Build Back Better Passes in the House, Amazon’s Exposed Customer Data, and the Holmes Trial's Surprise Witness
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Hi, everyone.
This is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network.
I'm Kara Swisher.
And I'm Scott Galloway.
Hey, Scott, how you doing?
I'm good, Kara.
How are you?
Yeah, good.
A little tired.
A little tired.
I had one sick child this weekend.
I'm exhausted.
And a baby.
So, a new baby.
You have to keep the baby and Claire apart, which means we each sort of split them up to conquer.
And, you know.
Don't babies come out chock full of immunities?
Not exactly.
The doctor was like, do not bring the toxic stew child who's in preschool near the baby for a little bit.
Doctors always say that, though, right?
They always say that.
Kind of thing.
Nonetheless, she was indeed sick.
There was projectile vomiting, et cetera, et cetera.
But now it's all really?
Yes.
It turned out to be an ear infection.
I went to one of those clinics that are now popping up.
There's all these things.
This one was called PM Pediatrics.
They're actually quite different.
Often they're urgent and all that.
Well, kind of.
It's just an interesting business.
I was thinking of it as a business that was going in.
Actually, they did a great job.
And thank God.
They do a great job.
I like those things a lot.
And like many people, I have insurance and it was great.
It was, but it was definitely an interesting.
They just popped up everywhere because doctor, the whole way doctors work is so inefficient.
All children get sick on Friday at 5 p.m., just so you know.
So you're sort of.
That's when it happens.
Yeah, exactly.
It always happens.
But nonetheless, anyway, so we have a lot to do today.
We're going to discuss how one tech giant left its users' data in the lurch, the latest changes to the Biden's agenda.
And we'll take a listener question about responsible disclosure.
So first off, interestingly, I just got the book, and I think we're going to have them on
pivot called Out of Office by Charlie Wurzel and Anne.
Helen Peterson.
It's all about the big problem and promise from working at home.
But Apple said they're going to have employees go back to the office in February.
But, you know, it had been moved and moved and moved again.
And the new policy will eventually have employees commuting to work three days a week only if they wanted to.
Apple had to change its previous back-to-office plan after employee backlash, which I think is really interesting.
Similarly, Disney had to pause its vaccine mandate for workers in Florida as it complies with new ban in state.
I suspect they had a lot of problems, and obviously they really rely on their workers quite heavily.
So what do you think of this?
What do you think about this?
Well, if you want to get a group of people in denial together, get a group of commercial real estate owners together.
Supposedly, the narrative is we can't wait to get back into the office.
And they always publicize how Jamie Dimon or somebody says we're going back to work.
If Apple is a proxy for what's going to happen, we want to process information into zeros and ones.
So, the argument is whether we're going to be back to the office, business as usual, or we're going to be all remote.
And the answer is 90% of companies are going to be somewhere in the middle.
But what we have done here, the incredible innovation, the change in lifestyle, what you call the great reassessment, which I really like, has resulted in if Apple is a proxy for more largely what might happen, where people go into the office three days a week, not five days a week, that effectively is probably a net destruction in
office demand of somewhere between 20 and 40%.
So assuming we're going to want more office space per person, you still at a minimum are going to lose 20% of the demand, maybe even as much as 40%.
And
when you look at office buildings as an asset class, depending on how you calculate it in North America, there's somewhere between $6 and $12 trillion asset class.
They're enormous.
Yeah, so wait, are they the proxy, though?
Why are they the proxy necessarily?
Well, to me, that just sounds kind of infinitely reasonable.
And the majority of big companies I talk to are saying that we want people back in the office at the same time we recognize the remote technologies and the needs of our workers likely mean we have learned how to not demand you're in the office at 9 a.m.
till 6 p.m.
I think there's just a general recognition that the traditional way of doing work that we can innovate around it we've got we have gotten used to being productive remotely and there's value to being in the office but we are thinking the unthinkable now the notion that you could start a job and not come into the office it just
it the majority of companies just wouldn't have allowed you to do that so if you're talking about a destruction in 20 to 40% of demand, which seems conservative, you're talking about an asset class that is somewhere between $6 and $12 trillion.
You're talking about $2 to $4 trillion of the GDP of Germany dispersing from one asset class, commercial real estate, to another asset class, which is residential.
So, you know, Williams Sonoma, restoration hardware is sub-zero.
you know, Coulter, you know, Lanier, all these home builders.
I think you're just going to see a massive destruction in stakeholder value around the office industrial complex and an increase in value, some of it good, some of it not so good, because housing is just going to get more and more expensive, to residential.
But if it costs you $25,000 to $35,000 employee, which it does, to put them in this structure of steel, glass, and asbestos, and you say to them, okay, you can work at home.
We're going to decrease dramatically the amount of money we save.
I've saved a
my
My EdTech startup, Section 4, we've saved a million dollars in office costs over the last 12 months.
Yes, I think travel, not just that, travel and office costs and stuff.
And business travel?
Sure.
There was a very good story.
I think it was a column in the New York Times about how starting your job
over Zoom was really not great for young people, especially your first job.
And that was an interesting piece.
I mean, it's sort of state of the obvious that you don't really get to meet people, network, et cetera, et cetera.
So how do you work that out to create office culture or company culture, really?
Not office culture more than company culture.
Well, it's proximity bias, but I can tell you what we're doing.
I think a lot of startups are doing this, and that is we're going to have smaller office space.
It's going to be nicer.
It's going to be more like a place to recruit and inspire.
But what we're also doing, and there's more nuance around the travel argument, is that we're going to be doing more off-sites, and the off-sites are going to be over the top.
When we get people together, you know, we just did a Thanksgiving dinner and we go somewhere really nice and we do gift bags for everybody.
We're probably going to do an off-site.
You know, all these sort of what I call fat off-site resort
or resorts that are sort of optimized for nice corporate retreats,
they're just going to kill it because
that's a really interesting question.
So I can tell you firsthand, in New York, if you have a restaurant that has private rooms,
you've never been busier.
Because when people get together, they want to do really nice things.
They want to go to really nice places.
But I also think destination resorts for retreats are just going to do incredibly well.
