11/6/18 - 'A Fearing of Fear Itself Moment'/ Guest Flip Pidot

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Glenn back.

Well, here we are.

It is Election Day.

Today is a day we choose.

And it's not really about Donald Trump.

It isn't.

I mean, it is is for the left, but it shouldn't be for us.

This is not about Donald Trump.

This is to decide whether we're going to be a capitalist nation or not.

It really is, to me, that clear.

But

I want to give you a quick recap, if I will, of the top three things I believe the left does not want anyone talking about as we head to the polls today.

We know what they want us to focus on, and that is all of the postmodernist kind of claims: class war, race war, gender war insert any kind of you know made-up social issue and that's what they want they want us to be divided and eat ourselves over this division that is the new left's playbook and that is why i really truly believe that we are looking at whether we're going to be a capitalist country and a free country or not this is the playbook that they have been using since a bunch of college professors came from france in about 1968 I mean, it started earlier than that with the Frankfurt School closing in Germany when the Nazis were there and moving to Colombia in the 1930s.

But this is, this is a plan that has been long in the making.

But enough of the history lessons.

Here are the top three things they do not want us talking about.

Number one, the economy.

The economy, the economy, the economy.

It's the economy, stupid.

If that is true, then the Democrats are going to have a very bad night.

It's the economy.

It's no secret that I have my worries over the long term, over the state of our economy.

But right now,

wow.

Wow.

You are dropping your kids off to school right now.

You're slipping into a polling booth before heading into work, and the economy is strong.

The country added 250,000 jobs last month, smashing all expectations.

Do you remember that during Barack Obama's period, he had to tell you how many jobs they were?

What was it?

Creating or remember it was a created or saved?

Yeah, created or saved.

That was it.

Because they had no numbers to show that we were doing well.

Gross domestic product is up by 3.5%.

Wages and salaries are finally rising over 3%.

Customer confidence is now up, the highest it has been in nearly two decades.

New information from the Fed showed that 74% of the country reported that they are now living comfortably.

That is 10% higher than it was during Obama's second term.

There hasn't been the October surprise in the stock market.

It is the economy, stupid.

Number two,

mass crime, violence, hate on the rise.

If you listen to the left, it sounds like it.

But the facts don't lie.

The new FBI data shows that crime in this country is down across the board.

In fact, this is the first time that crime has dropped in this matter

since Obama took the Oval office in 2008.

The murder rate has now dropped by 2%.

Violent crime went down by 1%.

Now, if you could just get the Democrats to condemn the violent left, the groups like Antifa, I think the crime rate might go down even further, but I wouldn't hold my breath.

Tip number three, that they do not want you talking about.

The left has called everybody on the right a fascist, a race baiter.

They keep talking about dog whistles.

This is contrary to American values and principles.

I don't think they have any ground to stand on when they fail to condemn people like Antifa and Louis Farrakhan.

But in many cases, they actually support these people.

In the case of Farrakhan, the leaders of the biggest resistance, hashtag resistance,

the social justice organizers, the Women's March, have ties to Louis Farrakhan.

Obama has now been caught

taking candid photos with him.

Representatives Keith Ellison, Barbara Lee of California, Maxine Waters, Danny Davis in Illinois, Andre Carson in Indiana, Gregory Meeks in New York, and Al Green in Texas.

They all have ties to Louis Farrakhan.

This is not a guy that preaches peace.

This is not a guy that says, hey, let's get together with the Jews.

This is an anti-Semite.

He is a raging racist and a raging anti-Semite.

He advocates violence.

He was just in Iran on Sunday leading Death to America chance,

and many people in the Democratic Party were standing with him recently at speeches.

I don't mean the

funeral of Aretha Franklin where they made all kinds of excuses why they would stand next to this man.

I'm talking about his actual anti-Semitic speeches.

The left actually has the ball to say anyone at all is inferior to them when it comes to American ideals?

Really?

There's a lot more I could add to this list, but these three alone, in a more rational time, would be enough to guarantee, or practically guarantee, an Election Day landslide.

I'm not saying that these facts are comfortable for our friends on the left, but they are indisputable.

It's Tuesday, November 6th.

This is the Glenbeck program.

Welcome to the program.

And we say hello to our executive producer,

Mr.

Steve Bergre.

Hello, Steve.

How are you?

Good.

Thanks for calling me, Steve.

I appreciate that.

For the first time in 20 years, I thought I would give it a shot.

Well, I thought I'd give it a shot.

Yeah.

How did it feel?

Running off the top?

It was kind of a little uncomfortable.

Okay, you're back to unstable.

I'm still uncomfortable.

Yeah.

Yeah.

I kind of like the name I gave you because I didn't listen to you the first time.

Okay.

What your name was.

Can I ask you what you think is going to happen today?

Okay, so I'm always wrong on these things.

I'm always wrong.

So, you know, take it with not just a grain, a block of salt, a big cow salt lick.

Okay.

What's your vibe, though?

My feeling is, is that we're going to come out of this surprised that it is going to go the Republican way.

That

you just made a pretty good case for it.

Yeah,

it's the economy, stupid.

And the economy is good.

And I really truly believe that

the things that we're seeing are really all coming from from the left and from the media.

We're being talked down by the media.

We've already seen that the media is not trustworthy.

So why do we think that they've stopped campaigning to report the news on what's really happening?

I don't want to say that the pollsters are doing that.

I just don't think they have a vibe for the country.

And if Republicans come out,

it's, I think it's going to be,

I think it's not going to be the night that everybody says.

Now, again,

with a salt, with a salt leg, you've got to take that.

You're not the only one.

These things are hard, right?

They're very difficult to do, to predict these things.

I'm curious as your thoughts of one of the big

conversations going on inside Republican circles as this election day is here is

the last sort sort of messaging of the campaign.

There was a discussion between,

reportedly, between high-ups in the administration and in the Republican Party of wanting to go the direction of what you just did, which was, hey, great economy.

Hey, good judges.

Hey, we've got a lot of

deregulation, lots of success.

Look at all the good things that have happened in the last two years.

Essentially, are you better off now than you were two years ago?

And

Trump went instead, and not just him, but other people in the administration, decided to go more towards the, hey, caravan, look at the caravan, look at some of these other things.

And

it's an interesting discussion.

I think Trump has connected with something which is really smart when it comes to campaigning, which is don't suck the emotion out of it.

He's able to find issues that make people not necessarily like, oh, well, that's a good economic issue.

Let's talk about it.

It's an emotional issue.

The caravan's an emotional issue.

I think that Donald Trump is not a guy to be second-guessed when it comes to, and I don't mean this as a slam.

He's a reality show star.

He has unbelievable instincts on how to work the press

and how to capture attention.

You know, he is.

You know, what people don't point out about Donald Trump is he had bigger crowds than Barack Obama Obama did in 2008.

And that's saying something.

In 2016, he was drawing the kind of crowds, and I believe bigger crowds in the run-up to the election of his presidency than Barack Obama.

That's not easy to do.

Barack Obama was a historic president in 2007.

Okay.

However, Barack Obama's crowds, once he was president, that went away.

That just went away.

And one of the reasons why I think it went away is he turned out to be an establishment guy for the extreme left.

For the people that were really excited about transformative change, we were freaking out about how much changed.

But that's not, it wasn't enough for the people who came out in droves.

And so he was playing to half-empty stadiums.

You'll see that this president is not only

the second to draw those kinds of crowds in the run-up, he is the first to hold them now.

He's holding these crowds.

Barack Obama is not grabbing those crowds.

There's nobody that is grabbing this kind of emotion that he is.

I wouldn't, personally, if I were in the White House, I would say two things to the president.

One, it's the economy, stupid.

I would go with the economy.

However, Mr.

President,

every time somebody says something's wrong and you decide to go the other way, when it comes to the public and knowing what the winning strategy is

to win and to beat, you're always right and everybody else is always wrong.

Go with your gut.

And that's what he's done, right?

Supposedly, he pulled off a $6 million ad buy praising the economy, and he rejected it, reportedly.

The other thing that's interesting is he has inserted himself into the campaign overtly, which is not normally what presidents do.

Normally, presidents are, well, look, look, these are individual races.

They don't want to necessarily be the focus of the campaign.

He's come out and said, this campaign is about me.

He has said it.

It's true.

And you know what?

2010 was also about Barack Obama, but Barack Obama didn't say it was about Barack Obama.

Trump is saying it's about Trump.

Now, I disagree that it should be about Trump or Barack Obama.

Make your decision based on the people you're voting on.

Make your decision based on the people who are on the ballot.

But, I mean, again, it's an emotional situation.

People are either really for Trump or really against him, so they wind up casting their vote that way.

So, to me, the election is about Donald Trump to the left, but to the right, it should be about what kind of country do you want to be?

And they're making that all about: do you want to be a kind, gentle nation?

Excuse me, but you, that boat sailed with you guys long ago, long ago.

To me, what this is, is do you want to be a socialist nation?

And I don't mean Canada.

I mean Venezuela.

And that's what the Democratic socialists, that's what the crazy left that is in control of the Democratic Party right now,

that's what they want.

The crazy left wants that for the Democratic Party.

They have moderated now because they have to play

to the red states.

And so they've moderated and said, you know what?

We're not, you know, we can have people who are against abortion

in our tent.

No, they can't.

No, they can't.

They've wanted to get rid of those people from day one.

They've wanted to get rid of them.

They're only saying that now because it's an election year.

The minute that's over, those pro-choice people, if they're already, those pro-choice people, you're going to be marginalized again.

