association.

Thank you for being on with us.

God bless you.

It was great.

You bet.

Thanks, man.

This is the best of the Glen Beck program.

And don't forget, rate us on iTunes.

This is the Glendbeck program.

Stu and I were just talking off air about the metaverse.

And believe it or not, the metaverse is coming, and we're going to be talking about it beginning next year.

But you ready for this?

Land prices,

land prices in the metaverse.

They're now going for as high as $6 million

for a piece of land that doesn't exist.

And I'm trying to get my arms around this and find a way to explain it

because it is going to be a factor and it's going to happen much faster than anybody thinks.

And you need to be prepared to

understand it.

Because if you're not going into

the metaverse, I guarantee your children will.

and it will become one of those, it will become something as

essential,

and I say that with air quotes, as essential as a smartphone now.

Yeah, because I don't like this version of the metaverse, which is where we just stare at our phones and don't live to each other.

Yeah.

Right.

I don't even like that, let alone what this could be.

Well, let's go back to the real universe, the actual one where there are yet some consequences.

Chris Cuomo, the Fredo of the family, was put into the little boat and taken fishing by CNN this weekend.

That's nice.

Yeah.

Nice little trip out to the water.

Yeah, you should see the godfather.

Anyway,

so Fredo is out on the boat.

And

when they come, when, you know, the guy who took him fishing comes back and goes, I don't know what happened.

He was lost at sea along with my shotgun.

Anyway,

they don't say what Fredo did to finally get him fired.

This is a really interesting part of the story.

Obviously, we all know what Cuomo has done that should have gotten him fired.

Correct.

You know, everything from helping his brother to completely failing as a host

to lying to the network to lying to his own audience to previous sexual harassment allegations that were confirmed basically by Chris Cuomo himself.

Right.

All of those things did not rise to the level for

CNN to do anything.

Now, eventually they did suspend him, and they suspended him based on, I think, a couple of things.

One,

there was some additional information that came out from the state of New York, and we covered this a little bit last week.

Probably the worst part of this was he was actually targeting one of the women and calling sources to get information on one of the women.

But that still wasn't bad enough.

Still for CNN.

Right.

Then he also was outed as lying not only to the audience, but to the network itself.

So it's one thing to actually break every journalistic piece of ethics that's ever happened in the history of mankind, where even their own, Jake Tapper himself came out and said no journalist could possibly think this was okay.

This is back in May, and they still didn't do anything.

So he crosses this line where now he's not only lying to the audience and

ruining journalism, but he's also now embarrassed his employers.

And that's hard.

Brian Stelter came out and said on Saturday

that Cuomo had, quote, caused so many headaches and many staff members at CNN were very unhappy at their decision.

This is fascinating because, number one, Stelter said earlier

back in January.

He was the one person who was really kind of on the optimistic Cuomo train here, that he might actually be back.

There's a lot of reporting that he was done with Zucker because of the embarrassment.

He might have had a crush on him.

Maybe he was thinking, maybe somebody will grab my butt.

I don't know.

Some people like different things.

We do have the Selter quote, by the way.

This is clip five.

Listen to this.

This is about a confluence of factors,

about a series of headaches that seemed like they were never going to end.

I said on the air last night when the news broke, this seems like a case of death by a thousand cuts.

And my reporting sense backs that assessment up.

This was about not any single headache, but many headaches that continued to pile up.

100,000 in the demo will do that to you.

Yeah.

Yeah,

he was dying.

The ratings were dying.

And Anderson Cooper came in and they went up, which is not a huge surprise, I suppose.

But I think one of the issues here,

which is bizarre, is that the last cut of the thousand cuts appears to be a brand new sexual harassment allegation against Chris Cuomo

that apparently has popped up over just the past few days.

And when it was reported to CNN, they said, okay, we just got to get this over with.

We got to just, we got to pull the plug on this.

This is a disaster.