So we're going to spend, I think the actual gross demand for office space will go down by probably 40%, but the dollar, the destruction in actual expenditures, I think will go down $20 per square foot because I think we're going to spend more on the few feet we decide to keep to make it more inspirational.
It'll be less great drab cubes.
It'll be more in like nice conference rooms, more coffee, you know, places that people create connections.
And then the off-sites are just going to be over the top because they're going to want people to be inspired, meet.
What's interesting is it has all these second order effects.
And we don't like to talk about it because we immediately go to like Matt Lauer or something, but one in three relationships begin at work.
And it used to be kind of loosely speaking, one in three at work, one in three at school, and one in three online.
It's now gone to two and three online.
And because people aren't.
People aren't going to work, so they're not meeting mates.
There's very few places that have a more curated selection of like-minded potential mates than either college or your workplace.
And the workplace is kind of going away as a place to meet.
You know, every company I've started, we end up having weddings.
You know, people meet and get married from work.
So it'll be just interesting to see what it means for marriages and mating and relationships.
And now two in three relationships are beginning online, which has a third order effect, and that is there's huge mating inequality online.
Anyway, absolutely.
So then you have the Walt Disney Company pausing coronavirus vaccine mandate.
They were one of the, you talked about this, that they pushed the state legislature around and the governor DeSantis, but not so.
They could be facing fines.
They decided after the Republican-controlled legislature put up a bill blocking COVID-19 vaccine mandates that was signed into law, protecting them in all kinds of ways.
Even though the Biden administration has ordered vaccinations for workers in large companies across the federal workforce, there's resistance everywhere.
And Florida has challenged that.
So now Disney World, who previously struck a deal with employees to require theme park workers, according to the New York Times, to be fully vaccinated against coronavirus to keep their jobs.
A company defended the rule in a statement Saturday.
I'm going to read the statement.
It was in the Times.
We believe that our approach to mandatory vaccines has a right one, and we continue to focus on safety and well-being of our cast members and guests.
The statement said, now, more than 90% of its active cast members have been verified as vaccinated.
So it's an interesting, like, why bother fighting them, presumably?
I don't know.
What do you think?
We did one of these friends givings givings over the weekend, and it was really nice.
And it's basically the Thanksgiving everybody wants.
It's sort of this wonderful holiday minus the downside of holidays, specifically your family.
And so friends' givings are everywhere in the wonderful world.
And we all went around.
We all went around and said what we're thankful for.
And I said I was thankful for science.
And the moment I said it, I immediately felt like...
a certain amount of guilt that uh-oh, I've turned Thanksgiving political because there's I live in Florida and Florida kind of where I live looks a lot like America.
It's not red, it's not blue, it's kind of purple.
And I thought, you know what?
Fuck that.
Science never used to be political.
And I find that we suffer on the left from this both sidism where we shouldn't.
And there just is, in my view, no excuse for government officials all pandering to
evangelicals or ultra-white wingers in Iowa and are reducing our safety.
Disney World draws people from all over the world, including Europe, which is seeing an enormous spike in COVID-19.
So
this, what I'll call irrational spread of death, disease, and disability by politicians who are all jonesing to get one more straw on a poll in Iowa in 18 months, I find it repugnant.
And I think, you know, Disney's kind of caught in the middle.
It's nice to see that they're at 90 plus percent.
I think it's a good organization.
But I think Florida, a lot of people will say Florida is going to come out of this looking really good because you have had a balance of life.
And, and you know there's a balance between quality of life and taking precautions
but it's just so sad that we have taken
it just seems to me pretty pretty reasonable that when you're bringing millions of people to a small dense area and putting them on rides sitting shoulder to shoulder that you would decide to opt for the conservative and not only that Disney is willing to take the financial
uh burden here they're not asking the state to bail them out to have additional the state is coming in and say, no, we want you to loosen your restrictions.
And pay for testing if you, the people that decide not to,
because apparently that's reasonable.
I can't believe the test is reasonable.
And the vaccine, I don't know, it's just interesting.
Yeah, it just doesn't make any goddamn sense.
It doesn't.
It doesn't.
It's just, you know, it's this whole change in workers, though.
I have to say, there's this thing.
It's really, it's really interesting.
I'm excited to talk to Charlie and Ann about this because I think it's a really interesting time around the workplace for a lot of people, not everybody, but certainly for a lot of us, definitely knowledge workers, et cetera.
Speaking of unusual and surprising things, Jeff Bezos donated a cool $100 million to the Obama Foundation.
He asked at Plaza at the museum, I guess, that's coming to be renamed in honor of John Lewis, but they probably would have done anyway.
According to the press release, it seems like not very much money compared to his wife.
That's all I had.
That's all I thought.
I don't know.
The whole thing's just so the dollars are becoming, I mean, didn't you give $100 million to Van Jones?
Something like that.
Yeah.
Not very much.
He's so rich.
It's like giving $25.
I don't know.
He gave out all these like hero awards or something like that.
In a weird way,
I don't think you can be, I think it's nice.
I think it's good when people give money.
I don't, I'm not one of these people that's like, I understand the structural problems with philanthropy and how it indicates a larger problem that we shouldn't just be, you know, depending on the grace and generosity of billionaires to fund our essentials.
I get the argument, but I think it's hard to criticize people for
giving money away.
What it does do, though, is that
I like to think of myself as a philanthropic person.
And what I've been thinking of lately, and I'm embarrassed to admit this, is I'm like, when there's guys giving this much money away,
does my money make any difference?
I mean, you know it does and you continue to do it, but it's like, what's a lot of money for most givers?
You then look at these donations and it's like, okay, sweat off his brow, $100 million.
You know, what is my my ex gonna do?
I wonder, I wonder what's happened to small dollar donations when they see these guys, and it's almost always guys kind of rolling up and saying, okay, you know, 100 million bucks.
And by the way, that is, what is he worth?
150 billion?
It's like nothing.
I mean, it's literally nothing.
But hey, good for him, Obama Foundation.
I don't know what that means, but gets to go to all their parties, I guess.
That's where it happens.
You know, anyway, it's fine.
Whatever.
I think his wife's doing a better job.
That's all I have to say.
But whatever.
McKinsey?
Yeah.
But McKinsey's a baller.