So it is really, truly not to me, not about Donald Trump.

It is about what's the future.

Are we a democratic republic or are we a democratic socialist country?

That's what's at question today.

And do not take that for granted.

Today, you have to go out and vote.

We have a few of the pieces from the rally last night.

And one of the questions that NBC asked the president, any regrets, I thought was really,

really, really a great answer from him.

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I think it's interesting when we're talking about the strategy here, the closing argument.

A lot of people in the media are saying, oh, he's just trying to scare people.

He's trying to scare people.

And I don't think that that's a fair summary of what Trump has decided to do when bringing up things like, you know, the caravan and making that into more of an issue than, let's say, the economy.

Right.

Because I think that's legitimate.

Well, yeah, first of all, it's a legitimate issue, and it is something that Republicans and conservative voters really care about.

But when it comes to a motivator,

it's the economy stupid, I don't think it's right anymore.

I think people need that emotional driver, and the biggest motivator there is is fear.

Now, fear connected to a real issue is something that has been used in politics forever.

It's not like he's just saying, you know, something that's not true.

These caravans are an issue.

Illegal immigration is an issue.

It's something that he's been passionate about for a while.

He ran on that platform.

So using that as a motivator, and it is tied to

fear that we're not going to be able to handle it, fear that the other side won't take it seriously, fear that we might let in a criminal element, which we've even seen them admit that there are criminals in this caravan.

So before we get into a deeper discussion of fear, let me ask you this.

Which do you think the American people

fear more?

Do you think that they see the economy the way it's going?

And they feel good, and they feel like we're making progress

and they believe that the House and the Senate, or at least the House, has had anything to do with this, or do they think that that's Donald Trump?

I think most people think that's Donald Trump.

I agree with you.

So if you're talking about, hey, we can't let the Democrats win the House, most people are not connecting their fear of losing this, you know, this feeling of prosperity by a loss of a house because they got that guy in there.

And it's really him that did it.

He's probably, I would say a lot of people do believe that.

Okay.

So the bigger fear is, and I think, again, I think it's valid.

The bigger fear is these guys are going to get in.

They never built the wall.

They didn't do these things.

When Donald Trump says, this is about me,

that's not an ego statement.

That is addressing.

This question that I'm asking you about fear.

It's not about the House.

It's not about the Senate.

These guys want to stop me.

And stopping me stops what we're doing on the economy, stops the judges, stops what's happening at the border.

Most people

will

look at the Democrats and Congress.

Forget about parties.

They will look at Congress as the biggest impediment to securing the border.

Not the president,

the Congress.

And so when he says, look at what's coming our way, and it's real, you can see it.

Now, Democrats, I shouldn't say this,

team players, party players, the Republicans that are just, they'll win at all costs, doesn't really matter what the truth is, they would hype up anything.

Same with the Democrats.

They would deny anything.

The devil could be on our border going, I'm coming for you.

And they would say, Oh, this is a guy with a deep voice.

You just see people with red skin, red skin, and pointy tail, but don't worry about it.

Okay, so

nobody's listening to that.

The American people can see this caravan and they've made up their own mind.

And I think Donald Trump is playing on that because it's more of a real, tangible, logical fear to the American people that if you change Congress, this is what's coming.

And I won't be able to help because

I want to build the wall.

Let me go deeper on fear here in a second.

Welcome to the program.

I am so glad you're here.

Welcome to Pat Gray from Pratt Pat Gray Unleash, which precedes this program on the Blaze Radio Network and television.

And he's going to be joining us for our coverage tonight.

I am the designated driver, and if Pat leaves a little early and has to pour somebody into their car

or his car,

he's also the designated driver.

Welcome, that should tell you something about our coverage tonight, especially if it goes poorly.

Oh, I hope not.

I don't think it's going to.

I don't either.

I have this.

I don't either.

Okay, so let me ask you this: Pat.

I have this,

and I'm wrong every time.

Every time.

So, I hate to even say this.

I know.

Because it's a Glendeck curse, but I have a feeling it's not going to,

it's actually going to be pretty good tonight.

I keep thinking we're going to, that Republicans will keep the house.

Do you think so?

I do too.

I hate to say it because there's no idea.

There's nobody that agrees with that, but

I just named it Michael.

Is that what he says?

Spence has been sticking to that.

Yeah, he says Republicans retain the House and Senate.

Can you imagine?

Oh, my God.

Oh, gosh.

If either CSON, we have got to put them on suicide watch tonight.

Yes.

If this starts to go for a holding of the House and Senate, they will be suicidal.

Yeah.

But this is a really big election that

shows just how radical America has become.

There's a chance we really swing left today because there are some serious

socialist-leaning and just plain socialist candidates that could win.

Yeah, Betto is one.

Betto is one.

Yeah, Betto and Tom and Tom Cruise, Ted Cruz.

Not a lot of people confuse those two.

That's strange.

But if Betto wins, that is a...

That's a blue wave in Texas.

I mean, they keep saying, blue wave, blue wave in Texas.

That would be pretty big.

That's a pretty big wave to swing Ted Cruz out of office.

I don't think it's going to happen.

I still maintain.

That Ted wins by 10 points.

So do I.

Wow.

So do I.

Yeah.

You can make some money on that one.

Really?

Oh, yeah.

You can make.

How about you want to make 13 times your money right now?

Yeah.

Because right now you can make 13 times your money on crews winning by more than 10.

Really?

So 10 to 12.

Wow.

To be clear, this is Predictive, by the way.

We're going to have someone, I think, from Predictive today as part of our coverage.

It's a site that, and it's legal.

You can bet on politics, basically.

And the concept is not necessarily for you to bet, but the concept is for them to be able to get prediction data.

It's their way.

It's a prediction market.

It is, to me,

this was DARPA's idea for terrorism.

Exactly.

And I think it's so much better than taking polls because what you're doing is people are putting their money where their mouth is.

And so if you can get this prediction market up high enough with enough participation, you're going to have some pretty good, accurate polls because people don't want to lose money.

And so it'll just kind of all come out.

What do they say about so for 12% or more a margin?

This could be, it's for either candidate.

It's the total margin, but obviously I don't think anyone anyone thinks Beto's going to win by 12 points.

The last trade was at 7 cents, so you would be able to buy that

if it happens, it goes up to $1, so you would get about 13 times your money, more than that.

The same thing from 10 to 12%.

So really,

if you did above 10, you'd have to bet both of those lines.

Theoretically, you'd still be able to get about 6.5%, 7 times your money.

What does it say about them keeping the house?

The house, if you give me a moment,

they say

so you can

it's

they think about a 31% chance Republicans keep the House.

Now, I will say that is

a lot higher than I've seen.

A lot higher.

Right now, 538 says it is about a 19% chance.

Actually, sorry, let me click over here.

That thing's 12, isn't it?

Yeah, they give 12% for.

It was 20 last night, I thought.

Yeah,

they give several different forecasts.

Just a quick one.

There's just the polls.

If If you look at just the polls, it's about 19%.

When you factor in the fundamentals, when you're talking about fundraising and

where the state's voted in the past, all that, you're at 12%.

And then when you factor in the forecasts from experts, it gets to about 14%.

But you get the point.

It's about between 10 and 20%, they think.

Predicted is much more optimistic on the House for Republicans.

But again,

if you think that's wrong, you can make money on the other side of it.

I'd be willing to, I mean, I believe in this.

If I were a betting man, I would be willing to put enough money you know, that I'm comfortable losing.

You know, I'd put 500 bucks on that.

That they win the house.

They win the house.

Yeah.

I would do that.

I mean, it's enough to hurt and make you go, ow, I shouldn't have done that.

But,

you know, because you get, I mean, you'd, you'd be able to make a decent amount on that

if you win.

It's fascinating to watch it.

I, you know, the House is much more fluid than the Senate.

The Senate has such a structural advantage.

Remember, coming into this, if they're before there are any elections today, Republicans automatically have a 42-23 lead.

Automatically built in, those people are not up for election.

So it shows, like, in reality, what we're talking about is really automatically a disaster for Republicans.

They should not be sweating these things.

I mean,

this should not be a close one.

We said this back in 2016, right after the election.

I disagree.

How?

Because it always swings back in midterm.

But the structural advantage here is dramatic.

They have a 19-seat lead before an election happens today.

19 Senate seats they're leading by, and they're hoping to win by one.

Like, they are going to, all of these, you know, because a lot of them are like races they had no chance of winning, right?

There's Bernie Sanders is on the ticket, right?

Bernie Sanders is going to win, and it's not a competitive race.

But, I mean,

you know, Democrats, the fact that we're talking about the Democrats having any chance at all to take the Senate is really bad.

When we came out of the 2016 election, this is before anyone.

This is for tomorrow on CNN.

Because that's, to me,

that's kind of the

analysis I had, Glenn, right after the election in 2016.

The structural advantages here are dramatic for Republicans.

We're talking about they're going to lose almost definitely a race in a state which Donald Trump won by 42 points.

They are going to lose that Senate race

in West Virginia.

They are going to most likely,

you never know.

I mean, you've got to put the asterisks on there.

Manchin is an overwhelming favorite to win today.

And Trump won the state by 42.

He won Indiana by a large margin, and that is a toss-up race.

He won Missouri by a gigantic margin, and that's a toss-up race.

And for it to be recent in Texas is

a travesty.

Yeah, I mean, I think

I take both of those

and address both of those?

One, I think Ted Cruz is not a likable candidate in the first place.