Now, they don't want to go through another investigation on this, which is what they'd probably have to do.

It comes through a prominent lawyer.

We don't know any of the details really yet.

Although, the two things that we know is that

she's remaining anonymous and that it seemingly was pre-2013.

So it was an older allegation, not a brand new one.

Well, how old were you when you were in?

2013, it seems like.

Ancient history.

Actually, I will say it does feel like ancient history for other reasons, but not for an allegation like this.

So this is coming from the woman who is representing the health policy advisor.

in Cuomo's administration.

So that lawyer was approached by this new person that said, I can't take it anymore.

Yes.

I'm watching him on TV saying these things.

This is just like last week or the week before, and I cannot take it anymore.

And went in and filed.

And she's like, look, I just, I don't want

any attention.

I don't want anything.

I just can't take his constant lies

and his imaging of himself as a saint.

It's interesting that that has been a common trigger for these allegations you know it's one thing to go up there to apparently to sexually harass people

but it's later on you kind of have that instance where the host is saying something on television and

you know the the the victim the alleged victim is sitting at home and hearing wait a minute this is the same thing we heard with don lemon right don lemon had this incident reportedly with or you know allegedly with this guy at a bar i don't think it's allege i i mean there's all kinds of of people that were there.

He's denying it.

But yes, but there are there are there does seem to be a significant amount of evidence that at least the event occurred.

I mean

some of this other allegations on the side of that, it's hard to know, but at least that the event occurred in some form.

Anyway, it wasn't until he went on the air and said, you know,

all these things about how allegations need to be taken seriously.

And I've always stood up for women in these situations.

It wasn't until that that the accuser came forward.

Same thing here.

We've seen this multiple times now, where

Andrew Cuomo himself, the same thing happened to him, where he

initially said to the first accusers, basically, I didn't do anything.

What are you talking about?

And took this high-minded stance.

And that

inspired his other victims,

allegedly, to come forward and say, okay, I wasn't going to say anything, but now that you're doing this, I have to.

Which is

an amazing

and is so utterly predictable when you know the Cuomo's characters.

I mean, I'm at the point, Glenn, I'm not going to have anybody to talk about anymore.

They're all getting fired.

It is a 100% unemployment rate, as the Babylon B said.

In the Cuomo household, it's worse.

It's 100% unemployment.

It is.

It's sad.

I mean, I feel like, what am I going to do?

I based my household budget on Andrew Cuomo and Chris Cuomo merchandise.

I have to reform my entire household budget.

No, no kids.

I don't want to go to private school anymore.

Sorry, kids.

Now they're collectibles.

Oh, now they're collectibles.

Now they're collectibles, by the way, available at AndrewCuomo is awful.com or Chris Cuomo is worse.com.

But you're right.

Like it is at that point where it's so over the top.

And, you know, the Cuomo thing has gone down

the rails so fast.

Remember this.

When Andrew was going down, when it was finally, they came to the end of the road with Andrew and they realized this is not savable.

One thing they did was to leak to every media source covering this before it happened.

So it was in all the initial stories that Chris Cuomo actually was the one who pushed Andrew over the edge and said, You must resign.

It's time.

They tried everything they could to save the secondary layer of Cuomo's from the fall of the first layer of Cuomo's, and they were unsuccessful in doing it.

Chris was so out of control and acted so poorly throughout all of this that they couldn't even save him

after losing Andrew.

I think this is a really good development.

Look, they say that CNN wasn't affected.

CNN was greatly affected, greatly affected, not only in their credibility and exposed who they really are, because they still have Don Lemon and they have,

what's his name, Jack.

You know, Jack.

Jeffrey Toobin?

Yes, Jeffrey Toobin.

Jack Adonine.

So anyway,

they still have Toobin and they still have Don Lemon.

So they really,

they haven't changed.

But the key is, Andrew Cuomo, or I mean, Chris Cuomo had lost so many viewers.