Baller, yeah.
McKinsey, McKinsey, like, put out a billion dollars overnight.
Yeah,
I love how she does that.
She doesn't put out a press release.
Doesn't.
Doesn't.
She doesn't.
And
she gives it to non-cool places that need the money, like Cal State Fullerton.
Yeah.
Or
the Obamas need more money.
I have to say.
Mental health counseling for trans kids.
She's just like, this seems worthwhile.
Cut them a check.
No press release, no name on it.
I'm liking her way of doing it.
I have to say, I still do.
I don't like to compare divorced people, but I'm on team McKenzie on this one.
Oh, she's hungry.
So other, lastly,
surprise witness testified in the Elizabeth Holmes trial on Friday.
Who do you think that was?
I have not been following it.
Elizabeth Holmes.
Oh, Elizabeth Holmes said she believed that she was.
You're never supposed to take the stand.
Have you?
Yeah, I know.
Well, she has.
Yes, it's fascinating.
I'm sort of trying to, the lines apparently are on the block.
John Kerry Rue wrote, you know, showed a picture of what was happening, but she said she believed the company's blood testing machines could work.
She's testifying right now.
It's really quite something that she's doing this.
After all the testimony previously, which is like she thought it wouldn't work, she kind of has to get on the stand and say she believed it and trying to use her powers of persuasion.
I don't really understand it.
I guess she has no choice or I don't know what.
That means that her counsel did a risk-adjusted assessment and said, you're fucked.
We got to throw a Hail Mary.
It's my understanding, we should ask Preeta about this, but my understanding is you never want to take the stand.
So the fact that they put her on the stand
means, and
not always.
No, no.
No, sometimes it's like I want to tell my I don't, I'm not guilty, I'm going to tell my story, but but what she's saying is essentially that she didn't, um,
she didn't do anything, she thought she believed in it.
You can't, there's something legally, someone was explaining to me, if she believed it, it's not illegal, right?
I think that's what she's trying to establish, yeah, but here but I actually think, and I, to a certain extent, I don't like all this courtroom drama, I think they should just let the courts do their case, do their job.
But the
I think she's cooked because they've been playing audio or voicemails from her where she is clearly, she knew about, she knew that the company did not have a contract from the military to do rapid blood testing on helicopters in Afghanistan.
She knew that was not the case, and she was claiming that.
She was not exaggerating.
She was lying about the state of the business to investors and to the media.
And they have what's really damning, it's because it's very emotional.
These are people who make these decisions on the jury.
They have her voice.
They basically say this was not happening.
She knew it was not happening.
These emails validate she knew this wasn't happening.
And this is her on a call.
We have opened our first stores and have patients coming in live every day.
We
are working to expand that as fast as possible.
The speed with which we expand is critical in the context of capturing the market opportunity that we have created.
I think she's pretty cooked.
And my understanding is that almost always your counsel will say, okay, you're a megalomaniac and you think you're going to get up there and tell a great story, but guess what?
There's someone who's going to get to cross-examine you and it's going to be really fucking ugly.
So we're not going to take the stand.
Well, I don't know.
According again to the Times, first they said Mrs.
Holmes, they're trying to, this is their theory.
First, they have said Mrs.
Holmes was a Ms.
Holmes was a hardworking entrepreneur who believed her claims that Theranose technology was revolutionary and whose failure was not a crime.
So, oh, I tried to make it and it didn't happen.
Second, other Theranos employees, executives, investors should have known better that it might not work.
And third, Ms.
Holmes was manipulated, if that doesn't work, by Ramesh Balwani, who is known as Sonny and who is formerly Theranos' chief operating officer and control over.
And she's a very small boyfriend.
Yeah, she's got a whole bunch going in.
This is what she's going to do.
Although it looks like her emails are like, I will cut you, that kind of thing.
You know what I mean?
It's really, it's funny.
What do you think think is going to happen here?
Everyone's bet on this stuff.
I think they're going to, this idea of being a hardworking entrepreneur that didn't, just tried her best is not going to work, I suspect.
There's too much email and stories of her threatening people.
I think, you know,
I think people are on to her.
I think it doesn't help that she's a woman.
Honestly, there's lots of men who've done stuff like this in Silicon Valley.
So I think saying, oops, you know, oops, I made a, I didn't know it would work is not going to work.
I don't think so.
Yeah, it's going to be very interesting.
And I wonder if it'll send a chill through
the tech community.
People say that.
Probably not.
I don't think so.
Why?
Why?
They don't care.
She really went very far in pushing the limit.
I don't, you know, you have all kinds of like
hyperbolic claims.
And I think that's what people say.
Oh, now you can't be hyperbolic and silicon.
I don't think so.
I don't think so.
I think, you know, if you don't have emails showing that you threatened people for exposing you, you don't, you're not as big.
I think there's very few and far between of those people.
I think there's a whole lot of liars in Silicon Valley, and that's very different.
Um, but they call themselves the hopeful, right?
They're hopeful, and I think that that's why she's doing it.
But I don't know, she can't rely on all these views.
She can't be stupid, bad at business.
Everyone else should have known that maybe it wouldn't work, and my boyfriend made me do it.
It's just way too much data for the sort of things.
Anyway, all right, let's go on to our big story.
Amazon left its customer data completely exposed inside the company, according to reports from Wired and Reveal.
These reports say Amazon employees abused lax security to snoop on purchases of celebrities and accepted bribes from sellers, trying to get an edge on the competition.
The situation was allegedly so chaotic, Amazon's own security teams couldn't map the flow of data or who was accessing it.
Oh, this is so typical.
You know, this happened at Facebook and other places, Uber.
These problems occurred on the retail side of the company.
Amazon Web Services runs its own data security.
It's not part of the problem, which is what its new CEO,
Andy Jassy, ran AWS.
So, I guess,
not surprised.
A lot of the data ended up being in China and India.
We'll see where it goes.
But apparently, Amazon employees looked into Kanye West's purchases and the Avengers actors.
But they could have looked up to anyone.
This happened on Uber, it happened in Facebook in the very early days.
So, what thinks you of this?
To be blunt, I think it's a big nothing burger.
I don't
yeah, I don't.