This guy is a super, you know, ultra rock star, hangout, Barack Obama kind of thing.

Hang on.

So he's not likable for people.

And I think there were people that were pissed on both sides with Ted Cruz during the last election.

When it comes down to it, I think there's going to be a bigger spread than we think, which would prove, I think, my theory correct, that people aren't willing to say it, but they're just going to go and do it.

Could be wrong on that.

Maybe.

When it comes to Manchin, all elections are local.

And West Virginia is a die-hard blue state.

For them to lose,

for them to have Donald Trump red.

You mean red?

No, I'm not.

It's a red state.

West Virginia?

West Virginia.

It's a Republican state.

No, No, no, no, no, no, no.

I'm not talking about Donald Trump.

I'm talking about overtime.

It is a union goal.

It's changed quite a bit, though.

I mean, normally Republicans.

Republicans are overwhelming favorites going into an election.

Now, Manchin is a big feature.

My feeling on this is

when it comes to the balance of power, there's enough

in West Virginia that wants to say,

I don't know.

I want that union protection.

I want that protection there of a Democrat.

And look, I think we can come up with arguments for every one of these races.

Texas is a good example.

For example, Trump only won Texas by nine.

It was not a blowout like it was in West Virginia in Texas.

And the fact that it could be five or six or closer is not out of the realm of possibility.

And I think every one of these races, we can come up with an argument as to why the Republican is underperforming in the theoretical place they should be.

But that's the point.

We have to come up with an argument in every one of these cases as to why the Republican is underperforming the place they should be.

And

that's not a positive.

Now, I think the fact that the Republicans will likely hold the Senate is a good thing, and I'm excited about it.

I want them to hold the Senate.

But

I remember talking about this initially.

It was a question of do they get to 56, 57, 58 seats.

That could happen today.

Could.

But instead, we're talking about whether they can hold 50.

I think they will.

I think they'll get to 52, 53.

But still, this has not been an incredible run here.

A lot of these candidates that

should be competitive aren't.

So let me ask you a question.

Even if they win the way

you're saying now that they might get 51, 50,

even if they win that way,

is this a bigger wave than 2010 was with Barack Obama?

No.

Right.

I don't know.

Right?

Yeah.

So that was

73 seats or something?

Right.

So just hear me out for a second.

Look at how polarizing Donald Trump is.

Look how polarizing he is.

Look at the money that they have spent.

They were out protesting in the streets.

I just don't see that

level of real, true

people in their kitchen making signs with their kids that there was, it's not real.

I mean, don't get me wrong, the passion is real on the left, but it's not the same as it was in 2012.

Donald Trump should be, we're being led to believe he's as polarizing as we felt Barack Obama was in 2010.

But it's not the same.

I'm telling you, I think that this is a

giant loss, even if it's at 50.

It is a giant loss for the Democrats because they should have, if the media was true,

look at the power and the money that they have spent.

If the media was truly a reflection of the American people, this should be a landslide in

the Democratic space.

It's true, although we know it's not, right?

I mean, in reality, it's a loss for the media for sure.

I mean, I just think that these are states that Republicans were heavy favorites in a year ago.

I just know some of them.

Look, I think Manchester, look, and I said, you know, he's definitely going to lose.

I mean, it's not that certain, right?

I think, I hope Morrissey pulls that one out, and there's some polling that gives you hope there, but it's a tough one, and it shouldn't be as tough as it is.

The two states that are just blowing me away, though, Florida and Georgia, in the governor races.

That just unbelievable to me.

Those are extreme left-wing candidates in red state.

Florida is about to go from one of the freest states to one of the least free states.

It's going to be number 47.

They elect Gillum, yeah.

Yeah.

I mean, it's this guy.

It's going to be bad.

This guy, and especially with all the Cubans that live down in Florida, so you'd think that they would, and they are, be just be on fire going, what are you talking about?

I mean, look across the water.

That's what this guy is saying.

He wants.

Yep.

Thanks, Pat.

We'll see you tonight on our coverage.

Begins at 6 o'clock.

You don't want to miss it tonight.

And we have a segment on Gillam tonight on TV.

And we're going through a bunch of these

really extremist

candidates that are out there and we're going to be talking about.

It's at 5 p.m.

Eastern on the Blazewooth Glenn.

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Glenn back.

We go to Terry in North Carolina.

Hello, Terry.

Hey, good morning, guys.

How is everybody?

Good.

How are you?

Good.

Glenn, I want to speak to you this morning.

I know it's Election Day, and you're busy, but I wanted to see how you and your family were going after you had to put your dog to sleep.

Thank you for asking.

I want to talk a little bit about this maybe later this week after we get past the election.

It is such a confusing time to put your dog dog to sleep.

It's just such a hard thing to do.

And you never know if you're doing the right thing.

We've obviously prayed about it and feel we did the right thing, but it's so hard.

And it was really, really hard on everybody yesterday.

And I appreciate your thoughts and prayers and

your call, Terry.

I got a note this morning from Tanya, and she said,

Uno never ate until Ella was finished eating.

And then Ella would go sit next to the Ottoman in the living room.

And

Tanya would always have to stand there and

be around Uno when he ate.

And she said, this morning he wouldn't eat.

He

just went into the living room and laid down where she always laid down.

And so, you know, now we just have to help him through the loss of his best friend as well.

But, Terry, thank you so much for your phone call.

It is Election Day,

and

we'd love to hear

your conversation, your thoughts on what you think is happening.

I'd love to hear from you if you voted this morning.

How are the lines at the polls?

Stu and I haven't voted yet because we were out of town, and we should have done early voting, and we didn't like idiots, so we have to go today.

And I urge you, urge you in the strongest of terms to go and vote.

If you were thinking, you know, I'll get to that.

Or if you were going to do it today and then you're like, but I've got so much to do.

Please drop everything and go vote.

Take a friend and go vote.

Go through your contact list and see who you think might be going, ah, yeah, but I just don't have time.

And go get them and pick them up and take them to the polls.

You have to vote today.

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Glenn back.

All right.

The day has arrived.

Today is it.

Today is it.

You're in your car right now.

And if you haven't voted yet,

what are you thinking, man?

What are you thinking?

Today is the day you've got to go out and vote.

And let me give you a little encouragement from Lindsey Graham.

I mean, what?

The unexpected hero in the hurricane-like nightmare that has been the last six months.

Yesterday, he was on Fox and Friends, and here he is with a rallying cry to guide through the storm.

What's your message, Senator, going forward?

Here's what he said.

To remind people what happened to Brett Kavanaugh, that the Democrats will do anything to win.

They do not accept the fact that President Trump won.

Talk about the caravan and the growing economy and get our vote out.

I've never seen Republicans more united than I do now.

I think we're going to kick butt in the Senate and the House is too close to call and the last 30 days has been a nightmare for Trump state Democrats.

Powerful words and words worth remembering.

Did you see that guy came out

and said, hey, by the way, I think I was the guy that Blasey Ford was talking about?

Yeah.

You see this?

He just came out and said, it was consensual, at least I thought it was.

He said, but she was wearing a swimsuit.

We were at the house that she kind of described.

It was within walking distance.

It's exactly the same.

And her friend jumped on me.

And I thought we were all joking, but apparently not.

I mean, sounds exactly like it.

That was in the Senate report.

Yeah.

Interesting.

Nobody really seems to care.

And if you don't think they'll do anything to win, you got to have your head examined.

The chaos of the media's prediction and outrage, to forget, we forget that there is a proper way to respond to this, a democratic way.

And today is that day.

The leftists have made a show of their feelings, their unbridled outrage.

They're willing to take to the streets with firebombs on the extreme left.

We have to remember that the democratic response, the only truly meaningful way to respond to respond, is by voting.

Linda Sarsour and her gang of provocateurs can interrupt a hundred more Supreme Court nomination hearings, but they will never accomplish as much as one person who votes.

I'm not against freedom of speech.

I'm not against, in fact, I'm for freedom of speech.

I'm for your right to peacefully assemble.

But what we've seen over the past two years, since the exact moment that Donald Trump was elected, is a sorry excuse for freedom of speech.

It's often driven by a desire to do away with free speech as we know it.

What's happening on our campuses should frighten every single person in America, left and right, sorry, Democrat and Republican, to the core.

Left,

left.

That's what they want.

We should not equate words with violence.

Violence deserves, sometimes, it's the only way that you can curb it and stop it, is a

violent response.

But that's the police, the police's job, if they'll do it anymore.

Hello, Portland.

This is our moment.

If you want to see the world go the way of Portland,

stay at home today.

Don't vote.

Many times before we let the democratic process run its course, and the results will speak for themselves.

At the moment, we're in the last threads of the game, unsure if the Hail Mary is going to land.

I don't know what's about to happen.

But whatever the result tonight,

tomorrow

is different.

Tomorrow, the course has changed one direction or the other.

Whichever direction that is

we need to move forward with class peace and dignity

it's tuesday november 6th this is the glenbeck program you know it's what's amazing stu to me is that um

i mean nancy pelosi said you know we're ready to throw a punch we're ready to throw a punch

i mean that i i just think the world is

not ready for what the Democrats.

And when I say this, I want to make sure that people understand.

When I say the Democrats, I mean the Democrats in Washington that have sold their soul to the Uber left.