None of us are counted in that.

I don't know of a soul in this audience who's like, you know, but I really liked Andrew Cuomo.

I was watching that show no matter what anybody says.

Yeah.

That is hardcore CNN zombies.

Okay.

And

that audience was going away, went away, went away.

That's a good thing.

That shows that even the hardcore people are like, okay, okay.

I mean, I've hit my limits here.

I've hit rock bottom.

Yeah.

I think I'm going to stop drinking this Kool-Aid.

It is.

I think it's a positive.

I,

I don't think they had any intention of getting rid of them, rid of him if they could have weathered it.

And I think they hit that limit where even they said there's just no, there's no argument anymore.

It's possible that the leadership at CNN felt so personally burned by Andrew Cuomo after embarrassing.

You know, it's like, exactly.

Remember Hillary Clinton when she came out and she's like, it was a vast right-wing conspiracy.

And then we've proven obviously to be true.

It was so

embarrassing to Hillary, right?

And everyone said at the time, like, I can't believe she's going to stay with him just because of that.

He made her go out in public and defend him with what he knew was a lie.

And that is, I think, part of the thing.

I honestly think that they would have fired him if it was that before this.

This is good.

Now this?

Right.

It's too much.

Yeah, it's just, I can't.

What else is there going to be?

If we ignore this this one, what else is coming next?

I think, and you listen to Stelter's commentary on it, he's right, I think.

I do think he's right on the analysis there.

They were so overwhelmed by his terrible behavior over such a long period of time, they eventually hit their wall.

Any

normal journalistic organization would have hit it on day one.

Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.

But it took them a year and a half.

No, he hit the, he's like a crash test dummy that just put the car back into reverse, backed up, and slammed against the wall over and over and over again.

GM's like, okay,

all right, enough.

This is the best of the Glenn Beck program.

Jason Buttrell is with us now.

Hello, Jason.

Hello.

How are you, sir?

Well, you know, I was fine until you kind of read off that little list of everything going on in the world.

Yeah, I mean, I was good until then, but aren't you glad that the grown-ups are not at the table?

Oh,

great.

I am.

It's really good.

Boy, we're being taken seriously around the world now.

Yes.

And, you know, every time I think that I'm done looking at Ukraine, they just pull me right back in.

I just get pulled right back in.

It's like Godfather 3.

I was just about out.

And they pulled me back in.

This is interesting.

So this came out, I think it was in the New York Times, that U.S.

intelligence has now said that 170,000 Russian troops.

Yes.

They'll be involved in an invasion.

They're saying as early as 2022, that's in a few months.

Anytime in a few months.

So like basically tomorrow because they're saying this could happen.

And it's a big deal.

And normally I would think, eh, you know, I don't think Putin would pull that trigger.

Oh, yeah, he is.

I think he's definitely at that point.

Of course he will.

And you can't blame him.

You look at the things that, I mean, I never would have thought Afghanistan would happen.

It did happen.

And normally I'd give our leaders the benefit of the doubt on, well, something must have happened.

No, no, I think that they're just actually incompetent.

And I also think that they don't care because I think they want America to return to that mediocre, less than mediocre status.

I think that's what they are.

By the way, this portion of the program brought to you by the Let's Go Brandon sweatshirt.

Let's go Brandon, available now at shop.theblaze.com.

Or the actual address, shop.blazemedia.com, where you can use the code

Glenn20 for 20% off.

Or

Walmart.com.

I'm sure they've got something there.

I don't think so.

No, no, I don't think so.

All right.

Shop, what is it?

Shop.theblaze?

No.

No.

No.

No.

No.

Shop.

Shop.

Dot.

BlazeMedia.

BlazeMedia.com.

And that's spelled D-O-T-C-O-M.

Anyway, I'm Jason.

Go ahead.

I need a promo code.

I need a personal promo code.

Glenn20.

Google.

Glenn 20.

Yeah.