Because when you're talking about a bunch of people making 15 bucks an hour who are naturally curious to see what Kanye is buying, I don't want to say we empathize, but we can kind of understand it.
And I think it happens informally all over
the corporate world.
People are fascinated by celebrities and everything they do.
And also the downside of this is maybe
some sellers on Amazon got an edge or it was inappropriate or it was just unprofessional.
But I think there's a big difference between that and weaponizing elections and violating election laws.
know.
It makes me uncomfortable knowing what I buy.
I guess.
I don't know.
Okay.
Go ahead.
Keep going.
Yeah, your purchase history is much more, probably much more interesting than myself.
Diapers, diapers, diapers.
Hardware.
There you go.
So I don't think, and Amazon, for the most part, has such a reservoir of trust and kind of executional competence.
I think they roll right over those, so I don't think it's a big deal.
Okay, well,
I think they've got, I think governments are a little less kind about, oh, well, people like to look at Kanye's purchases.
It's kind of like you don't have trust in the company you're doing.
You assume data leakage all the time, but not.
I remember when this happened at Facebook and Uber, it made me super nervous about their data.
Now, of course, I'm like, I don't, I don't care where I go.
I go to work and back.
Like, who cares?
Right.
But I think in this case, this is a lot of data that's quite, you know,
personal.
Like, it's not that personal, but it is.
And a lot of people, again, people should be able to buy what they want in secrecy if they feel like it.
So their former chief information security, head of information security, said it was put together by tape and bubblegum.
So, you know, this is the problem is when they have all this data and they're not
protecting it.
He said it was an afterthought.
It was shocking to me.
Launches were shouting utmost security, and employers are giving astounding amounts of access to practically everything.
Now, of course, they need access to a lot of stuff, but the data breaches should be limited.
I think that's what happened to a lot of these other companies is they limited the amount of access.
and and that the that the group of people in Infosec was too was too small
it was too small and it drained money from other things and so I could see them being sloppy in this way and that's how leakage happens across things but it leaves it open to like the in this case the Chinese other sellers et cetera etc
and that they're expanding too fast this is what happened at Robinhood too right expansion too fast not enough customer service you know it's yeah but the harm but I do think there's a distinction and Robinhood which is my you know favorite punching bag, when Robin Hood doesn't make the requisite investments in customer service, you end up with people who think they're down $700,000 when they're not, and they can't get anyone on the phone to explain to them, no, you're not, you don't owe us $700,000.
And
that can lead to much uglier places than a certain reseller getting access to information they shouldn't have.
or the fact that Kanye buys a certain type of Nespresso pods.
The harm here, I do think that the downside, if you will, when Amazon is weaponized or hacked, it doesn't present nearly the threat that if Google were to be hacked.
If Google were all of a sudden, I think the ultimate hack that creates social chaos would be, and it just goes to how much we trust Google,
if there was a hack
and your name
and your picture were above every search you'd ever conducted chronologically, I think it would create total social chaos.
Yeah, I was seeing that on Twitter.
Twitter.
And
Google, to their credit, I think, has people who are thinking, unlike Amazon and definitely unlike Facebook, I think Google does a decent job, at least at the core search engine
of saying, well, what if this happened?
Right.
And they have, because as far as I can tell, search query data from individuals has never been hacked.
And you want to talk about some embarrassing shit that would lead to like what's your most embarrassing thing that you search?
Oh, what's my least embarrassing thing?
Come on, come on.
Anything that pops into my mind, I'm like, oh, what is what's my old girlfriend up to these days?
Yeah, just right, yeah.
Look, and look, Google knows if you're contemplating divorce, if you're contemplating getting engaged, it knows your sexual fetishes, it knows who's you're obsessing over, it knows if you're about to quit your job, it knows if you're thinking of terminating a pregnancy, it knows if you're worried if you've exposed yourself to HIV, it knows if you go, I mean, it just knows everything about you,
And this,
that hack would cause chaos.
Whereas if Kanye's purchase patterns are somehow revealed on a website somewhere,
okay, that's meaningful, but it's not profound.
Yeah, we bought a lot of, like, for instance, with me, it would be like paper towels.
Interesting.
Interesting.
It's a lot of paper towels.
You can be honest.
You're a freak.
It's a freak show over there.
I think.
I'm going to look it up right now.
We're talking, but you're right.
I think your search,
even your search on Twitter, I just, the other day, I literally was like, what if someone could see what I'm looking for on Twitter?
Not good.
Like, how, how protected is this, right?
Because, you know, you have, you sitting up late at night, just bored out of your mind kind of thing.
And, and so I'm actually never bored, but you know what I mean?
It creates a interest in you
that I think you, you, is, would be dangerous for people to have, right?
Um, as opposed to Amazon, which is your stuff.
It depends on what you buy, right?
So, here's, I bought, I bought a lamp, I bought some light bulbs, I bought track lighting, I bought a mock turtleneck.
Leather pants and a gag ball.
Leather pants and a gag ball.
I bought some power strips that are cool looking.
I bought some shampoo.
I'm going through it just to give everyone my
OXO tot bottle drying rack.
That was great.
I bought something, a Tyne Row retainer for my Bosch dishwasher.
It's really old and it needs it.
I bought some diapers.
I bought a potty seat.
I mean, it just goes on.
Like, you could see.
This was easy, but you could also listen to me.
I bought face masks, which for my son, who's working, I bought does this get more interesting?
No, I don't think
I think I'm pathetic at this point, now that I'm reading it for you.
I hate to interrupt this fascinating narrative.
I've always thought
a really dangerous hack
would be if someone hacked Uber and then put a layer of intelligence on top of it, you could absolutely track or figure out, okay, infidelity.
Yeah.
What is this woman leaving her
apartment at 1 a.m.
three times a week and going to this same apartment?
What you're planning to terminate a pregnancy?
You have diabetes.
With a small layer of artificial intelligence layered on top of your travel patterns, where you're taking cars to and from, this person is clearly an alcoholic.
This person is clearly buying drugs three or four times a week.
I mean, with a thin layer of AI placed on top of Uber data,
you could find out some, you could really violate people, or somebody else could violate people's tribes.
Although, honestly, I think people are using Ubers less because they cost so much now.