I mean, when you have Linda Sarseur

and Keith Ellison, who worked for Louis Farrakhan, when you have them running the DNC and the Women's March, and they're accepted by the mainstream media and by the mainstream democratic party you have problems let me play louis farrakhan uh just this weekend in iran listen is it not true

that you have called america the great satan

well if you believe what you say

then would not Satan

be actively involved in trying to destroy a nation that is set up on the belief and practice of submission to the will of God.

So we should not be surprised

at what Satan does to ill-affect the righteous.

All that your elders have sacrificed will mean nothing if you do not pick up the revolution and carry it forward.

America is making it very hard for Iran to successfully carry out its mission.

But if

you have the strength to persevere

under these hard trials,

the victory will be yours.

This is unbelievable.

And the media today is talking about Donald Trump's rhetoric.

I think this is what people miss.

When Donald Trump said last night he wants to, he wishes he could tone it down.

Play that cut, please.

This is him with NBC.

Is there anything, as you look back at your first almost two years, that you regret that you wish on you that you could just take back and redo?

I would say tone.

I would like to have a much softer tone.

I feel to a certain extent I have no choice, but I do.

And maybe I could have been softer from that standpoint, but I want to get things done.

He said that he doesn't feel he has a choice.

And a lot of people don't feel like they have a choice.

We all do, of course.

But this is the one thing that I would like Democrats to hear.

And I would like Republicans to hear it as well.

Donald Trump is is a response

to what the left and the media has been shoveling for the last,

I don't even know, 20 years, at least the last 10, 20, 30 years.

Just been shoveling it and shoveling it and stoking the fire and stoking the fire and throw more coal on the fire.

Here's a log.

They've just been stoking this fire.

And Donald Trump won because people felt there's no one fighting for me.

Now you say, well, he's a demagogue.

He's a well, that's what happens.

This is what I warned the left of during the Obama administration.

Don't do this.

Don't you see what you're doing?

Don't you see that you are disenfranchising so many people?

It's why I do want the Republicans to hear this because it's going to turn around as well.

What do you think they're going to do?

Now, it's easier for them to do it.

Again, this is coming from a conservative perspective.

But I feel it is far easier for them to do it because the left historically

is the trouble in America.

The left historically has always been the ones who riot, the ones that bomb, the ones that kill and maim.

Historically, at least in the last 150 years, that's who's caused most of the big problems.

You're seeing it on the streets with ANAFA.

And that's just going to get worse and worse and worse because the media fails to recognize it.

You start electing some of these democratic socialists and the states, I mean,

I hope that that I would like to talk to people from Florida.

What the hell is going on with Florida?

What are you doing?

Gillum?

What are you doing?

You want to see the effects of a Democratic socialist in office.

Well, all you have to do is look to Portland.

That's what that looks like.

I don't want to live in Portland, and I don't know any Democrats that want to live in Portland.

And Portland's a great city, but it's

out of control.

It's a central part right now.

It's out of control.

Antifa and other groups.

And, you know, Florida, too,

it's had such a good run.

Things are going so well.

You have not only

you're going to bring in a Democratic socialist to be governor, the guy who was governor through all the success is running in the Senate and is a slight underdog right now.

What happened?

What happened to you, Florida?

What are you going through?

It doesn't make any sense.

What is happening in Florida?

Let me take some of the calls here.

We'll take a few of the calls at 888-727-BECK.

By the way, our coverage begins tonight on the Blaze Television and Radio Network at 6 p.m.

Everybody's going to be in.

We have all kinds of guests that you're going to want to see and hear their opinion.

Bill O'Reilly is going to be joining us.

Several people, so join us.

John, West Virginia.

Hello, John.

Hi.

I live pretty close to Pittsburgh.

And

most of the country doesn't know where West Virginia is.

The only thing they know about West Virginia is maybe Cole, Joe Manchin, and WVU Mountaineers is why I didn't come up to see you in Pittsburgh because they were playing.

But

when we have somebody on the national stage like Manchin or Bird, it seems like people in this state will keep them in power because it empowers us throughout the rest of the country.

They do

come here for Trump.

Trump came to Wheeling, West Virginia, and there was a huge crowd.

There was like a dozen protesters.

They're huge for Trump, but they're local for like the Congress.

Now, so, you know, my statement was earlier that it is that there is this blue heritage there, especially with the unions and coal and everything else.

Is that accurate at all anymore?

No, it's not.

When Hillary and Obama was trying to kill coal, it really ended it all for and it's and it hasn't lingered at all.

No, it has not lingered at all.

Okay, good.

All right, John.

And I've met Joe Joe mention before, and he's a very likable guy,

very personable.

And then you have Morrissey come in, who looks like the geeky Pillsbury Doughboy.

No offense, Blen.

I mean, I don't know why he needed to turn ugly on me.

But anyways,

Joe played the rope dope and just let Morrissey put out his ads.

And then at the ninth hour, he came out with his ads, calling Morrissey a carpetbagger, and that he was a lobbyist for the opioids, which is a huge problem in this state.

And I think it's resonating because I know family members that are die-hard Trumpists who were going to vote for Morrissey, and now they're switching back over to you know.

John, thank you so much for your phone call from West Virginia.

I'd like to hear from Missouri.

I'd like to hear from Arizona.

What the hell is

McSally?

McSally is

tight with cinema.

Cinema is, first of all, her name, it should remind you of Hollywood in the movies.

Cinema is damn near insane.

Well, yeah.

I mean, the things she said about Arizona are really bad, but also

that would bother me less.

I mean, she's trying to, maybe trying to be funny or whatever.

I could deal with that.

What I couldn't deal with is her being,

you know, doing a show with a 9-11 truther and

being being essentially a code pink level activist.

Now, she's now moderated, of course.

That wasn't her.

No, no, no.

I want to compare her to Donald Trump and something I think you will appreciate when I come back.

I want to show you the difference between her and Donald Trump when we come back.

All right.

Today is the day.

Today is the day.

Stock market is preparing for just about anything, and tonight the stock market will move one way or another, I think.

Now is the real opportunity to get in front of the price increase or

the

collapse of the stock market and the price increase of gold if the Democrats win the House and God forbid that it's a blue wave.

President Trump has been warning about the risk to everyone if Republicans lose the houses of Congress or at least just even the House.

The risks are real.

Goldline has a must-read report on what you can expect if there is a Democratic victory.

And you can get this report for free right now.

I've read the report.

I have shared the report.

It is really good.

You need to read it.

Call them now at 866Goldline, 1-866-Goldline.

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I want want to talk to the people of Arizona here for a second about cinema.

This is a woman who is running who is a hardcore leftist.

I mean, she is a code pink leftist.

It's incredible to me that people are listening to her.

Now,

it's working for her because she's saying, you know what?

Yes, I used to be radical, but I'm not anymore.

I'm not.

I think immigration is our biggest problem and we've got to stop these excuse me what

a hardcore leftist a code pink activist she's moderating to be able to get in same thing the democratic party is doing hey we have a big tent if you're pro show if you're pro-life that's fine you're welcome no you're not no you're not you're welcome today

But as soon as the election's over, you're not welcome.

Now, let me show you the difference between her and Donald Trump.

Donald Trump, my problem with Donald Trump at the beginning on his policies, was I didn't believe he would do any of this stuff.

He was a New York liberal and had lived his life the whole time.

He says, no, no, no, I've changed.

I didn't believe he had changed.

I changed.

Well, he has obviously changed, and he's doing almost everything as a conservative, with an exception of things that he has a long record of, and he said he was going to do anyway, which was the tariffs.

But everything else,

he's starting to be the president.

He came in office being the president.

He said he would be.

I thought when he said a few years ago, you know what, the Republicans are stupid.

I'll just run as a Democrat, but I'm going to run as a Republican because they're just stupid.

He said something like that.

He didn't say that?

No, that's been passed around for a while.

He certainly bounced back and forth between the parties.

Right, right, right.

But my thought on this is his problem was not with the Republican people.

His problem was with the party.

And the party is all over the map and stupid.

And

he is connected with the people.

and the conservative American way of the people.

That's, I think, perhaps always been him.

And the people, when he said last night, you know, I didn't do this.

We did this together.

This is both of us.

I believe that from him.

Cinema is

just moderating her

position to become elected.

You don't go from a code pink activist to a moderate.

You just don't.

And if so, I want to hear that story.

And if so, how come code pink is not out against her?

Right.

That's an interesting point.

Yeah.

I mean, you know, that one is

so

overtly terrible.

I mean, she is just so overtly against, you know, the typical way you'd think of Arizona.

I mean, Arizona's been a red state, you know, for a while.

You know, it's had its maverick elements, as John McKinnon always used to like to point out about himself.

But it was a situation where, you know, this should not be,

you don't think you're going to do very well with a hard left candidate.

A good example of this is the governor race, which is the same situation.

They have a very hard right

hard left candidate that has no chance of winning, which is exactly how this race should look.

So I want to show you what I think the Democrats, excuse me, what the Democrats are going to learn.

Excuse me.

What they're going to learn from tonight's election,

because

Gillam probably is going to win, and there's going to be a few people like that.

Very, very close.

Yeah.

He's the favorite right now.

Right.

Betto is going going to do better than anyone in Texas should have done.

And I'll tell you what this is going to teach the Democrats.

And

you should be wary of it, but you should definitely be aware.

And we'll give that to you next.

Welcome to the program.

Tonight, we are going to be hitting our election special beginning at 6 p.m.

We sure are.

We'll have all the late breaking returns, what the outlook is.

We're going to really follow the control of the Senate and the House, but also a lot of the key races, even as the governors and ballot measures and things like that.

So we'll have it all covered for you.

We have a big group.