You look at some of the things that they've done that have completely undermined our ability to just even keep stability without having to send armed forces.

Things that we would not do if you were being serious.

Things were done in the Trump administration, but he never got credit for.

Like green lighting the pipeline that would completely circumvent Ukraine, Nord Stream 2.

Yep.

We were like, why is he doing this?

Like,

is he working on some other kind of backroom deal?

Like, if Trump would have done this, they would have said, oh, you know, he's working with the Russians.

Working with the Russians.

Putin's bought him.

But Biden did that.

And it completely kind of gave up the Trump card that Ukraine had in some kind of stability.

Because the only thing stopping Putin from just rolling straight through, if he wanted to, was he would be just as decimated as Ukraine would be, you know, economically.

But now that's gone away.

And all of these Eastern bloc countries that were on the edge,

Poland.

Transylvania and others,

they're begging us.

They're all saying, this is trouble, this is trouble.

You can't let him take the Ukraine, please, because he's threatening all of them.

Yeah, the Ukrainian defense minister, this is how dire they see their situation right now, just said, I think yesterday, that he wants U.S., Canadian, and British troops.

Not a chance.

An actual physical presence on the front line to deter what's about to happen.

They see this, they see the writing of the wall.

They see this as coming.

It is coming, but want we're not coming so there's 70 000 troops on the border right now that's that's that's a conservative estimate there could be as much as 90 000 that 170 000 troops and put these numbers into context that's more than the entire united kingdom military not just military army marines whatever the entire military wow that's the type of numbers we're looking at that's how weak England is, and we haven't taken them yet.

Right?

We need to correct that.

I mean, that's ridiculous.

We could have that.

Right.

The queen would be ours.

Yes, I see this as similar to, if you want to look at this in context, like a 2008 Georgia situation.

Now,

I think that Putin did that specifically because of Ukraine, what was going on in Ukraine.

That's when you started seeing those color revolutions popping up,

which George Soros and our State Department was part of.

Right, exactly.

And yeah, and was a part of through 2014.

Yep.

But it was a direct message for him to say, look, if you think that you're going to take a country that we believe is ours, if you think NATO and the United States can protect you, they can't.

What are they going to do?

They're trying to get in bed with Georgia.

We'll just invade Georgia.

They did it.

We couldn't do a thing about it.

That's exactly the same thing that's going to happen to Ukraine.

Now is the time for him to deliver that message.

If you believe anywhere in the world that a U.S.

guarantee of security means anything at all, and think of that, Taiwan,

Japan,

any of these Eastern bloc countries that we say don't worry, we got you, bro.

Let's see what they're going to do.

Australia.

Australia.

If they take Taiwan, everything is on the table.

Everything is on the table.

And I don't, I mean, Mr.

Neocon, Jason, I'm sure you want war all the time.

But

I don't want to go into Ukraine.

But I'm telling you, the result is going to be they're going to take Ukraine.

They'll end up, they'll just start moving forward.

Because once you let Ukraine go, go once you let Ukraine go China will take Taiwan

because we're sending the signal United States is done and and now you see one of the other tragedies of Afghanistan We told them we'd be there for them We'd protect the people that we said that we were going to protect and it said

no no

I'm not saying in no, I don't want war.

I don't want U.S.

troops to go into Ukraine.

We've gone over and over on this.

I want to stop being everywhere all the time.

I want to be where we should be strategically with a very big stick.

And we're sitting back going, no, don't do that.

Right.

But

there's things diplomatically that we can do to ensure that these things don't come to a head, that the administration is just bungling like Nord Stream 2.

Why would you do that?

Those are the things that ensure that our men and women don't have to go fight.

Correct.

Those types of things, but they're not doing them.

They're going in the opposite direction.

So it makes you wonder: I mean, are they that stupid?

Probably yes.

Yes, yes, yes, yes.

But they also are are that anti-American.