But yeah, that's absolutely true.
100%.
I agree.
I agree.
That's what I'm saying.
I'm not as nervous that I bought a three-foot inflatable pumpkin on October 21st.
I just don't think it's that big a deal.
I was just trying to think what he says about me.
I'd like you to read yours out like that because I leave the clean lights.
I use Amazon a lot.
I'm embarrassed with it.
One relationship I have that I'm embarrassed by.
Anyway,
you're right.
I think you're right.
It's going to be a big nothing for them, but they need to clean it up.
They said they cleaned it up.
Amazon said they cleaned it up and this was passed.
But they should keep cleaning it.
They should not, you know,
clean it up.
Clean it up.
I don't agree.
I think they have to clean it.
Anyway, let's go.
There's going to be a lot of jobs in cybersecurity.
We're way down for all of those things.
That would be a great job for anybody to go into cybersecurity.
And then you could also hack people too.
Anyway, let's go on a quick break.
We come back.
We'll talk about the Biden agenda and take a listener question.
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Scott, we're back with our second big story.
The House of Representatives passed the Build Back Better bill on Friday.
That doesn't mean it's through, it's got to go through the Senate.
It's going to change a lot.
The bill funds universal pre-K, renewable energy, Medicare expansion, four weeks of paid parental leave up from zero and a lot more.
The total cost $1.75 trillion.
It's not out of the woods.
I said it goes to the Senate.
It's going to be revised by President Joe Manchin and Vice President Kristen Sinema.
Joe Manchin doesn't like the paid family leave because why would he?
Bernie Sanders spoke against the increased salt deduction.
You know, it's going to get mangled.
And of course, then Alexandria Casio-Cortez, who does speak up, talked to the New York Times for, you know, doesn't really talk that much, sort of threatening
off to her on the progressive side.
So said we've already made enough compromises.
And then, of course, a lot of people focused on things like tree equity, which you can make fun of, but people in poor areas don't have trees, and it might be nice to give them some trees.
Anyway, because we give rich people things all the time.
So what do you think?
After a year,
they won't give family leave.
Look, I really hope this happens.
I hope that
I'm kind of,
I mean, I'm just so fed up hearing about Joe Manchin and Chris in cinemas.
I really hope that.
They're getting lots of money from Republicans, just brought them donuts.
Oh, yeah.
And,
you know, I used to think, well, they're moderates.
They're legislating.
They're doing what they're supposed to do.
And now I feel as if they are just drunk on
their own power.
And they're literally at this point, supposedly riding the legislation.
Biden's basically thrown up his arms, supposingly, and said, okay, what will you pass?
Let's be honest, you have all the power here.
Well done.
What will you pass?
And look, it all comes down to this.
The middle class is not organic.
The greatest ballast in the history of mankind has been the American middle class from the end of World War II to now.
It's fought, it's turned back Hitler.
It's found, you know, the cure for polio,
it's spread democracy and women's rights all over the world.
You know, we get a lot wrong, but we get things less wrong than anyone in the world, I believe.
And the thing that's been the ballast for that, the source of that incredible good has been the American middle class.
And the thing is, it's not an organic thing.
It's not self-sustaining.
Because of network technology, because of capital, because of certification from universities, it's largely sequestered to the freakishly remarkable and the children of rich people.
You are going to have the top 1% and the top 10%
pull away if you don't intervene.
And unless you redistribute, like investing in bridges, which have no short-term payoff, but have immense long-term payoff, unless you invest, reinvest in the middle class, you don't have a ballast for the greatest experiment in the history of mankind, the U.S.
And so we have to and Republicans will say that it happens on its own, that you should
the way you unleash the middle class of prosperity is by letting the market take over that is absolutely not true if you look through economic history the middle class in any nation is something that has to be fed and cared for and invested in and this investment is long overdue and so i hope i really hope we come together uh and pass this it's it's it's it's enormously important and it's key to america's prosperity yeah i just it'll be interesting to see galloway 2022 i just it's interesting because galloway 2022 progressives are making a mistake
in every medicine cat.
Let's talk about the real things.
I think it's going to pass, but with very, with, you know, they'll take away the trees for poor people, which is like, you know, and give rich people the salt deduction.
Like, that is what happens.
I love that.
No tax increases.
We're taking this, but we're going to restore the tax deduction procedure.
Whatever.
It's such a small money.
Give them fucking trees.
Like everyone should bend.
You know what?
Interesting.
I interviewed.
Remember Rutger Bregman, who was the historian who yelled at
the rich people at Davos, and then he had a a fight with Tucker Carlson.
He's really fantastic.
Yeah, he has a new book called Humankind, which is saying that basically people are decent.
And he also previously had a UBI book a long time ago.
And he was like, instead of looking at it like I had one of those.
I took antibiotics for it.
Oh, wait, UBI, not UTI.
I'm sorry.
No worries.
Sorry.
Go ahead.
Anyway, he was saying the way it's been
calling it income allows people to feel like it's a gimme kind of thing when you should think of it as a dividend for people who, for our country, and that it's, he's called a venture capital for the uh for the poor or regular people essentially at this is ubi essentially but at the same time giving things like that to people is like a good thing like you know i don't know it just we are so mean to poor people like in terms of cutting them off and i i'm not i i would say if i had to put myself anywhere in a political thing, I suppose I would be centrist, I guess.
Not anymore.
I feel like I've been shoved pretty far to the left.
But it's really interesting that
that two people are sort of running the show here and there's just no choice whatsoever and then once the republicans take over which seems likely it's they're going to get a whole lot of nothing or maybe they're positioning themselves well in a republican uh led congress who knows it seems yeah i i think i think things look really bad for us quite frankly right now things i mean there's a lot of time till 2022
but i think this is i think this is really important and infrastructure used to be something that was fairly bipartisan yeah uh but i'm anyways i'm I'm hopeful that I just want something to pass and get through.
And I just never need to hear the terms mansion and cinema again.
Yeah, I can't believe paid family leave is anything controversial.
Universal basic
health care should be that, and the same thing with paid family leave when you have kids.
Honestly, it's crazy.
It's just crazy that you have to rely on states like California.
You know what's discouraging data?