I mean, I think there's like 16 or 17 people who are going to be popping in for various pieces of commentary, some experts, some really good commentators.

I think you're going to really enjoy it.

Good thing is, I can promise you, it's going to be nothing like MSNBC's coverage.

Nothing.

Absolutely nothing like it.

You will barely recognize we're covering the same event.

That's our goal.

Okay.

You know, I've often joked about this, but this is now breaking from NBC News.

This is NBCNews.com.

Scientists have been puzzling over,

how do you say this?

An Omuamua?

They're saying that's the, I think that's the name of it.

Yeah.

Ever since the mysterious space object was observed tumbling past the Sun in

the last part of 2017,

given its high speed and its unusual trajectory, the reddish stadium-size whatever it is had clearly come from outside of our solar system.

But it is flattened and has an elongated shape.

And the way it is accelerated on its way through our solar system has set it apart from conventional asteroids and comets uh comets now a pair of Harvard researchers are raising the possibility that this is an alien spacecraft

they say in a paper to be published November 12th in the Astrophysical Journal letters the object may be a fully operational probe sent intentionally to Earth's vicinity by an alien civilization

the researchers aren't claiming outright that aliens

sent this ship, but after careful mathematical analysis of the way the interstellar object sped up as it shod past the Sun, they say it could be a spacecraft pushed through space by light falling on its surface, or as they put it in the paper, a light sail of artificial origin.

Just when when you thought things couldn't get weirder,

I don't even know what to say.

I can tell you,

NBC News, when they find out it's an alien, they'll be like, Well,

do you believe what Trump's doing about this alien?

I can't believe what Kelly and Conway just said about the alien spaceship, guys.

It's an alien.

There's an alien.

He's walking around.

He's talking to people.

Yeah, but look what Donald Trump did.

He was not respectful.

This man does not deserve to be president in the office.

Oh, it's crazy.

Jesus,

it's ridiculous.

I can't believe that, though.

That is not, I mean, I know it is election day, it's a big news day, but the idea that Harvard is coming out and saying that they think it could be an alien spacecraft is sort of a besides.

And because, and, and because,

not because the way it looks or the way it's shaped, but because the way it accelerated, mathematically, it is impossible for just like a rock to do this.

So, it the way it accelerated shows that it has some energy on its own in some way or another.

What?

That is.

Oh, my gosh.

Yeah.

Oh, my gosh.

I just thought of the good news.

We'll all come together.

That was, this is a big, uh,

this is a big theory of, uh, who was it?

Paul Krugman, right?

He said that this would help the economy because everyone would, if we just fake an alien attack,

then we'll all work together and we'll, we'll spend a lot of money on an alien defense and that will help the economy.

Then let me play

CNN then on the other side.

I can't believe the way NBC is hyping this whole alien thing just to have us all come together and side behind them on election day.

This alien poses no threat.

It's not invading.

I wouldn't be surprised, man.

This is a bizarre world.

Okay, so let me go through a couple of things.

Here's what I think the Democrats are going to learn from this.

Let's say that Gillum wins and

Betto comes within, what, four.

So close.

This would be a good election environment for Democrats.

Okay.

What they're going to take from those two things,

there's no way that either of those guys

should win in those states.

You know,

Democratic socialists, especially with Betto, he is completely out of step with Texas.

So here's what they're going to take.

They're running against conventional politicians.

Donald Trump ran against 12 of it's the best lineup I've ever seen of conservative politicians.

He beat every single one of them.

17 must be in total.

I mean,

they weren't all the best.

Right.

But I really was like 12 that were like, okay, man, when I remember when we got down to 12, we were like, there's like eight or nine of these guys that are really, really good, I'd take.

He beat all of them.

Why?

Because he wasn't the traditional politician.

Gillum, he is just a, well, if I may quote Joe Biden, a

clean, articulate fairy tale.

He's just, he seems like the guy you can hang out with.

Okay, doesn't he?

He seems like a normal guy.

Same thing with Betto.

Seems just like a, I mean, his, you know, clean, articulate, he's a clean, articulate Hispanic fairy tale.

And the fairy tale part is that he is Hispanic.

Here's an Irish guy who they have made to, they've positioned him as a Hispanic here in Texas.

And it doesn't matter.

It doesn't matter what he's saying.

People just like him.

So what they've learned is

doesn't matter what we say as long as people like them.

This is yet the next step to a celebrity kind of machine that it doesn't matter what they say, what they stand for.

Do I like them?

And I think they're going to win at that.

Remember, they have all the Hollywood stable.

We suck at that kind of stuff.

We've used our celebrity.

Yeah, we had two celebrities since the beginning of time, Ronald Reagan and Donald Trump.

And now we've used them all.

We've used them.

They're done.

We don't have anybody left.

We have Chuck Woolery.

So we've got.

Chuck could run.

Yeah, we've got, you know, we don't have a big stable of that.

But the one thing that they should learn, and honestly, that we should learn too, is packaging is everything

because that's what they're going to take from it.

Packaging is everything.

Yeah.

Certainly not going to be a substance argument.

That seems to just be gone.

People don't even talk about that stuff anymore.

And, you know, I mean, it's hard to imagine that Florida agrees with a democratic socialist, right?

I mean, this is not who Florida is.

You know, if you're living in Florida, let me ask you this.

Is it possible that this is just, he's a

we're seeing a rerun, except on the local scale, of Barack Obama?

That it's a, it's a state, you know, with a racist heritage.

You know, it's a southern state, and here's a chance to have your first black governor.

Is there any of that going on?

I have not heard that.

You know, it's certainly a factor, right?

I mean, Democrats will say all the time that they're recruiting minority candidates.

Why are they doing that?

Just because they're nice?

No, they think that it helps them win.

That's why they're doing it.

Let me go to Dan in Florida, who's there now.

Hi, Dan.

Hey, how's it going?

Good.

What's happening in Florida?

Havoc and mayhem.

That's always what it is in Florida, though.

What's happening now?

Andrew Gillam came out of nowhere.

I mean, the guy, I didn't hear, nobody knew who he was until he ran for a city commission here in Tallahassee.

I think the guy graduated from FAMU and was student body president for them.

They ran for city commission, nothing special.

And the guy did that for a little while and ran for mayor and

had all the had all the support from local leaders in the area on the left and made it to mayor and did that one time.

Tallahassee, Leon County has the highest crime in the state of Florida.

That in just the last, I think it was the last two or three years

we've made that,

reached that pinnacle of having the highest crime rate, even worse than South Florida.

Wow.

In Tallahassee?

Wow.

Tallahassee has the highest crime rate.

Leon County has the highest crime rate out of any county in Florida.

Now, it's not necessarily just, it's not violent crime as much as it is all other break-ins, burglaries, all that kind of stuff, which crime is still crime.

But since he's cleaned up Tallahassee so well, he wants to go ahead and finish off the rest of the state.

So, what is it that people are connecting with?

Why is he winning?

Or, you know, at least competitive, this competitive.

He's not being competitive in Leon County.

I think everybody around here knows where he's coming from,

knows who he is, but the rest of the state, I mean, he's running around over in Tampa and Jacksonville and Pensacola and Central Florida and South Florida.

And I think he's campaigning over there because

they don't know who he is.

Local matters.

I mean, there's an FBI investigation all about him in Tallahassee with campaign funds as well as corruption.

I mean, the guy

took tickets for

a Broadway show from an FBI informant and gave money to him thinking he was a developer to develop the Edison, which is a higher-end restaurant here in Tallahassee, not far from the downtown Capitol complex.

Well, I will say this, though.

Gifts to cultivate a friendship are not bribes.

Of course.

It's just a gift to cultivate a friendship.

That's all it is, Your Honor.

That's all it is.

I think they're

around here, they're pushing the,

you know, he'll be the first black governor if he's elected.

And that goes to what you were saying about, you know, let's, it's the Barack Obama approach of if I vote for him, then clearly I'm part of history

and I'm not a racist.

Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.

Yeah.

Yeah.

Oprah Winfrey can be caught on camera crying about it because it's so exciting and all that stuff.

It's amazing.

Dan, thank you very much.

Have you voted yet?

Absolutely.

Good.

Thank you very much.

I voted this one.

Yes, sir.

Appreciate it.

Can we give context to this quote quote here, real quick?

Yes.

This is amazing.

Bob Menendez is what we're talking about.

This is in New Jersey.

He's talking about corruption among officials that are likely going to get elected.

Bob Menendez avoided prison.

This is from Phil Kirpin.

Because his defense lawyer hung a jury with the argument, and this is a real quote, that gifts to cultivate a friendship are not bribes.

The guy who was giving him the gifts, all the gifts going to Menendez, was a Palm Beach eye doctor who stole $100 million

from Medicare and such.

He was convicted on 67 counts of fraud.

He

actually put seniors through surgeries they didn't need to scam money.

And he wound up giving a bunch of gifts, quote-unquote, gifts to Menendez.

Menendez then tried to get rid of the Medicare fraud investigation.

He escalated it all the way to the HHS secretary, tried to ask her to allow this doctor's overbilling.

He then tried to block donations of equipment to the Dominican Republic because his friend had business there and he wanted the contracts.

He did all of this and this is in the report that gave him a severely admonished him about over these charges and he's probably going to win, Senate, in New Instagram.

It's local.

Your guy does no wrong.

It's always local.

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Welcome to the program.

I'm glad you're here.

On voting grounds in Arizona, Alan, welcome to the program.

Hello, Alan.

Are you there?