Yeah, and that is the global agenda right now is to mediocre the entire world.

We are too powerful.

Our own countrymen don't like that.

They want us to take a few shots.

They want us to step back more and more and more.

Not in the way that we want to step back.

And, you know, we're seeing, but I want to step back without making the world more dangerous.

Yeah.

You know, and you can do that.

You just have to realize it's been 100 years in the making.

It's going to take a few years and really good strategic planning to be able to back out yeah and we need to be backing out but not giving the world over to russia and china right um i'd love to put these things in the context of the adversary and to see because i think a lot of people and a lot of people are asking me on twitter what what is the goal here what why is russia doing this and you i mean i've done a lot of research on ukraine through the years for you we did this i think in 2014-ish or something like that talking about when Crimea was invaded.

Right.

And this is the national, this is the soul.

This is the spiritual soul of Russia.

There would probably be no Russian nation without Ukraine.

Yeah.

That's how serious it is for them.

And I think most Russians don't want a prolonged fight, but there is a very large nationalist

nationalized population in Russia that they see, that's how they feel.

And Putin knows this.

And they always do this throughout the centuries.

Every leader knows how to turn up the dial on nationalism, whether it's the Orthodox Church, whether it's like Ukraine, Belarus.

They know what to do.

The thing that's scary now is Putin's hitting up all of them right now.

Is he hitting up the Orthodox Church?

Hitting up the Orthodox Church.

That's really dangerous.

Belarus, which they believe is Russia, and Ukraine, which they believe is Russia.

So they're turning those dials.

Look, so what's going to happen?

I think that's the big question right now.

What happens if they invade?

I see a couple of different outcomes.

Now, we could see exactly the same things we saw in Crimea.

Basically, Russia was already there.

So all they did was send in their little, you know, little green men.

Yep.

There was not, not much shots fired, and they just took it.

Right now, Russia already is involved in a hot war in eastern Ukraine.

It's not reported anywhere, which is a tragedy.

Ukrainians are dying probably daily.

Nobody reports on it, and it's been going on since 2014.

It's one of the sadder things in the world right now.

It's one of the reasons why the guy from Gazprom was,

I mean, when we looked at, you know, where, not Gazprom,

the one that Hunter Biden was with.

Oh, Burisma?

Yeah, Burisma.

One of the things that guy was doing was building an army for on the Russian front, if you will, in Ukraine.

He was using some of that money that we gave to Burisma.

It just suddenly disappeared, and we had evidence that some of that money was going to fight that war.

It's been going on and on and on and on.

And we just can't, I guess we just can't decide which side we're on.

Yeah, a billionaire governor.

That was absolutely insane.

And you know, I mean, we were working with them.

The people that are in the administration right now, Biden, the point man for Ukraine, they know, Russia, I mean, Putin is a very vindictive guy, right?

He wants revenge.

He knows that those people in power were the ones that facilitated the taking of Ukraine from him.

So now is the time if you want to do something.

So what do you think that Biden is going to do?

He's kind of backed himself into a corner on this.

I mean, it really was.

He had some leeway with the pipeline, doesn't have that anymore.

So he has a call with Putin tomorrow.

They're supposed to call and discuss Ukraine.

This is tomorrow.

This is Tuesday.

So everyone needs to watch this.

I know what that's going to be like.

No, no, I don't know.

It's so embarrassing.

I mean, it's so weird to talk about any of this stuff.

You just feel like as much as we don't like him for his policies, it's terrifying as a nation to have a guy at the wheel who's literally asleep.

I mean, he's falling asleep in these meetings, at least, and there's some reporting on him.

To be on the phone

Putin, Putin is, I mean, he was playing three-dimensional chess.

He plays that kind of chess,

you know, in his sleep.

Against someone who's sharp, he's difficult to defeat.

Here's a situation where you have someone who is as dull as dullards can be.

But you know what?

I would rather have Biden dealing with him than Kamala.