And this is going to be my fail today: young people aren't having kids.
When you present a family with these options of like, all right, housing is becoming more expensive.
Oh, and if and when you decide to have kids, your company isn't obligated to give you family leave.
Oh, and by the way, as a percentage of GDP, the wealth of people under the age of 40, we've decided to cut it from 20% to 90%.
So it's like, okay, young people, we're not going to give you as much money.
We're not going to give you any protection to have kids, but we want you to have kids.
I mean, people are just, they're not having children.
And if you look at the birth dearth across Japan and Italy, it's really bad for an economy.
economy.
And then you decide to militarize the board or not let anybody.
And it's like, well, okay,
who's going to make our shit?
Who's going to actually support all these seniors?
Who's going to support Pop Up Bananas Cruise on Crystal if all of a sudden it's no longer five people supporting every retiree?
It's three, then two, then one.
I think it's very discouraging that we don't want to put in place incentives.
If you look at what's happened to COVID, the great resignation is really, you zero in on it.
It's like Jonathan Heidz's work shows that depression and social media, you really got to zero in on teenage girls.
That's where the ground zero for it.
If you really want to zero in on the great resignation, it's women who don't have in place the support system from the government or from their corporation to make it viable for them to work.
Yep, I agree.
And that is bad for the economy.
The American economy hummed there.
Kind of the great growth we had through kind of the 60s through the 80s was because we created an ecosystem where women could enter the workforce and we decided to go back.
dumb.
I feel like if they don't pass it here, Biden's got to pull out the, I was reading the AOC interview, like pull out the executive orders a little bit.
You know, once people get paid family leave, they're going to like it.
It's going to be very hard to take back by Republicans, you know, and we're going to give you money.
But paid family leave, just not just to take care of kids, but to care for ill family members, et cetera, et cetera.
It's just crazy that this hasn't passed.
It's just, it's
throughout the land.
I mean, it's in certain states.
But it's, you know, I can tell you, just having all the kids I have, I have money and it's exhausting, like, which is not like, oh, no, Carol, but Jesus Christ, paid feminism should be just,
everybody shouldn't have this.
It's not, it doesn't, it's not a, it's a social safety night item that's good for the economy.
It's good for the economy for people.
It's not a gimme.
It's not, you know, everyone talks about it that way, any of these things.
It's when they're given to poor people, they're talked about like they're, um, have their hand out.
And when it's given to rich people, it's because they're going to use it to help the economy.
So, anyway,
yeah, it's well.
It is pretty rational to believe that the greatest investment you can make is in kids.
So, and the most important thing for kids is that they have a secure, loving.
I mean, the resting blood pressure for kids in poverty is significantly higher than the resting blood pressure for kids who live in homes that are not
low-income.
So, it's like, okay, how do we get children to not have high blood pressure?
You know, it's just, there's some kind of basics here where you think, well, if we're the wealthiest society in the world, we need to start acting like it.
There's just some basics that, and what I was so excited about was the child tax credit.
There's just few things, few programs in history that could do more to eliminate child poverty.
I mean, you'd think it'd be a bipartisan issue.
Most people on either side of the aisle go, child poverty is a bad thing that we should address.
Yep.
It's interesting because one of the leading proponents, Kirsten Gillibrand, is being apologetic about it to try to get it to pass.
She's saying all nice things about Mansion, et cetera.
And this is, we know if it's parental leave, parents, mothers are 40% more likely to get back to work if they paid leave, which goes to Center Mansion's concern that he wants to strengthen our social safety nets.
He wants to strengthen Social Security.
That's what paid leave does.
It gets people back to work.
It allows people to stay in the workforce even when there's a family emergency.
Like apologizing for this, I'd be like, listen, you
Yahoo.
Pass this friggin' thing.
I know she's saying that in the back of her head.
So who knows?
Yeah, we'll see.
I'm hopeful.
I'm hopeful.
I'm not.
We'll see what happens.
I'm not.
Anything that helps
women manage children seems to be not a positive thing.
Anyway, we'll see where it goes.
But I think of all the things, both universal pre-K and four weeks, at the very least, of paid family meetings.
It should be eight weeks,
seems things that should be absolutely, I can't believe people aren't for them.
It's really, it's, it's really shocking.
And the people that need it the most are probably the ones that are being convinced they don't need it, which is ridiculous.
Okay, let's take a listener question about responsible disclosure.
You've got, you've got, I can't believe I'm going to be a mailman.
You, you, you've got mail.
All right, this came in via email from Madison Cancer.
Yeah, K-N-T-Z-E-R.
You want me to read it to you, Scott?
Because you're eating.
Sure.
Okay.
In other engineering disciplines, you need to do impact analysis before you start work.
You can't build a building unless you've done a a full study on impact on local wildlife and water runoff analysis.
You have to do safety studies where you can put humans in a car or on a rocket ship.
Why shouldn't software and algo boys be treated the same?
To do a full rollout of the new model, you need to do an impact study and publish it.
You don't need to publish how you built the model, but you certainly need to publish the effects.
Does it tend to make people happier or sadder?
Does it tend to increase or decrease violent behaviors?
Does it reward or punish false claims?
If you don't have the resources to build a bridge safely, you don't have the resources to build a bridge.
If you don't have the resources to test a model, you don't have the resources to deploy it.
Aaron Ross Powell,
it comes down to one word, and that is attribution.
And that is, if you're riding the Matahorn at Disneyland and you get thrown out of your bobsled and you die, they know that it was a lack of safety standards and protocols that killed you that Disney is responsible for because they charge people and give them some inherent guarantee of safety when they ride the rides.
When you program a company company to connect people, or algorithms that connect people, and then slowly but surely you start to tell the algorithms to spread content that
kind of engages people, and it ends up the algorithm start saying, okay, the stuff that engages people is rage and misinformation.
It's really difficult to reverse engineer specific content back to specific self-harm.
It's really difficult to reverse engineer teen depression to specific causes.
You know, it's a variety of things.
So software and
the interaction and human behavior around software, it's very hard to ring fence it and isolate it and not end up on Twitter with a bunch of self-appointed statisticians saying shit like, well, correlation isn't causation, when in fact, when you take out every other cause, you can say, well, in fact, it is correlation.