Good morning.

Great to talk to you again.

Good talking to you.

What up?

Fly, Eagle, Fly.

Yes.

With regards to the race with McSally and cinema, I was actually active duty Air Force the same time she was and stationed at Davis Montan when she was as well, which is here in Tucson.

So I didn't know her personally,

but I knew her by reputation, and she would, you know, have a solid reputation,

first female combat squadron commander, all the the accolades that went with that, and she did a great job.

In her time as you know, congresswoman here in our district, she's done a really great job for military affairs, for all the military presence we have here in southern Arizona, which is quite a bit, and veterans affairs and the like.

But she's like Ted Cruz in a lot of ways because she just doesn't lack she kind of lacks the charisma and the persona that people would gravitate towards, even though she has been so solid on these issues.

Unbelievable.

As far as

cinema is concerned,

I don't know a ton about her

other than a lot of the things you've already kind of outlined.

But I will say in terms of the state and the demographics here in Arizona, it has changed quite a bit.

You have a lot of influence from California

being right next door.

A lot of folks have migrated from there to here as they have to Texas, as you've talked about many times.

And here in Tucson and in in my county,

it's very blue.

You've got the University of Arizona here in Tucson, which is, of course, a stronghold of a lot of Democratic activity.

If it were not for Phoenix and the metropolitan area up north, I think it would be an absolute blue state.

So that's kind of where we're at in terms of the money and the influence coming from California, other places like that.

Californians.

They're Californiaizing Texas.

I want a western wall before I want a southern wall.

I want a western wall around Texas.

It's crazy

what is happening.

Alan, thank you so much for your phone call.

We're going to talk to Mike Broomhead in about a half an hour to see get a call from

him on what he thinks is going to happen today.

But again, that goes to my theory.

If McSally's not an

energetic candidate and somebody who's just not electric and showbiz,

look at what we're doing.

We're voting for people we like, not policy.

Glenn, back.

Mercury.

Hey, it's Glenn, and I want to tell you about something that you should either end your day with or start your morning with, and that is the news and why it matters.

If you like this show, you're going to love the news and why it matters.

It's a bunch of us that all get together at the end of the day and just talk about the stories that matter to you and your life.

The news and why it matters.

Look for it now wherever you download your favorite podcast.

Glenn back.

Let me go to Tracy, who just left a Starbucks here in Texas.

Tracy.

Good morning, Glenn, and happy election day.

Thank you.

I was born and raised in Mount Vernon, Skagit County, so I just wanted to drop that in and give away my parents in Cedral Woolley.

Hi, Mom.

I love you.

So, anyways, I've lived in Texas now 30 years.

I'm a former ICE agent, and I was in my local Starbucks in Grand Prairie this morning, and there was a lady in there that was wearing, she was full of Beto Rourke buttons.

She was passing out stickers, and I guess trying to get people to take them to vote.

She had a computer, and she practically crammed these stickers down my throat.

And so I called Starbucks Corporate shortly after that, about an hour ago, to see if they had approved or sanctioned this.

And they said that they couldn't even comment that each store manager sets their own policies.

And so I asked, well, what if someone wanted to hold a Ku Klux Klan rally?

Would they be okay with that?

And he said, yes.

I just don't think they should be endorsing a candidate or forcing that on their customers.

It's kind of annoying.

And I voted early.

I voted for Cruz, and I would be saying the same thing if they were in there passing out Ted Cruz bumper stickers.

Well, I will tell you this.

I will tell you this.

I doubt that's what Starbucks would do,

because we know that they shut their entire place down when somebody abided by the rules of the local Starbucks.

So it's absolutely not true.

However, if that's what Starbucks wants to do and say, then you vote with your feet.

Go get your coffee someplace else.

I mean,

I wouldn't like it if they were doing it for Cruz and Trump and everybody else.

I don't want my politics.

I don't want politics with my coffee.

I don't.

I don't want politics in my entire life.

I'd like it where I'm getting.

My politics from a political talk show or from a political meeting or at the poll when I'm going there to actually vote.

Not in every aspect of my life.

Thanks, Tracy.

I appreciate it.

That's crazy, isn't it?

I have long had this theory that, and it's actually not mine, it's DARPA.

DARPA got into a lot of trouble right after 2001 because they said we should do a predicted market, a predictive market for terror attacks.

And we'll have all of the terrorist organizations, not terrorist organizations, sorry, all the anti-terrorist organizations around the world actually put money into a predictive market and say, we think this is where it's going to go.

This is the next terror strike.

And they thought that was the best way to predict it.

And I think they were right.

Because of political correctness, we didn't do it.

But I think it was right.

Polling is very, very difficult.

Now, the polls got it pretty correct last time.

Yeah, there was definitely some state-level errors.

The national polls were very close, actually, when you go look back and look at them.

People were fooled by that because they were looking at the Electoral College, which is something the poll wasn't exactly trying to predict.

But

obviously Donald Trump won the election and most people didn't expect that.

In fact, I remember you could make

over five times your money betting on Donald Trump on election day.

Wow.

Like midday.

It was like, I remember two or three o'clock checking that.

It was like 5.5 to 1 you could have made.

On election day.

It was even wrong then.

And that was, yeah, and now that was like

one of these offshore gambling sites.

Predictit is a website that's different than that.

It's trying to get data

and kind of test your theory, I think, is what they're doing.

It's a fascinating site, and Flip Pidot is with us.

He's from Predictit.org, Predictit.org.

And on Election Day, I'm sure it's one of the busiest days for you, Flip.

What are you seeing so far?

Yes, hi.

Thanks for having me.

It's a busy day on the site.

Looks to be the

highest volume day since Election Day 2016.

Might even surpass that.

But we're seeing

we've got nearly 200 markets up just tied to today's contest.

So you can look at the traders' odds and

invest in outcomes for

every Senate race, most of the close House races, the ultimate number of seats controlled by each party in each chamber.

And so you can really get not only

a purely financially driven,

and therefore one might expect more honest expectation of what's going to happen, but you can really look down at a very, very granular level and even see which races look to be the closest,

which are going to come down to the wire and kind of make your own determinations about

what the real new balance of power is going to look like tomorrow.

And if you have a strong thesis, you can even earn some money doing so.

Trevor Burrus, Jr.: So, Flip, are you close enough to these numbers to be able to say

here are the ones that disagree with the polls

yes and in a few cases we can and and aggregating from for instance across all of our senate races it looks like traders expect the most likely scenario to be republicans picking up one or possibly two net seats uh so picking up in in missouri and indiana um which you know the statisticians are still calling slightly in favor of the of the democrats whereas the traders are saying they they think the republicans managed to pick up those two uh those two seats and lose only Nevada, which gives them the plus one, and then with some possibility of picking up Ohio also, although that's a little bit of a farther reach.

But

overall,

the traders are giving,

let's see,

about a

13% chance that

the Democrats do manage to capture the Senate.

Interestingly, they give

still well over a 30% chance that Republicans actually manage to keep the House, despite the fact that the expert prognosticators have been dwindling their chances on

that outcome down to the now single digits or low double digits.

So we see a real divergence here in terms of what people who are putting their money on the line expect.

They're still calling for the House to go to the Democrats, but by nowhere near the margins that

the polls and pundits are saying

that it's locked up.

It still does appear to be very much in contention.

And whereas the Senate does appear to be

more of a fait accompli for the Republicans to hold or even slightly expand the majority.

What do you see in Arizona?

Arizona, we're currently, traders are given 58% chance the Republicans win there.

It's interesting.

There's a couple of races like that because I noticed that in Arizona.

And there's a couple of others where

the experts say it's a slight favorite for the Democrats, and Predicted seems to think there's a slight favorite for the Republicans.

Is there a pattern to that?

Are there more Republicans on the site?

What do you think?

There is a little bit of a pattern there.

The same thing we're seeing in Missouri.

The experts are saying

Democrats have a slight advantage.

We're actually got that at more like 60-40 against McCaskill.

And the same thing in Indiana, where we have that closer to a jump ball, but Braun slightly favored over Donnelly, which again is at odds which is at odds with what the experts are saying.

So this might have something to do with the fact that

if you look historically,

the polling error, in particular on midterms, does tend to favor Democrats by a couple of points.

So

to the extent that the punditry is informed by the polling, despite the fact that there was a little bit of a systemic polling error favoring Democrats in 2016 as well,

it's yet to be seen whether that effect still exists.

Traders seem to be suggesting that they believe there is still

some measure of a systemic pro-Democratic polling edge that will be washed out of it on Election Day and so that you'll see slightly better net Republican results.

And of course, with closely divided House and Senate,

one or two points of systemic polling error can make the difference when it comes to who gets the gavels.

And to Stu's point, you know, are there more Republicans on Predicted?

That actually shouldn't be a problem, should it?

Because people

are not voting for what they want to happen.

They're actually putting their money down on the table for what they think is going to happen.

Right.

So in theory, that's right.

Presumably, one's financial incentive would outweigh their political bias.

But what we've actually found, interestingly, that because we looked a while back to see if Democrats or Republicans tended to do better in terms of their returns on

Predicted.

And we found that between Republicans and Democrats, they actually performed roughly evenly.

So to the extent people

can't get past their political biases even when their money is on the line, it should at least come out in the wash to some extent where one side's bias is outweighing the others.

We found, however, that really interestingly, independents or unaffiliated did better than both Republicans and Democrats.

So it does suggest that there is some, you know, some

unremovable political bias to your trading activity,

even when you should be able to separate the two and making decisions that are going to affect you financially.