Can you imagine Kamala Harris on the phone with Putin?

This is just, oh my God.

This is terrible option versus terrible option.

Would she just cackle and dance or something like that when she was like, I don't know how to count.

But to answer your question,

I think that he's going to be forced and do big concessions on that call tomorrow.

What are the concessions?

I know that they don't want any kind of NATO involvement in Ukraine whatsoever.

That's a big red line for him.

He's going to have to back down, or hopefully he can convince the rest of NATO to back down.

Well, if he backs down, if NATO decides to back down,

does he still go in and take Ukraine?

Yes, I believe he will anyway.

I mean, they basically already control it, but

the final step will just be, and this, I think the best case scenario is he just moves his troops into eastern Ukraine, formally annexes, and waits for his next, you know, move further into Ukraine.

Yeah, all he has to do is really go and sow the seeds of chaos in Ukraine.

I mean, that is the playbook of the former Soviet Union.

And then he can just go in with his tanks and I'm just repatriating and I'm just trying to keep the peace in Ukraine because it's so out of control.

Right.

Yeah.

And I say best case scenario.

That's only best case, not for Ukraine, but best case for the immediate, you know, no bloodshed scenario that that happens.

And it's, it's like, it's a Ukraine, it's a Crimea part two.

So then let me take, let me take you to the next phase.

That happens first.

Now let's go to Jeda.

So let's say he goes in and

he just annexes Ukraine and we do nothing and NATO does nothing.

What does that tell China?

It tells them exactly what they learned from Afghanistan, that a U.S.

guarantee means nothing.

Threats mean nothing.

And the Taiwan thing is a whole lot larger, I think, for the U.S.

Taiwan is a knockout punch for the Western world

because they are the number one maker of chips.

China is number two.

If China takes Taiwan, they dwarf everybody.

And you don't have chips for, you know, 80% of what we need chips for.

Taiwan and Ukraine are very interesting because they're kind of similar in the fact that those are American interests that will draw the United States into a larger war.

I'll explain as quickly as I can.

But the last time someone went after the middle part of Central Europe, Ukraine, those other countries, the United States has gone to war to fight to make sure they don't control that area.

It's one of the largest resource areas in the world that can challenge the United States.

If one, that's what brought us into World War I, World War II, and the Cold War because of that.

So that's a prelude to something larger.

And Taiwan is the same thing.

Whoever, if China controls Taiwan, they're going to move on and try to take over the Pacific.

You and I, that is U.S.

interest.

You and I have talked about this for years:

that the ground is being laid for World War III, the next global conflict.

And we're seeing it right now.

It is Ukraine and Taiwan.

It's those two that are going to play, or I should say, Russia and China.

That is the Axis power.

And

I think they think the time to do it is right now.

And I, quite honestly, I think they're right.

I have no, do you have faith in the leadership of the Pentagon?

No.

No.

I mean, I would not put my son in the military now.

No way, no

way do I want my son in the military if that's the leadership.

We'll get him killed.

Get him killed.

So I have no faith in the administration.

I have no faith in the Pentagon.

And I think Russia and China know that

because

we are absolutely a paper tiger right now.

Yeah.

So Iran, one last thing.

They're now saying they want a better deal than what Obama gave them.

And remember, Obama just flew a whole bunch of money and landed it and put it on a pallet there at the airport for him.

And gave them a deal that was time-gated so they can still pursue a bomb if they wanted to, while at the same time, do whatever they want with rocket technology, do whatever they want with funding all these different militias to overthrow countries like Hezbollah.

Yeah, they want a better deal than that?

That's insane.

If I was the president, I would just step away from the negotiating table and then reinsert.

But what is he going to do?

Oh, he's, you know, that's what they want.

Right after he became right after the election, he reassigned a large Iran table of diplomats to start pursuing the deal again.

It is like with friends.

With friends and presidents like this, who needs enemies?

No, no, no, no.

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