So that's the problem.
It's attribution.
So
okay, yes or no?
You shouldn't be able.
You're not able to do it, in other words.
Aaron Powell, Jr.: Well,
I think it's difficult.
What I would argue is instead of over-regulating the development of software and asking for them to do all sorts of testing.
So the FDA does this.
If you want to put out a product or a drug with technology, I would argue, and I'm going to sound like a big tech lobbyist.
I do.
That's why I'm asking.
You sound a little bit big tech lobbyist.
Well, technology has created is only so much utility and shareholder value.
I think that the idea of a little bit of a Wild West mentality around regulation is important.
Where I would address it is that I think that they should be more legally liable.
I almost say, let the trial lawyers loose, and that's the thing I hate about 230, is that, okay,
if you're willing to take the risk that your organization might end up circumventing minimum wage laws, you should be liable for violating minimum wage laws if that ends up happening.
If it ends up that they can prove that about the time social went to mobile, that young girls started engaging in self-harm, then that organization and across and then other organizations, including other social media platforms, should be liable.
I think it's
on the back end because a lot of times they can stop it.
They can say, okay, there are unintended consequences we did not initially see.
I don't think the people who initially built Facebook saw it in the future.
I can tell you they did.
I don't think that's a good thing.
No, he was far too hopeful.
Hopeful is what I would say, like naively hopeful.
And I, of course, was like, people are shitty.
I think he had this mentality that
there wasn't going to be used for bad.
I think there is a question.
You know, I talk about this anticipation of consequences a lot and they certainly could get a lot better at it but I agree there's no way to measure it until it's out and you and this is not like a drug this is not like a car
it's very hard to
you know bridge you know it's just of course all these things it's very when bridges do collapse it's rare right in at least in sort of a higher level society you know passages with more money um you don't see buildings i mean the the whole thing around the the miami collapse was it was shocking right it was shocking that it doesn't happen um without a without a you know an earthquake or flood or etc and so i just think that uh you can't i i don't think you can do it madison okay scott one more quick break we'll be back for wins and fails
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Okay, Scott, we're going to do wins and fails.
I'm going to start with a win.
I'll tell you what my win is.
It's going to surprise you.
It's going to, that Spotify removed shuffle play as a default option on all albums for premium users.
So tracks play in order intended.
You know who requested this?
Adele.
Yeah.
So, it doesn't, I hate shuffle play.
I mean, I like it if I want it, but it's always like it suddenly goes to songs I don't want.
I like it.
And Adele, of course, this was the said on Twitter.
This is the only request I had in our ever-changing industry.
We don't create albums so much care and thought into our track listing for no reason.
Our art tells a story, and our stories should be listened to as we intended.
Thank you for Spotify for listening.
I think that's great.
It shouldn't be default.
It should, if people want to do it, they can do it.
That's what I like.
I love Adele.
She's the best.
Thank you.
That is my win.
Go, Adele.
Let me do a fail very quickly.
I think the all the language surrounding Kyle Rittenhouse and those trials and sort of attacks on the media are the fail.
This is a jury trial.
This was decided.
I think we have to, it was a jury trial, whatever you think of the jury.
It was done.
I think the prosecution had a very weak case, as I noted to you, I think, several weeks ago,
and had enough doubt in there.
So that's what it is.
And
whatever side you happen to agree with, that is what it is.
It was a jury trial that seems unfair to many, seems completely ridiculous that he was on trial to many.
I'm not both sides is this thing, but it is what it is.
And so what I didn't like is all this,
there was all, you know, the dunking on the media for doing it wrong.
I actually looked over a lot of the coverage, and except for like pundits, it was fine.
It totally reported what was happening.
And, you know, anyone, all these people who use any kind of thing to attack the media, like for not like as if we're one lump thing.
It's just exhausting.
I was, I commented, I was in a laundromat this weekend because my child vomited and I was cleaning a comfort because you can't clean them in these newfangled machines.
And I was sort of like, you people who, all you do is dunk on the media for whatever, there are better people you need to dunk on.
So that's what I feel like.
Anyway, go ahead.
All right.
Okay, so my
fail
is
it just,
I think we need to get away from the politicization of science.
To me, science should be the most non-political thing.
And I think it's disappointing that we figured out a way.
I mean, even if you look through back just a few years, the anti-vaxxers were from the far left.
And I think we just need to move back to this notion that science
is kind of this non-political, closest thing we have to a truth.
And it is just so discouraging that with every scientific breakthrough or every application of healthcare, we've decided, is it left, is it right?
and am I for or against it based on this ridiculous notion of a vaccine for some reason is associated with the left.
I think that's an enormous, I don't know if it's education, I don't know if it's getting more Republican doctors out there or if it's for Democrats to be more thoughtful about conservation.
I don't know what it is, but it's dangerous that science has been politicized.
I think that's an enormous threat and a fail.
And my win is on the same side of the coin.
There is now a potential one-dose treatment to functionally cure HIV while everyone's so focused on COVID-19 and these vaccines, which is understandable.
We now have, there's several antiviral treatments to manage HIV infection, but there's never been a cure.
And just the thought,
I have someone in my life who's HIV positive, and the thought that he, you know, he's had this ghost haunting him for 30 years.
It's just kind of always there.
You can manage it.
But the idea that you might be able to exercise that demon is just such, it's such an enormous victory for science, assuming it happens.
So look,
my fail is that we have somehow decided to politicize what should be the most apolitical thing in history, and that is science.
And the win is that we continue to attract these incredibly smart people who are backed with a lot of capital.
And then capitalism
for all the downsides and externalities around
some of the pharmaceutical companies that have happened or that have occurred, I do think that science is ⁇ it does feel as if we are reaching ⁇ you know, we always talked about the singularity about how there'd be this great acceleration in discovery.
I do think we're going to come out of the novel coronavirus.
There's been so much great research done and so many papers around vaccines.
I think we're going to have
a few years of real wonderful breakthrough discovery.
So my fail that we politicize science and my win is just science.
Science.
Okay.
Okay.
All science.
Pretty general.
Everybody.
All right.
I'm coming with everything.
Pretty basic.
And the gag ball I bought on Amazon.
That's my win.