But we did find that those independents were

somewhat anecdotally, this is early on in the site when we ran this analysis, but at least showed that by and large, independents tended to outperform partisans, at least mildly.

So, Flip, I'm fascinated with things that, yeah, I'm fascinated with creative destruction.

And I think you have the way of

the creative destruction for polls as they're taken now, as they're getting harder and harder to take.

And people, I'm not sure you can trust people, although they're not as wrong as everybody thinks they are.

And I was fascinated with DARPA's idea.

Do you remember that when they came out right after 91?

Yeah, they call it the TIA, the Total Information Awareness Program.

And I agree with you.

I think the idea was a good one, that if there's disparate information out there spread across the world, if you can synthesize all that information together in a predictive market, you ought to get better or at least a different

intelligence signal that

hopefully you can make useful decisions based on.

There are concerns, as you mentioned, some were about the optics of it.

I think some were also based on,

there were at least rumors at the time about various Middle Eastern entities shorting airline stocks and things like that

before the events took place.

So I think there was some concern, too, that if there was a mechanism out there by which someone could directly speculate on and make money from terrorist attacks, that it might actually introduce an incentive to

stake a position and then cause the event to happen.

So,

but you guys are not doing this.

This is not a gambling site.

I mean, even though it kind of is.

I mean, you're putting your money down on the table and you're playing the odds.

But what is it you're trying to

do and to learn?

So, we're trying to to learn

as much as possible both about how predictive markets function, what makes them liquid, what makes them correct,

especially what factors make such markets more correct than the best signals that are currently out there, where the punditry, the statisticians, or the polling.

But we're also just trying to understand the

the market dynamics of how crowds aggregate and synthesize their collective wisdom into a single price signal and to the extent that's actually useful and actionable by those who consume the data.

So Predicted has research partnerships set up with dozens of universities that actively comb through and try and analyze this data to see if they do

yield better predictions.

And if so, if you can say anything interesting about which kinds of markets tend to do better than others at kind of teasing out those hidden insights that might be scattered in all these disparate information sources.

Aaron Powell, and it's because of that

motive, right?

That's why it's sort of legal, right?

Like I think people would think that this is some offshore thing.

It's not, though.

You guys actually got approval from the government to do this, right?

That's correct.

The CFTC that regulates

these kind of markets generally issued no action relief to predicted and the sponsoring university behind it to say basically

if you do this with the predominant focus being on generating that kind of useful scientific and research data, and if you confine yourself to be within certain limitations to do with

the maximum size of a position you can have in a given market or the total number of participants in a given market that sort of keep it to be a predominantly academic exercise,

then they offer this relief to say we're not going to treat you as though you're gambling or trading unregulated derivatives or anything like that.

So

it's that approach that provides those protections both for the site and for the users and actually do keep it legal.

Great.

Flip, hang on.

If you have a second, hang on, because I'd like to run through just some of the things that you have found in some of the different markets and some of the different candidates when we come back.

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We go back to Flipido, who is from Predictit.org, a prediction site that is basically, you know, you would classify it really as betting, but it's not.

They're actually just trying to figure out when people put their money down and put their money where their mouth is, is this a better way to predict what's going to happen?

And this today we're talking about the election.

Flip, can we just run through a bunch of these races?

Is the data accessible enough to you for us to just go through?

Okay, great.

Let's start with a couple that seem to lean towards the GOP right now in the Senate with North Dakota and Texas, Ted Cruz and Heidi Heitkamp.

Yes, so Ted Cruz, we have

not completely out of the woods yet, but a heavy favorite at 80% likely to win.

And

Heidi-Heitkamp, basically the exact opposite situation.

We have a trading at 20 cents on the dollar, so 20% chance to hang on.

Okay.

We talked about Arizona already.

Let's go to Florida, Nelson versus Scott.

So Nelson, we have a little bit closer, but still with a somewhat comfortable lead of 62 to 38.

So traders seem to suspect that he's got a strong edge here, but by no means locked up.

All right.

Indiana, will Donnelly hold on to the seat?

That's one of our very closest.

Right now, let me just refresh it.

We've got Donnelly at 48%, 48% to hang on.

So this one could be a late night for us.

That's one of the more interesting races on the board right now.

Montana is an interesting one because there hasn't been a ton of polling of Montana with Tester going for a re-election.

What did the prediction market say?

We're giving Tester 65% chance.

So, again,

a notable edge, but again, not one that's locked up.

So, yeah, yeah, polls had him

as limited as they were, I think, up by three on average.

So,

our pricing is actually tracking that fairly well.

Do it.

Giving him a bit of an edge, but not huge.

You know, when you look at polls, they have to have a certain number of people participating before it really kind of settles.

Do you have that number, or is there that number in this kind of a market?

The polling number?

Yeah, the polling numbers, you don't have to have certain sample size

before it's accurate.

How do you do sample size in this?

Is there a liquid enough market, I guess, to make these things really predictive?

Sure.

Yeah, we find that you do have to reach a certain kind of minimum liquidity for these markets to be drawing out

the collective intelligence well enough,

but that for markets like this, you know, in focus,

you know,

nationally relevant markets,

we easily eclipse that threshold.

So, for instance, in the tester market, we had,

what, 44,000 shares trade yesterday.

Oh, wow.

And in total, over that, we've got 156,000 in that market

all in.

And some of the bigger ones are, you know, they'll be trading up in the hundreds of thousands easily and possibly into the millions as tonight wears on.

Let's hit three more before we can get, we go.

Nevada, West Virginia, and Tennessee.

Can you give us those three?

Sure.

Nevada, we've got

Rosen at 69%.

So that one looks like it will be a pickup.

Yep.

Let me

just refresh it to make sure that's still.

Because I think that the polls kind of think

that probably will be very, very close.

But

it's a pretty decent learning there.

Yeah, so we are showing it at ⁇ I just updated it's now 60-40 against Heller.

still

not looking great, but it's interesting that that is a race where the polls have it truly dead even.

So the traders feel that the polls in this case actually are off of it.

West Virginia and Tennessee, if you have them?

Yes, let me just see.

West Virginia, we have Manchin at 80%.

Okay.

Let me see if that's still.

And then the other was

Blackburn also at 80%.

That's a big one.

Wow, that's a big one.

Yeah, Blackburn at 80% is a pretty good number for her in Tennessee.

I don't know what Taylor Swift thinks about that.

She's probably very disappointed.

Flip, I don't know if you've heard this.

NBC News, literally and Harvard, just released a study that said that they believe that there's a possibility that an alien spacecraft, I'm not making this up, has just rounded the sun.

I'd love to see the predictive markets on this once it becomes well known.

But thank you so much for talking to us.

Appreciate it.

Glenn back.

Predicted.org.

Okay, this is, I just have to, I'm sure this is nothing.

I'm sure this is nothing.

And I feel a little like Orson Welles in 1929 with The War of the Worlds, but this is coming from NBC News

and Harvard researchers.

Scientists say mysterious object may be an alien spacecraft.

Harvard researchers have raised the possibility that this is a probe sent by some alien race.

Scientists have been puzzling over the

Wamama or something ever since the mysterious space object was observed tumbling past the sun in late 2017.

Have you even heard of this?

No.

This is, I mean,

scientists have been talking about this for a while.

They're just mentioning like, everybody's been talking about it.

No, nobody's been talking about it.

We've been talking about stupid tweets.

Given its high speed and its unusual trajectory, the reddish stadium-size, whatever it is, had clearly come from outside our solar system.

But its flattened, elongated shape and the way it accelerated on its way through the solar system set it apart from conventional asteroids and comets.

It kind of looks, Stu thinks it looks like a stick.

I think we're just seeing the side, and it looks to me a little like the, you know,

Millennium Falcon.

Now a pair of Harvard researchers are raising the possibility that it is an alien spacecraft.

As they say in a paper to be published November 12th in the Astrophysical Journal Letters, the object, quote, may be fully operational as a probe sent intentionally to Earth's vicinity by an alien civilization.

Researchers are not claiming outright that aliens sent this, but after careful mathematical analysis of the way the interstellar object sped up as it shot past the Sun, they say it could be a spacecraft pushed through space by light falling on its surface or a light sail of artificial origin.

They have no guess on who might have sent it to us.

They said,

This is crazy.

They said no one should blindly accept this hypothesis when there is also a more mundane explanation, namely it's a comet or an asteroid from afar.

Yeah, I would say that.

In science, we must ask ourselves, where is the evidence, not where is the lack of evidence, so I can fit it in a hypothesis that I like.

So those are two arguments that are against it, but apparently it's...

I mean, what else accelerates?

I mean,

what else would accelerate?

Asteroids don't.

I would assume this is why Harvard's saying it might be an alien spacecraft, right?

Yeah.

They have no other solution.

But, I mean, you know, that is, of course, not proof, but it is interesting.

I mean, again, it's not just some guy saying it.

It's not just someone on some, you know, on Alex Jones saying he thinks it's an

Harvard saying it.

They think it might be an alien harvest.

Really bizarre, isn't it?

Very, very strange.

And we don't know any of these candidates' positions on the upcoming alien authority.

We know Donald Trump's got to be against it or for it, whichever the left decides they're for, he's got to be the other side.

And it's wrong and racist.

No matter which side it is, it will be wrong and racist.

He doesn't like little green men.

No.

He doesn't want them coming here.

No.

They'd come with vaporized guns.

And he'd be like, we should probably stop the vaporized.