That's my win.
I don't think you can buy a gag ball on Amazon.
Oh, you can.
Trust me on this.
I'm going to look for it.
Go ahead.
Keep going.
Give me a real one.
Come on.
I'm looking up gag balls on Amazon right now.
I'm just telling you.
A real one?
What do you mean a real one?
Like anyone.
I don't think gag balls are for sale.
I don't know.
I don't know for sure, but I don't think they are.
Oh, yeah.
Give me a real positive one.
Come on.
Is there a movie you saw?
I watched that red notice with Gail Godot.
It's literally the worst movie of all.
I did my film one.
You want a better win?
My win?
I don't know that I just finished being a pharma.
I'm telling you, Kara, have you seen Dope Sick?
No, I told you I didn't.
Powerful.
Best series of the year.
Powerful.
And a nice crowning achievement for Michael Keaton.
Just power.
And Rosaria Dawson.
who is like one of the most beautiful women in the world is fantastic in it.
It's ugh.
It is so powerful.
All right.
I'm going to give you a show.
Wait, hold on.
In related news, in related news, Mark Zuckerberg and Shel Sandberg are changing their name to Sackler.
All right.
That's good humor.
I'm going to give you a show that you need to watch.
You already said Dosey, The Sex Lives of College Girls, which is so good.
I'm in GPO.
I'm in.
Don't need to see it.
It's really funny.
It's really funny.
And it's Mindy Kaling's show, and it's wonderful.
I sat there waiting for Amanda to show up for our, we're going to watch Red Notice and started watching news.
And it was clever and funny and lovely.
I have to say, it was, it's really, it's about, obviously, Mindy Kelling's life and a fan.
I think she went to Dartmouth.
If you're a bad title, I'll watch it twice.
But it's not really about sex.
It's like sort of sex in the city, but don't talk me out of it.
All right, but I'm just saying.
It's called The Sex Lives of College Girls.
I think you'll like it.
It's charming.
It's charming.
And Mindy Kelling.
You know, one of the stars, there's all these interesting stars from, they're not people you know, but they've done amazing things.
Like one of the, one of the girls, one of the women in it is was in Mean Girls on Broadway.
The other is
a Chalame.
It's the sister of Timote Chalame.
I think it's Patricia Chalame.
I don't know, something like that.
She's in it.
She plays kind of a dorky Midwesterner.
It's really lovely.
It's lovely.
It's a lovely, lovely show.
It's a lovely, lovely show.
She's very talented.
She has a great reputation, Mindy Gowling.
Yeah, she does.
I have to say, this is, I've watched a bunch of her shows, but this, and I know she had some hits, but this one's just got a lot of heart.
I got to say, you need to watch it.
There's a little bit of sex, but not that much, I have to tell you.
But it's really a lovely, lovely show.
All right.
Now, Scott, before we go, what are you thankful for?
Oh, so much.
I would say more than anything, I'm really thankful that I have a competent person to raise kids with.
I've had such a wonderful year with my boys, and my boys did really well in school.
And the reality is it wasn't them doing well in school.
It was their mom doing well in school, who I would come home.
Tot ticket item in many ways, not just in all ways, I have to say.
But look, and I think we want to make that investment.
Because I'm tying this back to this infrastructure bill.
Or to spend more people, a society is here, an economy is here for a middle class.
And the most important thing about a middle class is to build, you know, give people the opportunity to establish relationships so they can have loving, secure households.
And I have, you know, I'm thankful.
I have a loving, secure household.
It's a gift from God, and it's taken a lot of work and a lot of patience and a lot of luck.
But I'm thankful.
I'm thankful that I am raising children with someone competent such that they can be successful.
That is a very nice thing.
She's amazing.
I have to say.
Can I just tell you, you can buy gag balls on Amazon, but it doesn't come up first.
Back to the gag ball.
I'm just saying, it doesn't come up first.
First comes on Wobble Will
Ball.
It's a dog thing.
Then there are gag balls, black open mouth.
ball diameter.
I just sent it to you just so you know on the thing.
There's also Happy Nuts Comfort Cream Ball Deodorant for Men, which I'm buying you for Christmas, which is very exciting for you.
Ball cream.
Wow.
This is like the page to buy Scott Scott Christmas presents.
Cara, what are you thankful for?
My wonderful family.
I have to say.
We are exhausted.
Amanda's astonishing.
The boys have been great with the kids.
Clara is a golden chest.
She's just, she was sick and she was still like fantastic.
And the baby, just really great.
Really
amazing group.
I'm so tired and I realize I'm never going to retire, as I noted to you.
But boy, am I lucky in that regard.
It gives me a big old, you know, you know, there was someone who was talking about fuck you money.
You know, that people, people can earn it and people everyone should have the ability to say no and yes um but i i have i don't want to say you family but every time i get mad i'm like oh whatever i have a nice family so uh it's uh it's i that's what i'm thankful for okay scott that's the show we'll be back after the holiday i'm getting our turkey from pam the butcher who works for who louie works for um as always you can submit your question to the show at nymag.com slash pivot let's read us out please we're buying this like 11 000 turkey from a Swiss farm where they feed the turkeys other turkeys.
Anyways, today's show is produced by Lara Naiman, Evan Engel, and Taylor Griffin.
Thanks also to Drew Burrows and Mia Silverio.
Ernie Entertot engineered this episode.
Make sure you're subscribed to the show on Apple Podcasts if you're on Android user.
Check us out on Spotify or frankly, wherever you listen to podcasts.
Thanks for listening to Pivot from Box Media.
We'll be back next Friday for another breakdown of all things tech and business.
It's one thing to be thankful for your family and your mate on a podcast.
It's another to tell them you're thankful.
That's what I need to do, Kara.
Just kidding.
That's what I need to do.
I'm going to take the gag ball out and I'm going to articulate my thanks.
This month on Explain It to Me, we're talking about all things wellness.
We spend nearly $2 trillion on things that are supposed to make us well.
Collagen smoothies and cold plunges, Pilates classes, and fitness trackers.
But what does it actually mean to be well?
Why do we want that so badly?
And is all this money really making us healthier and happier?
That's this month on Explain It To Me, presented by Pureleaf.
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