And they would just attack Donald Trump.

We shouldn't be building walls.

We should be building bridges.

But they're shooting our people with water.

We should be building little vaporizing guns to give to them.

We've been so bad to this planet.

We deserve to be vaporized.

I honestly would ask the alien if I could return with them.

Oh, man.

Can we please just leave here?

This isn't working.

We tried it.

It was, you know, we had a run.

We had a couple hundred years.

No, man cannot rule himself.

Let's try an alien race.

Maybe they can rule us.

I, for one, welcome our new alien overlords.

I think they're going to be fantastic.

They're going to.

I am crazy because I've been saying for years the only thing that could happen that would make this more crazy, and I don't think anybody would blink, is if all of a sudden an alien spacecraft appeared above Earth.

And here's a story from NBC News saying an alien spacecraft may be above Earth and no one's noticing it.

We're like, well, what's happening in Congressional District 21?

It's amazing.

Oh my gosh.

Okay.

Can I play a couple of things?

I want to play a reporter from the Huron Daily Tribune.

She's leaving a message for Senate candidate John James.

Who's great, by the way.

I hope he wins.

He's got an uphill battle here, but he's got a shot in Michigan.

It would be great if he pulled it off.

So now

here's a reporter who just wants to get a comment from the candidate.

Just would love to get a comment.

Well, she hangs up the phone and she doesn't realize that the machine is still recording.

Oh, no.

So,

his answering machine is still recording as she decides she's got a few more things to say about him.

Listen,

if you'd like to call me back,

my number is 989.

Thank you.

Man, if he beats her,

Jesus

John James.

F John James.

She's whispering here.

Hard to hear.

That would suck.

She's just like.

I don't think it's going to happen.

I don't think it's going to happen.

I don't think it's going to happen.

A journalist.

A journalist.

Getting a comment, writing the story, that pissed off as soon as she hangs up the phone that John James might win.

And she hasn't...

She hasn't...

I mean, she hadn't even talked to him.

No.

She's going into the interview pissed off.

Yeah, exactly.

Do you keep your job?

She will.

She will.

You keep your job as a journalist doing that.

I mean, because it's one thing to say something to slip up.

I mean, this is a really bad thing.

Wouldn't you rather have that, though?

Wouldn't you rather have that?

The byline just says, instead of her name, the lady who said F off James.

Yeah.

I mean, you know, at least you know who they are.

At least you know who they are.

I mean, that's why I like opinion people because

you know, we know where we stand.

We're going to to like smaller government.

We're going to like conservative principles.

That's kind of where we come from.

So you can judge fairly well.

I think what we're saying.

The same thing here.

I mean, like a reporter who's supposed to be fair and balanced,

I mean, I just, I don't know how you could have her on, at least you can't have her on politics anymore, can you?

You can't have her ever write another story about a Republican.

Did you see the story about this racist ad?

that Donald Trump was running.

Yeah, I've seen a lot of reporting about that.

I still haven't seen the ad, though, no.

Okay, so I didn't think the ad was racist at all.

Now,

it happens to be inaccurate.

The guy actually got out under, I think, Bush.

And so it's misleading and inaccurate, and that's different than racist.

But I was reading a story today from Brian Stelter from CNN.

Oh, that guy drives me out of his mind.

And he's got three paragraphs, all hyperlinked to everybody's opinion about how racist this thing is, but no hyperlink to the ad.

And I thought, how interesting,

how very interesting that you hyperlink to other opinions about it, but you won't hyperlink to the ad.

That way, what?

You don't get to make your own opinion of it?

Or he was just assuming that everyone, everyone has seen this racist ad.

But it's three paragraphs of ranting about how racist it is.

And when I finally, I finished reading that and I was like, what the ad is he talking about?

I go over and I'm looking at it and I'm like, I've seen that ad.

That ad, with an exception of being inaccurate, it's not racist.

It's just an ad about a criminal, right?

But the criminal is...

The criminal is sitting in court and he's killed police officers.

And he's like, yeah, if I get out of here, I'll kill more.

He's just very flippant and really, it's bad.

It's bad.

He's sitting in court.

Yeah, I killed him.

Yeah.

As soon as I get out of here, I'm going to kill of them.

It's really not good.

We have the ad.

Can we listen to it?

Yeah, sure.

I killed

FN cops.

They're dead.

I don't regret anything.

I'll break out soon and I'll kill more.

Then it says, Democrats, let him into our country.

I killed one, I'll kill two.

Wish you killed more.

I'm going to kill cops soon.

Democrats let him stay.

Then it shows the fence going into Mexico where the Hondurans are just breaking.

He says he wants to apply for pardon for the felony he committed.

Attempt of murder.

That shows them breaking down the fences at the Mexican border.

And it says, who else will Democrats let in?

Well,

how is that racist?

They're talking about one criminal, and they're saying saying that the Democrats have weak border policies, which they do.

Yes.

Now, the inaccuracy, I mean, is even a stretch, I think.

I mean, George Bush wasn't responsible for letting them in or out, right?

Like, that's a president, right?

But that's not - you know, the overall policy is what we're talking about here.

Obviously, people cross the border all the time, and that does not mean that the president is responsible for every single person who is.

Well, it's also not accurate to say that the Democrats let him in because the Republicans have been on this bandwagon for a long time, not doing anything about the border.

But, I mean, again, is it a completely technical statement?

Maybe not.

However, we all know that Democrats want to allow more people in and have looser border restrictions.

Yeah, so I think there is more of a chance of it happening again with Democrats control the border.

There's no doubt about that.

I would say that it would be a much more accurate ad to say President Trump wants this.

This guy came here illegally.

This guy stayed here illegally.

Washington hasn't done anything about this problem in decades.

Donald Trump and the Republicans are trying to stop these people from coming in because we don't know who they are.

Democrats will let them in.

I think that's fair.

Yeah, I mean, I

mean, none of it's

to see what, to try to stretch to what they're saying as racist, they're seeing this one guy who is really saying these things, really was a criminal, really was a cop killer.

And then they're flashing that to scenes of the caravan, which I guess they're saying, what, all of these people are going to come kill cops?

Never was that said.

That was not said.

I mean, I think you could say, look, there's a large, there's thousands of people coming in.

You're probably going to get some criminals in there.

In fact, we've seen, and they interview people in the ad who say that one of them was an attempted murderer, or he was convicted of attempted murder.

So obviously, and we've seen other parts of the caravan also admit they had a lot of criminal elements and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

Yeah, gang members.

Yeah.

So, I mean, I.

MS 13 gang members.

I understand that you could say,

like, if you're a Democrat, I can see you complaining and saying, well, that's not a fair way of

stating this.

Now, but that's not what they're saying.

They're saying it's racist.

And

he's not saying everyone who's coming across the border is going to kill cops.

We all know that's not true.

No, and

he was also showing not the footage of the peaceful kids and the strollers.

He was showing the people who were tearing down the fence of the border into Mexico.

I'm sorry, but that kind of fits into the criminal element.

Coming across the border and saying, hey, I want asylum and overwhelming the system.

That's not the same as tearing down the fences to get into a country.

I'm not surprised at all that CNN wouldn't run that, a couple of other networks, but Fox News pulled that ad off the air.

Yeah.

And so that's surprising.

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Glenn back don't forget our coverage begins tonight at six o'clock we're gonna have everybody here on the team and then some Bill O'Reilly is gonna be joining us I think some of the CRTV guys are gonna be joining us some of the daily wire guys are gonna be joining us

you don't want to you don't want to miss our live coverage begins uh actually with my show at five o'clock then 530 is the news and why it matters And 6 o'clock, the official coverage begins.

If you're a subscriber to the Blaze, you can watch it on theblaze.com slash TV.

Become a subscriber.

Tonight is going to be a good one.

We have, is our chef coming in tonight?

I believe so, yeah.

Yeah, Pat said that he would eat his underwear if

Betto wins.

And it's the only reason why I'm considering maybe voting for Beto just just because

it's not a good idea.

It's not a good idea.

It's not worth it.

It's not worth it.

But if he does win, we do have a chef here preparing underpants

in

many different cuisines.

So we're going to appropriate somebody's culture with underpants, and Pat might eat them tonight.

So a very different broadcast that you don't want to miss.

Yeah, maybe a tad different than what you're going to get on MSNBC or CNN.

Although, watching Wolf Blitzer interact with 3D graphics is

tempting, I gotta say.

It's always tempting to see that.

Or their panels.

I love their panels too.

At CNN, they always have the panel of like 91 people.

And they're a really long table, and all of them say like three words, and then they have to move on to the other person.

And there's usually one person in there who

can even tolerate Trump, right?

Like there's one person who doesn't think he's the worst person on earth.

And they get get to say, like, I was listening to this last night.

Stephen Moore was on, and they're talking about the economy.

And you'll hear, like, there's six other panelists.

Each time they get a point, they let it breathe.

They finish it.

It's a two-paragraph point.

The next person goes on to another in-depth point.

Stephen Moore gets off one half of a sentence about how the economy is good, and they all jump all over him, cut him off, and don't let him finish.

And it happens every single time to Stephen Moore.

Yeah.

It's amazing.

You know what?

It's like the view with 40 of them.

Yeah.

Oh,

it's It's hey, you don't have to go through that tonight.

No.

All the election results, all of the analysis

from a ton of us tonight

in a fun way.

Don't miss it.

Theplays.com/slash TV.

We'll see you beginning at 5.

Coverage at 6.

Glenn, back.

Mercury.